Tuesday, September 10, 2013

An openly fixed race in NASCAR, involving three drivers and the Chase -- penalties, again, not sufficient...

(Edit 11 AM 9/10/13:  This post, with some small editing and additions, will be made into a Guest Post on Brian Tuohy's "The Fix is In" website.)

(Edit 1:40 PM 9/12/13:  One of Brian Tuohy's readers reminded me I'm a dork.  I completely forgot the title sponsor of the NASCAR Cup championship had been changed from NEXTEL to Sprint.)

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a genuine point-shaving scandal in NASCAR.

NASCAR, on Monday (September 9), levied unprecedented penalties on the three teams and the Michael Waltrip Racing organization for violations of Section 12-4 of the NASCAR Rules: Actions Detrimental to Stock-Car Racing. These three teams were:
  • The #56 car of Martin Truex Jr.
  • The #15 car of Clint Bowyer
  • The #55 car (part-time) of Brian Vickers.
(Yes, this is the same Michael Waltrip Racing which, in 2007, added jet/rocket fuel to the #55 car (then driven by Waltrip) to try to get more oxygen in the engine, resulting in a $100,000 fine, expulsion from the 2007 Daytona 500 (without appeal), a penalty to the team of 100 points, and banishments from the sport of then-crew chief David Hyder and then-Michael Waltrip Racing director of competition Bobby Kennedy. Hyder was fired from MWR two months later. It appears as if both have been permanently banned from stock-car racing.)

Near the end of the 26th (and final pre-Chase) race of the 2013 NASCAR season in Richmond, Clint Bowyer, one of three drivers for Michael Waltrip Racing, was overheard by ESPN to have the following exchange on the radio:

"[Ryan] (Newman) is going to win the race,'' spotter Brett Griffin told Bowyer.

A win by Newman would have kept Truex from making the Chase.


[The spot in question was the second wild-card. The top 10 drivers in the points standings qualify directly to The Chase for the Sprint Cup. The two wild-cards apply to any drivers, taking order of the number of wins first over the number of points, for places 11-20 on that list.]

About 30 seconds later, crew chief Brian Pattie asked Bowyer: "Is your arm starting to hurt? I bet it's hot in there. Itch it.''


Said Bowyer: "Oh yeah.''

Just then, Bowyer spins to prevent Ryan Newman from winning the race.

That's not the only incident from the Richmond race regarding Michael Waltrip Racing.

As the night went on, the Associated Press, according to this ESPN article, caught this between Michael Waltrip Racing Executive VP/GM (also acting as a spotter that night) Ty Norris and Brian Vickers (a non-point gathering (for the Nextel Cup) Nationwide driver this year):

“The AP reviewed team communications for Bowyer and Vickers on Sunday, and Vickers was told by Norris to pit because "We need that one point."

"We're probably going to pit here on green," Norris says.

"Are you talking to me?" a surprised Vickers asks.

Vickers continued to question the call, at one point asking, "I don't understand, pit right now?"

"You've got to pit this time. We need that one point," Norris replies.

"10-4. Do I got a tire going down?" Vickers asked.

Vickers then pitted as the field went green. When he asked after if his crew found anything with the tire, Norris replied, "I'll see you after the race, Brian, I owe you a kiss." [… which he gave]

Helton indicated Monday that conversation between Norris and Vickers, with Vickers' confusion over the directives he was given, was the smoking gun against MWR.”

The NASCAR press release Monday evening was definitive:

““Based upon our review of Saturday night’s race at Richmond, it is our determination that the MWR organization attempted to manipulate the outcome of the race,” said Robin Pemberton, NASCAR vice president of competition.”

To state things in the most realistic (read: cynical) way possible:

Under Meyer v. Belichick, New England Patriots, and National Football League, it is legal for a sports organization to manipulate the outcome of a sporting event.

It is often believed, as I do, that phantom cautions and questionable rulings are used by NASCAR to aid (as much as they can -- they cannot do so completely) in the determination of the results of races. It is legal for them to do so.

Under 18 USC Section 224, it is NOT legal for individual athletes and teams to:

“... [carry] into effect, attempts to carry into effect, or conspires with any other person to carry into effect any scheme in commerce to influence, in any way, by bribery any sporting contest, with knowledge that the purpose of such scheme is to influence by bribery that contest...”

Ladies and gentlemen, Michael Waltrip Racing, Clint Bowyer, Brian Vickers, and various other parties have probably committed violations of United States Federal Law.

NASCAR's (at least initial) rulings have carried the following punishments:
  • Truex docked 50 driver and 50 owners Championship points, retroactive to before the institution of the final qualifications for the Chase for the Sprint Cup. Martin Truex Jr., as a result, is expelled the Chase for the Sprint Cup, replaced with Ryan Newman.
  • Vickers docked the same points at the same time, though he's only a part-timer.
  • Bowyer was also docked those points, but again, retroactive to before the institution of the qualifications. He still makes The Chase, something that MotorRacingNetwork.com (and I) strongly have an issue with.
  • The Michael Waltrip Racing company has been fined $300,000.
  • The three crew chiefs are on probation until December 31, 2013.
  • Ty Norris (Executive VP and GM of Michael Waltrip Racing) has been banned indefinitely from the sport.
And, as the MNR.com editorial said, it's not enough.

In fact, I don't even think MNR.com's idea is enough. Their idea was to dock Bowyer enough points after the Chase was set to make it impossible for him to win the Sprint Cup. (Because he has no wins on the season, he stands 15 points (effectively, 15 places in one race) behind current Chase/Championship leader Matt Kenseth, who got those 15 points for winning 5 of the 26 pre-Chase races.)

If you want to see why I think the actions definitely institute a violation of US Federal Law (and why Michael Waltrip Racing needs to be thrown out of NASCAR tonight!), I give you another smoking gun MNR.com came up with:

This is Michael Waltrip, in a FOX Sports interview from July of 2013.

““Our business model doesn’t work without us making the Chase,” Waltrip said. “We invest in our cars and our team and we tell our sponsors that with the way we built our team, we’re going to make the Chase, we’re going to win races.””

In no uncertain terms, Michael Waltrip admits openly that he is out of business as a car owner if he does not maximize the number of his cars in The Chase for the Sprint Cup.

“Asked if the difference between making the Chase and missing it is in the millions of dollars per car, Waltrip told FOXSports.com, “I would say it’s safe to say that because of the purse and sponsor incentives, but more than that, it’s about survival. You have to be a Chase team if you want to be here for the long haul.”

J.D. Gibbs, president of Joe Gibbs Racing, agreed with Waltrip.

“It’s very important. If consistently you’re not in that Chase, if you’re not making a run for it, it would be hard to stay in business,” Gibbs said.”

If these statements do not indicate how devastating to the appearance of propriety (and please keep in mind that all that the sports leagues are trying to do is retain the APPEARANCE of propriety) the actions of Michael Waltrip Racing were on Saturday night, I don't know what to tell you.

This is point-shaving.

This is Sports Bribery. That the teams are all under the same umbrella is not relevant to 18 USC Section 224.

If you want to see how seriously other racing leagues take this action (what is called “Team Orders”), I wish to point to the story of Nelson Piquet Jr.:

-

In the 2008 Singapore Grand Prix, Piquet Jr. admitted to Formula One officials that a crash that he committed in the race was a deliberate action to aid teammate Fernando Alonso to win the race, which Alonso did.

A year later, after Piquet Jr. left the Renault team, that team (meaning him, Alonso, engineer Pat Symonds, and Flavio Briatore) was forced to appear in front of the main disciplinary body of Formula One, accused of fixing the race (since 2002, F1 had banned the practice of “Team Orders” to influence race results).

On September 21, 2009, the team was placed on an ultimate probation. The Renault team was expelled from Formula 1, but given two years to remain clean to regain good standing with the organization.

Briatore was banned from the sport forever, Symonds for five years. (These penalties were overturned by a low-level French court. The two individuals and Formula 1 came to an agreement not to work in Formula 1 until this year, or any championship under the Formula 1 banner until at least 2011.)

Piquet Jr. was blackballed from Formula 1. He now races, ironically, in the NASCAR Nationwide series.

The team no longer exists under Renault, Lotus taking over in 2012.

-

THAT is how serious this can be.

To that end, here's what needs to happen:
  • An immediate US Federal investigation of this incident needs to be started under 18 USC Section 224, charging Bowyer, Vickers, Michael Waltrip, and other relevant parties with the crime of Sports Bribery, in the case of the attempt to fix the 26th race of the 2013 NASCAR season such that Martin Truex Jr. qualified for The 2013 Chase for the Sprint Cup.
  • Clint Bowyer, for his direct action, needs to be immediately banned permanently/indefinitely from NASCAR. Not just from this Chase, but for good.
  • Michael Waltrip, same penalty. He needs to be thrown out of NASCAR. He, frankly, should've been expelled from the sport in 2007 for the incident at Daytona. Between the two incidents, it is clear that, for the appearance of propriety, Michael Waltrip can no longer be trusted to act in the best interests of stock-car racing. Throw him and his company out of the sport, forever.
  • Brian Vickers, see ya. Banned as well.
  • Martin Truex Jr. should be thrown out for the year, situation to be reevaluated as further investigation allows.
It is also clear that there needs to be a severe change in The Chase for the Sprint Cup.

There appear to be, realistically, only two options, and I think I may be the only one who thinks of the second.

The option that many people believe is the only way to prevent these actions from taking place is to ban multi-car teams from the sport.

I have one other option, and it's something I thought about tonight...

If you want to make winning important, REALLY important, in NASCAR, as well as prevent micro-management of points to make the Chase, you have one realistic option:

You must win at least one of the 26 pre-Chase races to be eligible to win the Sprint Cup for that season.

I would also add two other caveats:
  1. If a driver is found to be in violation of NASCAR rules before a race (pre-race inspection, etc.), he or she does not race that weekend. No points, you're parked. If a driver is found to be in violation at a post-race inspection, no points, no prize money, no win. All other drivers move up a spot.
  2. To at least come up with some consistency with the present rules, a driver must finish in the top 20 in points as a secondary qualification condition.
NASCAR has enough of a black eye already.

Many people (myself included) do believe that, to the extent possible, the races are fixed.

This is something else entirely.

This is something that NASCAR needs to throw high-profile drivers and car owners out of the sport for.

Monday, September 9, 2013

And you wonder why people have given up on football...

I decided to take a look at the number of possible penalties which could be reviewed for fines (and I can think of at least three that should be reviewed for suspensions:  Clay Matthews (who would've been tossed and suspended under the NCAA Targeting Rule), Ndomakung Suh (again!! -- probably for accumulative purposes -- this will almost certainly be his seventh Player Safety disciplinary issue for a defenseless-player low block which wiped out a Pick Six for Detroit), and a third player ejected from his game for throwing punches (Carolina's Frank Alexander)).

With the two Monday nighters left, I count FORTY, between all the 15-yard penalties -- for personal fouls, roughness, roughing the passer, face masks, taunting -- and the Matthews incident...

And you wonder why, finally sick of all the fucking player-safety charade, Patrick Hruby has sworn off football (and stated as such in Readers' Digest recently)...  It's not like the present system works.

Why not try a rule change that another ex-NFL fan who reads this blog suggested to me?

(In both examples, Team A is on offense, Team B on defense...)

Team A1 at the Team B 10 yard line.  Team B commits a personal foul.  TOUCHDOWN.

Team A1 at the Team A 10 yard line.  Team A commits a personal foul.  SAFETY.

Best practical idea I've seen in years!!  And you commit multiple fouls?  They're enforced on the kick on top of it.

An offensive player could actually give up multiple safeties in this regard.

Money doesn't work, people...

I'll just give one example:  ESPN's Darren Rovell reported back in April when Matthews got his new deal that Clay will receive $22,000,000 by the end of this season.

You think $50,000 is going to dent him for that clothesline?

Sunday, September 8, 2013

But why did I have a feeling THIS was going to get buried in all the Week 1 brouhaha??

We have had another sacrifice to the altar of the National Religion.  And it sounds like an offering of beer was offered just before the human sacrifice...

This one took place at an NFL game!!

An intoxicated man in his 30's died at the stadium today in San Francisco when he fell from the walkway.

But it's all about that you JUST HAVE TO GET DRUNK AND BE ROWDY to enjoy The National Religion, right?

Never mind the guy is now dead!!

Yep, I had a feeling the league was pushing the 49ers...

... and we already have our first controversy of the year as a result!

It appears as if San Francisco was given a "fifth down" (that they didn't really need at the end of the day) that probably gave them four points.

The game was 7-7, according to ESPN.com, in the second quarter, about nine minutes to go.

3rd and 6, San Francisco has the ball at the Green Bay 10.



Colin Kaepernick is forced to scramble, goes out of bounds at the 6, and is hit late (try damn near clothes-lined!) by Clay Matthews.  (Welcome to Week 1's Fine Blotter, Mr. Matthews.  Please insert a check for $15,625 or so for that cheapie.  Your FedEx is coming Friday.)

However, also on the play, a fight breaks out, and #74 for the Niners, Joe Staley, gets an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on it.  (In fact, amend that $15,625...  I think Matthews might have to dig in for a bit more than that for the two shots to Stakey's face the refs didn't call...  And, Mr. Staley, you aren't getting out of this one unscathed either!)

OK, so what's the down and distance on the next play?

Well, the referees decide it's...  3rd and 6!!!  Even though all the action took place out of bounds, and, hence, dead ball fouls.

The problem is, even if Matthews is (as he should've been, if not ejected) penalized twice, by Rule 14, Article 8, all dead-ball penalties offset, unless Matthews (or Staley)  had been ejected (and, even then, only the ejections apply).  Hence, it should've been 4th and 2.

The redone third down gave San Francisco a touchdown.  A fourth down probably would've resulted in a field goal attempt.

San Francisco won, 34-28.

Thursday, September 5, 2013

The Truth: The Damage of Football, And America's Abject Bloodlust To It

(Blogger's Notes:  This will be bumped up, similar to the Peterson/Kluwe one.  Also, edited to add Olbermann's thoughts on the matter.)

The Truth: No One Cares About Player Safety

On Thursday, August 29, 2013, the NFL dodged yet another major bullet, once again being proven as Too Big To Fail or Too Big To Jail.

They just won the concussion lawsuits.

Sure, the headlines state that the league has settled the lawsuits with approximately 4,000 former players for approximately $760 million, plus legal costs. About $660 million of it actually goes to the players, on a case-by-case basis.

One: They get to pay this out over a 20-year period.

Two: They make $10 billion a year. According to ESPN Outside the Lines in programming on Sunday, September 1, the league's goal is, over the next fifteen years, to make that $25 billion a year. That's a billion a year increase over the next fifteen years. One of those billions would cover this entire settlement.

Three: No less than a Four-Letter Network blog (The “NFL Nation” Blog) hails this as no less than a situation which has openly saved the game of football.

WHAT A CROCK OF SHIT.

Don't get me wrong. A real accounting of the true costs to the very lives of these thousands of human beings almost certainly costs the league several years of profits and probably gets Congress involved – the one entity which the NFL might not be able to intimidate/buy off, depending on what mood they are in.

You know why this is such a crock of shit?

I'll give you two ways it is.

First, let's just look at the anecdotal evidence here as to what football does to some of these human beings. These are real people – real human beings who are trying to either make a living in the professional ranks, get there, or just be one of the few relevant students in their school districts (in most cases, you may equate this and read this as: athletes).
  • Kevin Kolb's NFL career is probably over. Yes, I know I could probably put 50 guys in Kolb's space and be accurate with every one of them. Kolb, who was to be the Bills' starter this year, suffered what Bills beat reporter Tim Graham identified as Kolb's third concussion of his NFL career, but what was discovered in the locker room has made Bills officials believe Kolb's probably done.
  • Vanderbilt's Jordan Matthews had no business remaining on the field on 2013's Opening Night of college football, Deadspin reports. Vanderbilt played (and lost, 39-35, to) Ole Miss, and Matthews had a great game. However, he was nailed by an Ole Miss player, hit his head on the turf after a violent whiplash, and vomited (DO NOT CLICK ON THE DEADSPIN LINK WITHOUT BEING FOREWARNED) while being attended to by trainers on the Vanderbilt sideline. That's at least Grade 2 concussion material, but noooooooooooo... He has to be a man and help Vanderbilt win (and was even lauded by the ESPN Matt Millen (the same incompetent boob who ran the Detroit Lions into the ground) as being a "WARRIOR!!" to stay in the game....)! The claim is that the vomiting was from overhydration due to having to be taken to the locker room in the third quarter for an IV! But it's all about being a man...
  • Another human sacrifice to the altar of The National Religion was recorded this early-season when Deantre Truman was killed on the field after a tackle in a scrimmage practice-game, CNN reported a couple weeks ago. Cause: Broken neck on the tackle. Death was pretty much immediate, as coaches tried for the 15 minutes they were waiting for an ambulance to revive him. Any guess indicates someone on that tackle was leading with his head.
  • Did you know that Roger Staubach had his career shorted by concussions? He had 20 in his career.
  • Pro Football Hall of Famer Harry Carson, double-digit concussions in his career. Life-long side effects of post-concussion syndrome have followed.
  • Of course, he's better off than Earl Campbell, who's confined to a wheelchair with arthritis in the knees, back pain...
  • And he's not the only one who didn't pay for it with his head. Just recently, it has come out that, like Hall of Famer Jim Otto in 2007, Reggie Williams is another ex-player who's probably going to lose his leg. (NOT FOR THE SQUEAMISH)
And there are literally hundreds that I could also list. This was just a short, short list of what football does to the people who entertain us on the field.

The second problem that makes this settlement a complete crock of shit is the complete lack of human empathy, on any level, by the fans (or media) for these people who have given their lives, fortunes, and sacred honor to the National Religion of Football...
  • Recent comment about the new NCAA “targetting” ejection rule: “I think the goal of the NC2A is flag football. I guess they have lace on the cups now.”
  • Another comment on the same thread, in response to the former: “The goal of the NCAA is to make sure a game between, say, Cal Tech and MIT doesn't end with somebody being paralyzed for life. (Add that to the list of reasons the "big schools" might want to leave the NCAA - they could have football rules written for teams that play serious football.)”
  • “I have a hard time believing that none of these players thought while playing that you know what? This game may be dangerous to my long term health. The NFL didn't tell them? Well did the NFL tell you to tie your cleats before getting on the field too? No they knew better. This is like sueing McDonalds for serving hot coffee. More people cashing in just because they can.”
  • “I don't feel sorry for any of these players. Football is a PHYSICAL sport no one held a gun to their heads and said your playing football, they choose to play. No one owes them an apology or money. Another thing is some of these guys are or were millionaires at some point, where is that money? Oh that's right you blew that money. Just one of the things wrong with this world, everyone is owed something.”
  • “Anyone who doesnt know concussions may cause permanent damage is an idiot. All these guys should know the inherent risks of playing football. “
  • “Some valid points in this piece Mr. Chadiha, however it's clear as day to any player at any level that there are risks involved in this game. Yes, official data on injuries may or may not have been presented to players, and certainly the more restricted tackling rules haven't always been in place (those same rules the players whine about). So was safety always a paramount concern of the league? Of course not. But you don't need to be a rocket scientist to figure out that big man + big man+ impact = injury potential. And no rule the league passes and no data or study can prevent that. If someone doesn't want to deal with these potential injuries, they can always go play flag football in a local league for free. Ooohhh, wait...the big check is part of it, isn't it? Can't have it both ways.”
  • “This article is a joke just like this lawsuit. "That's why they play the game..." This game is violent and crude but that is why everyone watches. If football played like tennis the ratings would be comparable. These players salaries are a byproduct of the sports popularity. What makes it popular? Players bringing the wood with big hits and highlight plays. Chadiha is basically telling past players to poach the NFL because the players didn't know about their bodies being crap after playing. Opinions like that are what is wrong with today's society. Get some type of signoff from players in the near future so we can protect the sport and let the haters keep hating. Watch the ESPN spelling bee if you don't like football or protest foods that cause cancer. These guys play the game for a reason....to earn millions and put their family in financial gains for years to come.”
These last five posts came from ONE ARTICLE (linked below), and show the abject bloodlust and ignorance of an American public that is so blood-drunk on football that one seriously has to wonder about the complete stupidity of their train of thought:
  • In many communities, the school only exists as a sports factory. If you aren't an athlete (especially in football), chances are you only exist in the school to get your ass kicked (or laughed at to the point of suicide or lashing out, and then YOU'RE the bad guy...).
  • If the only reason that people watch is such violence, how close are we really to the gladiator games (which were highly political in the Roman Empire) or dystopian movies like The Running Man?
  • Are we so brain-dead that we can't see that there is such a mental disconnect between the realities of how we treat our athletes and the realities of their lives (both good and bad)?
  • Are we to a more eliminative mode in society now that, once your use to society has been expended, you are expected to roll over and die?
And you wonder, after seeing both halves of this disconnect, why Keith Olbermann, on his new ESPN show Olbermann, had this to say to someone trumpeting the settlement as one great day.  He does it, and much better than I ever could:


(And I'm remiss if I don't thank my anonymous friend who sometimes sends me this stuff.)
Someone who might know a thing or two about the effects of concussions and the complete lack of NFL responsibility for them posted, in closing, to ESPN.com's September 3 article on how the players could've used more leverage to get a better settlement (there was word they wanted $2 billion in such a settlement).

(This, of course, assumes the players have an ounce of leverage in today's corporate NFL...)

The writer is George Visger, literally in the NFL for a cup of coffee with the 49ers in 1980 and 1981.

His words explain why:

“I was a 6th round pick by the Jets in 1980 and signed for $35,000, cut, and picked up by the 49ers later in the season. I made a total of $29,000 my rookie year including bonus. During my rookie season I suffered a major concussion in the 1st quarter against the Cowboys, was given over 20 smelling salts during the game to keep me on the field and never missed a play or practice. I was laughingly told this by the trainers later in the week when my memory returned.

Early in the following season, shortly after my first knee surgery, I developed hydrocephalus (water on the brain). This was misdiagnosed by the team dr as high blood pressure and I was given high blood pressure meds and continued working out. 2 1/2 weeks later, after I suffered focal pt paralysis of my right arm, he diagnosed me with a brain hemmorrhage in the locker room, I was told to go home, lie down and drive myself to Stanford that afternoon. I did, underwent emergency VP shunt brain surgery (age 22) and spent 14 days in intensive care. I was told I could still play and returned to the team and worked out the rest of the season on IR.

Four months after our Super Bowl XVI win, my shunt failed, had 2 more emergency brain surgeries 10 hrs apart and was given last rites. Also given the hospital bills, fought creditors for several years and forced to sue just for Work Comp, just to get my bills paid. I won, returned to school to complete my Biology degree, and survived 5 more emergency brain surgeries and several gran mal seizures during a 10 month period in 87 - 88 WHILE taking Organic, Bio Chem and Physics courses. It took me 5 more years to complete my degree as I developed dyslexia, major short term memory issues and other problems.

I have now survived 9 brains surgeries and still don't qualify for any NFL benefits.

George Visger
Wildlife Biologist/Traumatic Brain Injury Consultant.
The Visger Group.
www.thevisgergroup.org

SF 49ers 80 & 81.
Survivor of 9 NFL caused emergency VP shunt brain surgeries.
Benefactor of ZERO NFL Benefits.”

Fine and Suspension Blotter, Week 3 of the Pre-Season

First, YET ANOTHER Step 2 Drug Suspension:
  • Cincinnati Bengals:  DeQuin Evans (who was featured prominently on this year's "Hard Knocks") got knocked for 8 games for a Step 2 Drug Program violation.
Week 3 Pre-Season fines, from NFL.com:

The Detroit Lions got FIVE fines in their game with the New England Patriots.
  • Willie Young:  $7,875 for taunting.  (Tom Brady was the target.)
  • Nick Fairley:  $7,875 for a late hit.
  • C.J. Mosely:  $7,875 for a personal foul.
  • Joseph Fauria:  $7,875 for a personal foul.
  • Rocky McIntosh:  $7,875 for a personal foul.
Other week 3 fines:
  • Baltimore Ravens:  Armond Smith was tossed from the game for kicking an opponent.  He's also $15,000 lighter for it.
  • Two for the New York Jets:  Matt Simms fined $7,875 for a six-shooter (illegal) celebration.
  • and also for the Jets:  Vladimir Ducasse, $7,875 for a leg whip.
  • Jacksonville Jaguars:  Ken Parrish:  $7,875 for a personal foul face mask.  Why is this an unusual one?  Parrish was the PUNTER!

Super Fraud's Official Pre-Season Predictions For the Upcoming NFL Farce

I did make up longer previews and the like, and may post them at some point before Week Two, but figured the concussion settlement post a bit more important, so I didn't want to slam everything down at once.

Two things:

1) I design these on a rigged NFL -- that is, reality.

2) Anyone who tries to bet off these numbers not named Me is out of their mind, various usual disclaimers apply.

AFC East

New England 11-5
Miami 8-8
Buffalo 5-11
Jets 3-13

AFC North

Pittsburgh 10-6
Cincinnati 9-7
Baltimore 7-9
Cleveland 5-11

AFC South

Houston 12-4
Indianapolis 10-6
Tennessee 6-10
Jacksonville 3-13

AFC West

Denver 13-3
Kansas City 7-9
San Diego 5-11
Oakland 3-13

1 seed is Denver.
2 seed is Houston
3 seed is New England
4 seed is Pittsburgh
5 seed is Indianapolis
6 seed is Cincinnati

New England over Cincy
Indianapolis over Pittsburgh

Houston over New England
Denver over Indianapolis in what I thought was going to happen last year – the official endorsement by Peyton Manning of Andrew Luck.

Denver over Houston to win the AFC.

Denver has to stay out of (further) trouble with the league, though.

NFC East

Giants 10-6
Redskins 10-6
Cowboys 7-9
Eagles 6-10

NFC North

Minnesota 10-6 and the division-champion
Green Bay 10-6
Chicago 8-8
Detroit 6-10

NFC South

Atlanta 12-4
New Orleans 10-6
Carolina 8-8
Tampa Bay 6-10

NFC West

San Francisco 13-3
Seattle 11-5
St. Louis 6-10
Arizona 5-11
  1. San Francisco
  2. Atlanta
  3. New York Giants
  4. Minnesota  (I do think Peterson holds up and holds his end of the bargain.)
  5. Seattle
  6. Washington (GB starts the year 0-2, and it costs them in the end.)
Washington over NYG
Seattle over Minnesota

San Francisco over Washington
Seattle over Atlanta

Washington upsets the Giants to allow Seattle-San Francisco to be the NFC title game.

San Francisco wins to go back-to-back in the NFC.

San Francisco over Denver in the Super Bowl.