Monday, October 4, 2021

NFL Week 4 Score Report

  • Oof, there's going to be some things to talk about in the Politicals post this week!
  • But to the scoring...
  • Another lower week this week:   46.5625 PPG this week for a season average of 47.14 PPG.
  • Last year:  Week 4:  52.47 for a season average of 51.32
  • Home teams 8-8 this week for a season total of 31-32.  (Last year:  6-9 for 31-31-1)
  • As an adjunct to scoring being down four points a game over the first four weeks, the Over is taking a beating this season:  6-10 this week for 26-38 for the year.  (Last year:  7-7-1 for 36-26-1)
  • Favorites had a decent week.  .500 against the number,  10-6 straight up.  Still 26-38 for the year against the number, 37-27 straight up.
  • Last year on the favorites:  ATS:  7-7-1 for 30-31-1.  SU:  10-5 for 42-19-1.
  • Penalties:  Team with more was 6-8 this week for 26-29 for the season.  (Last year:  5-7 for 24-30)
  • 195 penalties this week (12.2 per game).  For the season, 810 in 64 games (12.7).  (Last year (61 games, 15 Wk 4):  154 (10.3) for a season total of 721 (11.5))
  • Five Cliffhangers this week, including 2 doubles.  16 of the 64 games have now ended with at least one lead change or tie in the last two minutes or overtime.  (Last year's week 4 didn't have any!  11 total for last season through four weeks.)
  • Eight games finished eight points or less in margin, one score.  That's only 30 of the 64 games, for a statistic that's been well over 50% of the games the last several years.  (Last year:  9 for 33)
  • Six games were "non-competitive" -- that, at no point in the fourth quarter, was the margin eight points or less.  23 of those for the year so far.  (Last year:  3 for 18)
  • And, finally, games in which a team had a reasonable shot (from an onside kick to a Hail Mary, to a turnover down the field to a missed field goal) to Cliffhanger the game in the final 2 minutes, I call a Last Chance Miss.  This week had 5 for a season total of 16.  (Last year:  7 for 23)

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