Monday, October 18, 2021

NFL 2021 Week 6 Kayfabe Rankings

So we're six weeks in now.

Only Arizona is undefeated, only Detroit winless.

So let's take a look at the standings -- and we're going to see if we can carve out a kayfabe here.

AFC Kayfabe:

East:  Buffalo 4-2, 2 up on New England.

North:  Baltimore 5-1, 1 up on Cincinnati

South:  Tennessee 4-2, 2 up on Indianapolis

West:  LA Chargers and Las Vegas, 4-2, one up on the other two.

First, settle the AFC West:  Chargers beat the Raiders week 4.  Second meeting is the last game of the season -- Week 18.

So now you settle a three-way for the 2-3-4 between the Chargers, Bills, and Titans.  The Chargers play neither team, so no HTH.  Conference:  Buffalo is 3-2, the other two are 3-1 -- Buffalo is the 4 seed.

The next tiebreaker gets into the deep math:  Strength of Victory.  According to ESPN:  Chargers are at .500, Tennessee at .375.

So 4-2 non-division leaders are Cincinnati and Las Vegas.  They will play in Week 11.  For the moment:  Cincinnati has the edge, because of Conference Record (2-0 vs. 4-1 - yes, Cincinnati has already played THE ENTIRE NFC NORTH!).

You have a four-team tiebreaker at 3-3 for the 7 seed (remember, 7 now go in each conference).  So do the divisionals first:  Pittsburgh and Cleveland play in two weeks for their first meeting.  Cleveland has not played any division games, so the conference tiebreaker is the one which gives Pittsburgh the edge:  (2-2 vs. 1-2).

Then, Denver-Kansas City:  They won't play until December and January.  Conference record is the tiebreaker because both teams have lost their only AFC West contest.  That goes to Denver (2-3 vs. 1-3).

Then, Denver-Pittsburgh:  They will not play, but Pittsburgh has the conference edge (2-2 vs. 2-3)

So here are the current AFC Kayfabe seeds:

  1. Baltimore 5-1 (AFC North, outright position)
  2. Los Angeles Chargers 4-2 (AFC West, HTH tiebreak over Las Vegas for the division, conference tiebreak over Buffalo, strength of victory tiebreak over Tennessee)
  3. Tennessee 4-2 (AFC South, conference tiebreak over Buffalo, loses SoV tiebreak to Chargers)
  4. Buffalo 4-2 (AFC East, loses conference tiebreak to Chargers and Titans)
  5. Cincinnati 4-2 (Wildcard, conference WC tiebreak over Las Vegas)
  6. Las Vegas 4-2 (Wildcard, loses both divisional HTH to the Chargers and Wildcard conference tiebreak to the Bengals)
  7. Pittsburgh 3-3 (Wildcard, conference tiebreaker wins over Cleveland (division first) and Denver)
  8. OUT:  Denver 3-3 (wins division conference tiebreaker with Kansas City, loses WC tiebreaker to Pittsburgh)
  9. OUT:  Kansas City 3-3 (loses division conference tiebreaker with Denver, has HTH tiebreaker over Cleveland)
  10. OUT:  Cleveland 3-3 (loses division conference tiebreaker with Pittsburgh and HTH tiebreaker with Kansas City
So now to the NFC:

East:  Dallas 5-1, three over Washington and Philly

North:  Green Bay 5-1, two over Minnesota and Chicago

South:  Tampa Bay 5-1, 1 1/2 over New Orleans, two over Carolina

West:  Arizona 6-0, one over the Rams.

So Arizona is the 1.

Another 2-3-4 to break.  Conference records:  All 3-1.  So it's Strength of Victory time.  Tampa Bay and Green Bay, .414.  Dallas .400.  (Dallas is the 4)

So the NEXT ONE is Strength of SCHEDULE.  Tampa Bay .486, Green Bay .441  Tampa Bay and Green Bay DO NOT PLAY.

The Rams are the 5 outright.

New Orleans, because of the bye, is the 6 outright.

and a three-teamer for the 7.  Break divisions first:  Minnesota-Chicago won't play til Christmas and New Year's.  Divisional records:  Minnesota 1-0, and because the Bears Still Suck and Aaron Rodgers owns them (You are getting SO FINED for that, Rodgers!!!), Chicago 1-1.

So now Minnesota vs. Carolina.  Minnesota won this week, 34-28.

So...
  1. Arizona 6-0 (NFC West, outright)
  2. Tampa Bay 5-1 (NFC South, Strength of Victory tiebreaker over Dallas, Strength of Schedule tiebreaker over Green Bay
  3. Green Bay 5-1 (NFC North, wins Strength of Victory tiebreaker over Dallas, loses Strength of Schedule tiebreaker to Tampa Bay)
  4. Dallas 5-1 (NFC East, loses Strength of Victory tiebreaker to Tampa and Green Bay)
  5. LA Rams 5-1 (Wildcard, outright)
  6. New Orleans 3-2 (Wildcard, outright*)
  7. Minnesota 3-3 (Divisional tiebreaker over Chicago, HTH tiebreaker over Carolina)

No comments:

Post a Comment