Start with the Politicals:
1) Tampa Bay
2) Dallas
3) I guess Green Bay????
Not really much to talk about, as I think the NFL marketing machine for Brady vs. Belichick and the "Who Made Hulkamania?" Super Bowl LVI (and I don't give a damn if Vince sues -- if this consummates, that's what I'm calling it!) took another notch into overdrive, then Brady gets serious Refball to get the win in the overtime game on Sunday...
Kayfabe:
Another fun mess of tiebreakers...
East: Dallas (9-4), three and the season's first HTH over the Football Team and the Eagles. Dallas cannot clinch the division Week 15, because Washington and Philadelphia play. A win, however, places the magic number over the winner of the WFT/PHI game at 1.
North: Green Bay (10-3), four over the Vikings. Green Bay wins the division Week 15 with no worse than a tie with Baltimore OR the Vikings no better than a tie with the Bears.
South: Tampa Bay (10-3), four and the season sweep over the Falcons, four over the Saints. A tie, at minimum, with the Saints on Sunday Night Week 15 wins the NFC South.
West: Arizona (10-3) and a season split and a one-game lead over the Rams.
And now the fun:
Green Bay, Tampa Bay, Arizona for the 1-3: The Bays do not play this season, Arizona does not play Tampa Bay.
So Conference Records: GB 8-2, ARI and TB 6-3. GB is the #1.
So we go through that tiebreaker with TB and ARI, now to common games, minimum of four:
Rams (ARI 1-1, TB 0-1), Bears (both won)... Not sufficient.
So break out the Strength of Victory: TB: .492 ARI .446 Tampa is the 2, Arizona now the 3.
- GB (10-3, wins conference record tiebreak over TB and ARI)
- TB (10-3, loses conference record tiebreak to GB, wins Strength of Victory over ARI)
- ARI (10-3, loses conference record tiebreak to GB and Strength of Victory to TB)
- DAL (9-4)
- LAR (9-4)
- SF (7-6)
- ......
AIEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!
6-7... FIVE TEAMS, THREE DIVISIONS, ONE SPOT.
Washington, Philadelphia, Minnesota, New Orleans and Atlanta
So two divisionals to break, Minnesota advances to the final three-way for one spot.
Washington and Philly: As noted above, they play next week. They play again in three weeks.
Divisional record: WFT 1-1, PHI 0-2
Washington advances to the final tiebreaker.
New Orleans and Atlanta: Atlanta won the first meeting.
Atlanta advances to the final tiebreaker.
Washington, Minnesota, and Atlanta for the #7: Washington and the Vikings don't play. Neither does Atlanta.
Conference record: WFT 5-3, MIN 4-4, ATL 3-6.
The Washington Football Team gets the #7.
7) WFT (6-7) (wins divisional record tiebreaker over Philly to get to final tiebreaker, wins conference record tiebreaker over MIN and ATL to get the playoff spot)
8) MIN (6-7) (loses conference record tiebreaker to WFT to fall to a tiebreak for #8 with ATL and PHI. Eliminates ATL on the basis of conference record. Wins common-games tiebreaker with PHI for the spot.)
9) PHI (6-7) (loses divisional record tiebreaker to WFT to fall to tiebreak for #8, as above. Loses common-games tiebreaker with MIN to fall to tiebreaker with ATL for #9. Defeated ATL.)
10) ATL (6-7) (loses all other tiebreakers as above, but beat New Orleans in their first meeting to eliminate them from the tiebreaker scenarios)
11) NO (6-7) (loses all relevant tiebreakers to all the other NFC 6-7s)
12) CAR (5-8) (wins conference record tiebreaker 3-6 vs. 2-6 with SEA)
13) SEA (5-8) (loses conference record tiebreaker to CAR)
So that's only three NFC teams outside of 1 game out of the playoffs with 4 to play -- and two of them are two out at 4-9 (NYG and CHI)
Only eliminated Detroit is outside that window.
NFC DUD OF THE WEEK: I guess DETROIT on that basis and the 38-10 loss to Denver...
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