Friday, December 30, 2022

How NOT to bet Week 17... (And a look at possible Week 18 relevants)

Redditor FrozenFire777 has figured out the NFL's nightmare scenario for the NFC.  The redditor has not only figured out a way the games can go this weekend which will clinch all seven playoff spots, but their seeds as well!!!

1) Philadelphia -- win and they are the #1.

2) Minnesota -- win over the Packers and the 49ers lose to the Raiders and they are the #2

3) San Francisco -- and the 49ers would be the #3 in the same scenario

4) Tampa Bay -- Beat Carolina, win the NFC Suck, and become the #4.

5) Dallas -- Philadelphia wins and Dallas is the #5.

6) New York Giants -- Beat Indianapolis and clinch the #6, the last step by virtue of HTH tiebreaker over

7) Washington -- Beat Cleveland, and Detroit loses to Chicago and Seattle loses to the Jets, and that's the #7.

Read all of that:  That's a completely exclusive situation.

So, if:
  • PHI beats NO
  • MIN beats GB
  • LV beats SF
  • TB beats CAR
  • NYG beat IND
  • WAS beats CLE
  • CHI beats DET
  • NYJ beat SEA
You have, locked in:
  1. PHI
  2. MIN
  3. SF
  4. TB
  5. DAL
  6. NYG
  7. WAS
And nothing to play for in the NFC at all.

And we KNOW how the NFL likes to do this crap, so now you have a sober way of using wagering to sober up Sunday!

And here's the sickest part:  Of the required winners, only Minnesota (yes, Green Bay is somehow a 3-point favorite!!!), Chicago and Las Vegas are underdogs.

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On the other side of the coin, let's take a look at the current schedule for Week 18 and see how many games could be relevant:

Starting with the two least-likely divisions:  The Sucks.

NFC Suck:  TB@ATL, CAR@NO.  Carolina must win, or neither of these games are relevant.  If they do, both become relevant for the sole spot.

AFC Suck:  HOU@IND won't be anyway, but for the #1 pick for Houston.  TEN@JAX will be relevant, and very easily could end up the Sunday Nighter.

AFC East:  Unless Buffalo loses this week, NE@BUF will be relevant for the #1 seed for Buffalo.  NYJ@MIA probably is relevant, but probably needs a Miami win over New England to be relevant for the Jets.

AFC North:  BAL@CIN will probably be another game on the Shortlist for Sunday night.  CLE@PIT probably needs a Steeler win and significant help.

AFC West:  Probably the only relevance between LAC@DEN and KC@LV is going to be seeding for LAC and KC.

NFC East:  Both games will be relevant, with all four teams in the playoff chase:  NYG@PHI and DAL@WAS

NFC North:  A Philly loss and Minnesota win will probably be required to make CHI@MIN relevant.  On the other hand, Green Bay must win to help make DET@GB relevant.  A Detroit win as well might make that a "win or go home", which might pip BAL/CIN, and then the question is TEN/JAX...

NFC West:  LAR@SEA needs Seattle to win this week and get big help.  ARI@SF needs a Philly loss or a Minnesota loss to be seeding-relevant.

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