Starting with Karl Denninger and dovetailing:
- Karl says the virus response is deteriorating and will continue to. He's right, and this is one of the causes of the general collapse I believe occurs in the next 12 months. As I said in the first line of posts, we've lost to COVID, and the indication that we've given up against the virus should be evident by where we were 12 months ago and the fact that 35-40% of this country wants the freedom to infect.
- I also believe that any feasible "disease control" through vaccines will be declared unconstitutional. May not happen in 2023, but an anti-vaxxer really has all the ammunition they need. The courts are going to have to explain to the Jenny McCarthys of the world how the CDC can be declared unconstitutional with respect to COVID requirements and not have the same problems imposing requirements on children to have their shots before they are allowed in school, which is effectively the same problem.
- Karl believes Medicare/Medicaid will blow up the budget, and the discussion has to start on that this year. He also believes that most "medical advice" will be exposed, and that the likes of "Beyond Meat" are going to quickly be relics of the past. The problem is, in the eyes of a conservative/Libertarian, there are too many people, and too many irresponsible people. And I would think they would be overjoyed, but for one very prescient issue: They want control of the process or a reasonable belief that the situation will impact, to the greater, those who "deserve it", the "useless eaters". To me, that's not a 2023 situation unless the budget completely detonates in 2023, at which point all bets are off.
- The consequences of COVID mandates will finally cause severe dislocations throughout industry, per Karl. If he's right (and Southwest appears to indicate it is beginning), the collapse comes all the faster. I think he's right. The fact is, at it's center, you either have to believe, in Karl's position, COVID doesn't exist or it has to run, death rate and total be damned.
- But, and this is mine: The simpler statement is: The gravy train this country has been on since World War II is over. The "bill" is coming due. The only question is, what do you believe the bill is against? Woke, if you're a right-wing pig?? The fact we didn't force the issue on the right-wing pigs, if you are on the left, vis-a-vis COVID, et. al.?? The abilities this country has had to serve and deliver services is ending. It is almost impossible for me to go to a grocery store in my exurb and not come back with the store being "out" of one or more things I was sent to get. The restaurants I get sent to are cutting back at every conceivable angle. I believe it starts second or third week of 2023, after the holidays wear off and some companies who needed big numbers DID NOT get them.
- Cost shifting in online shopping will crack. This one he's definitely right on. It's probably already happening. Give you just an anecdotal. I needed to order (after two failures of third-party attempts) a "real" PS4 controller (PS5 will come down to accumulating a bankroll in my new place to cover it so the generous Christmas presents from my brother's family are kept for emergencies -- else I could get one now if available). The page advertised free overnight shipping, but defaulted to Prime, which I have -- which, instead of the 2 days it usually promises, now had it for TWO WEEKS!!! I abruptly cancelled it and made sure it didn't take the default, and got my controller overnight, as advertised.
- The stock market is not done going down. Well, that depends. Any reality basically zeroes every major company in this country. The entire existence of a non-zero stock market in this day and age indicates this dis-reality.
- Inflation is not over either. And, IMODO, it won't be until someone orders "Open Fire". If you honestly believe there's too much money in the system, it's because there would be too many people in the system and you MUST eliminate the latter to eliminate the former, or you get a situation I DO think will happen, and will state later.
- Rates are not doing going up, per Karl. At some point, they will go up to the point where it all snaps. See above, and the fact that they can no longer feasibly control inflation -- but only hope to slow it -- cannot be underestimated.
- Karl says businesses will have to fire all non-functional employees -- it won't be just business, but that will take a new administration. So, unless someone has two bullets planned early in 2023, it won't happen in 2023. There is a most fundamental point that comes of all of this -- people with nothing left to lose, lose it.
- Karl says that Get Woke, Go Broke will be the new American motto. He also believes the same for "Green Energy". If that's the case, this country will have the best interest in putting many of us to sleep -- six feet under.
- Karl believes Ukraine support will vanish and that Ukraine can't win. He also believes that if Putin is ill, it will go for all of Europe and Asia. He's right!! I have believed, pretty much since the February invasion of Ukraine, that the future of this world is Russia/China -- Russia will get the entirety of Europe, China's invasion of Taiwan will get them most of Asia. God only knows what happens to Japan. The Western Hemisphere becomes vassal states.
- In fact, I believe this conflict goes nuclear -- in 2023. Now, do I believe this goes EotW nuclear? Not necessarily. But I do believe some sort of at least battlefield nuke will fly and take out a good part of the Ukraine as a pretense for Putin (or a potential successor) to take Europe without firing too many more shots -- because the alternative IS EotW. At that point, NATO dissolves and the USA sues for peace, or it's "Nearer My God To Thee".
- All or nothing for Ron DeSantis. I agree, because there's one thing he fails on that got Donald Trump the Presidency. The right wants a strongman, but someone they know as a strongman and who will actually pull the trigger. If DeSantis were even half-serious, he'd have shuttered all Disney properties in the state, with dynamite and backhoes as and where necessary. If he wants to win the game, or any such Republican heading to 2024, someone has got to get public and make it clear that they will put to sleep those the right has wanted six feet under for a long time.
- To that end, even if Kevin McCarthy is made Speaker, he is not long for the position. Queen Q, even though Marjackoff Trailer-Trash Greene says she supports McCarthy, is probably first on the list because, on some level, someone has to up and say "Now."
- Karl believes at least one member of Congress will commit undeniably (to both parties) criminal acts next year. The only question to me is: Just one? The fact is, this George Santos thing, which, with the Kari Lake trial in Arizona, Karl dovetails this off of, makes me wonder if this is even a "George Santos", or someone else -- or SOMETHING ELSE...
- Karl believes there will finally be a forced policy change in illegal immigration. I believe that will only happen if a White right militia finally gets stones, goes to the border, opens fire, and has the support of a Governor like Abbott in Texas.
- And I do believe at least an ATTEMPT at that will finally take place next year.
- Housing is nowhere near done going down, Karl thinks. I think only a reduction in population -- and a meaningful one -- does that. Especially with the White Flight movement, there is going to be pressure on rural housing prices and those in smaller cities which have not gone Blue. And then there's the fact that landlords are not going to want to reduce rents too much, especially as homes become safe havens, etc., as "things happen".
- And he believes car prices will collapse, especially used. I don't know about that, only for the fact that I do believe that elective travel may become a thing of the past, due to inflation, etc. Again, 2023? Can't say.
- At least one state will make transgenderism black-letter illegal in 2023.
- Before the next scheduled Presidential election, at least one will go for all four letters of it.
- Crime will finally completely take an American city in 2023, probably spring...
- ... which will, either there or elsewhere, finally motivate a White right group to start shooting the crime elements. (And, if it's in Florida, they will have the full support of DeSantis, which may politically aid him -- see above.)
- At least one assassination attempt will be made on Biden and/or Harris.
- Some major event will be felled by political/economic violence.