Friday, October 1, 2021

A very good week for a historic champion....

(Many of these statistics are either taken directly or derived from Jeopardy! archivist Andy Saunders and his "The Jeopardy! Fan" and "J!-Archive" websites.)

Matt Amodio continues to make television history.

Tonight, he settled the dispute by passing John Carpenter's full $250,000 win on the Tournament of Champions of Who Wants To Be A Millionaire (and the $1,250,000 total) with his 33rd win to pass James Holzhauer in that total.

This makes Amodio the tenth highest winner in American game-show history.  

He has 33 wins, $1,267,801, and an average win now of $38,418.

  • He won $263,800 this week, and appears to be getting on quite the roll now.  Every game this week was a lockout game, where he had clinched victory after Double Jeopardy by exceeding double the second-place player's score.
  • He has nine consecutive lockout matches -- and was barely aced out of one on September 20th by $801.
  • The match September 20th was the only match this season so far in which Amodio has failed a lockout.
  • That now means he has 27 out of 33 matches in which he has locked out.
  • In the three weeks of the new season, in 15 matches, Amodio has won $693,000 -- an average of $46,200 a match this season.
  • Key to his success?  This season, he has found 35 of the 45 Daily Double clues.  Of those, he has missed only five.
  • Tonight, Amodio became the first person to crack the top ten list in 2 1/2 years.  Holzhauer broke onto the list on April 25, 2019.
So that's looking back.  Here's looking forward -- based on the average win over his entire run and the Wikipedia list of the top-ten highest game-show winners...
  • #9 is Curtis Warren, who won "the lot" on both Sale of the Century and a sweeps-month million-dollar stunt on Greed at $1,546,988.  At current average, Amodio will over take that amount with win #41, a week from Wednesday (October 13th).
  • #8 is the only other man in the Top Ten to win his winnings all on one show:  David Legler of Twenty-One, who became the pronounced "Game Show King" with $1,765,000.  Amodio would overtake that with 13 more wins, win #46 -- a week after he would pass Warren (October 20th).
  • #7 is the only woman on the list, and the top winner in American game-show history to win winnings on only one show:  ABC's brief Mike Greenberg-hosted Duel, where Ashlee Register won the first season and an accumulated jackpot of $1,795,000.   Amodio would pass her on October 21st with win #47.
  • Saunders has, with many years of data behind it, projected the winning streaks of every champion on the show -- but it's far more interesting when you get to Amodio and the like.  His current, as of win #33, projection is that the average streak in his simulations is 47.043 -- which would just pass about $1.8 million and Register.
  • #6 on the all-show Top Ten is Ed Toutant, who won the recall of his ascending jackpot run on Who Wants To Be A Millionaire? -- and a small amount on Jeopardy!.  Total:  $1,871,401 -- which would be win #50 on October 26th.
  • From there, it gets well into the two-million club, and the possibility that tournament interruptions for November sweeps might clog up date projections.
  • IF (*gulp*) Amodio were to continue at his current average, he would defeat Ken Jennings' $2,520,700 recognized regular-season record with a total of 66 wins, eight fewer than Jennings.  There is no way to currently estimate the date of that, but the best guess I can give would be somewhere near Christmas.
  • And win #75 would be into 2022.

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