It is increasingly unlikely, given more recent polls, that the conditions for such an event would occur, but today is the day we find out. Current polls, once indicating the recall would succeed, now have it failing pretty much across the board by between 10 and 16 points.
Anti-maskers and anti-vaxxers were able to get a recall petition through and on the ballot for the immediate removal of the Democratic Governor of the state of California, former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom.
The ballots, to be counted today, ask two questions:
1) Do we remove Newsom?
2) If a majority vote yes, which of the 46 candidates replaces him?
Majority vote to remove Newsom in 1) means the candidate with the most votes in 2) replaces him upon certification of the result, immediately upon certification.
And that man will be Black/Oreo Trumpie Conservative Radio Talk Show Host Larry Elder -- the only candidate of the 46 to get any meaningful support whatsoever.
There was a point -- I want to say about six weeks ago -- that motivation among Newsom's base was so low, there was actually belief the recall would succeed and Elder would become Governor.
Some people object to making Elder the face of the recall, but the fact that he's going to win the second question (by some polls, by a factor of three or even four over the next candidate) makes him the face of the recall.
He has said, Day One, he would remove all mandates, mask and vaccine.
He would probably also have to send troops or Proud Boys to unseat the Democratic Legislature and the Democratic mayors of most of California's large cities.
What scares many of us on the Left is that there IS one case where the recall could have gained some traction if it didn't become the "Jesus Loves You! I Want To Die Of COVID So He Can Deliver Me From This Hell" Recall... California has become a haven for the "professional shoplifter club". Many criticize the fact that many city DA's won't prosecute shoplifting that aggressively sans it being a felony. Many of these people also forget how little people actually see jail as a deterrent in major California cities like San Francisco, etc.
But there are a couple of other reasons that a recall victory for Elder and the Republicans would probably accelerate the blood-letting, even above the blood-letting we are seeing in other "FREEDUMB!" states:
1) It means, almost certainly, the Republicans take the Senate, even before Kamala Harris would lose her ability to break ties if Biden went. One of California's Senators is quite aged (I forget which one, I think it's Feinstein.), and, if she were to die or resign, the Governor names an immediate replacement. Install Elder, that redoes the Senate then and there -- and removes probably the last barrier that, if Biden WANTED to resign, was holding him back from doing so.
That barrier: Should Biden resign or be thrown out or whatever, Kamala Harris becomes President. She then, however, loses her all-important tiebreaking vote in the Senate. And, to regain it, she would have to have a Vice-Presidential candidate confirmed through both Houses of Congress -- an impossible act, given the GQP. In fact, any and all governance would probably become impossible in a completely-hung 50-50 Senate.
2) It basically ends the hope of getting anybody to force the issue against the coronavirus, and this starts running through the country like wildfire.
This country basically becomes ungovernable if these bleating sows on the Right can force the rest of us to catch the virus.
If you still have not filled out your mail-ballot to turn in or mail today, vote against this as if your life depends on it. Because, unless you think you'll never get COVID...
IT DOES.
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