Sunday, September 12, 2021

America Day Three (NFL Opener) Bitch Blog

So we'll see where this first day goes:

According to Vegas Insider, some of the out there lines:
  • A game which has probably become the game of the late slot:  Kansas City vs. Cleveland, has a 54.5 total.
  • Arizona-Tennessee has somehow been bet up to 53.5 for the afternoon session.
  • The Monday nighter with Vegas and Baltimore has a 50.5 total.
  • And the Saints/Packers game is 49.5.
  • Biggest actual Vegas line for the margin is San Francisco -9 at Detroit.  Tampa also closed -9 at home with Dallas on Thursday.
  • Speaking of San Fran:  Blatant taunting no-call, as a pick-six for the Niners gets the wave treatment by the guy who scored it.  Now, in the NFL, the TD would count, but that had to be 15!
  • And if this isn't an omen:  Not only is Fitzception out with a hip injury in Washington's opener, something else has opened up.  One of the pipes has opened up and is apparently raining dirty water, if not sewage, on several of the seats!
And a very un-Goodellesque opening session to the season for the early Sunday games:
  • Several low scores, but the average was pulled up by the last three of the first session to 48.4 PPG.  Wk 1 2020's average was 47.375
  • Home teams were 3-6 in the opening session, making 4-6 so far in the week.  Last year was 8-8.  Not the greatest advertisement for "FULL STADIUMS!  FANS ARE BACK!!"
  • The Over was also 3-6 -- the last three of the session to finish.  4-6 so far for the week, 2020 being 9-7.
  • Favorites have taken a beating.  3-6 straight up for 4-6 overall.  And against the spread, 2-7 in the session for 2-8 overall.  Only the Seahawks and Panthers covered, and both played effective laughingstocks.  Last year, 8-7 against the number, 9-6 straight up.
  • One Cliffhanger in the session, a double in the Cincinnati OT win over Minnesota.  Minnesota tied it with a field goal at the gun.  Cincinnati won it with a field goal at the overtime gun.  Two Cliffhangers so far, both Doubles.  Last year had only 2 for the whole week.
  • Four Last Chance Misses in the session.  A fourth-down miss for Detroit coming back from a ton down with the Niners, a fumble which eventually cost Minnesota the game in OT, and two onside kick misses.  Last year's Week One had seven.
  • Probably the biggest news of the week so far through ten games:  Last year, only 181 penalties in the 16 games, an average of just over 11 a game.  This year, ten games:  149 accepted penalties, 14.9 per game, 3 1/2 + more per game.
  • We already tied last year's single-team single-game high for penalties:  Las Vegas had 14 in Week 17 last year.  Philadelphia had 14 today against Atlanta.  Last time a team had more than 14 in a game:  Jacksonville, 16 against Tampa Bay Week 13 2019.
  • And since Atlanta had 12, the 26 total was higher by six than anything last year (20, twice).  Last time two teams combined for more than 26 penalties:  When Oakland broke the record with 23 penalties of their own vs. Tampa Bay (6, 29 total) on October 30, 2016.  Atlanta-Philadelphia today became the 26th NFL game since 2000 which had 26 or more penalties.  There were two in the 2018 season for the last time teams reached 26 total.
And now for the second half of the day:
  • Sideline fight in Browns-Chiefs, with a Browns defender thrown out of the game for smacking a Chiefs assistant coach in the face?  Wheeeeeee...  
  • Well, you can officially scratch the Packers off "The List" -- and I fully expect the Aaron Rodgers fingerpointing (both directions) to start right about...   NOW.  Rapeis gets 5 TD's:  New Orleans 38 - Green Bay 3!!!!  I'm glad I'm now banned permanently from Reddit.  I probably would have more than a few cross words for Packer Nation right about now.  But that should take care of any illusions of Super Bowl LVI for the Packers...  That's shocking.   
  • Scoring average now down to 47.14 for the week.
  • Home teams and the over are both 6-8.
  • Favorites 6-8 straight up, 3-11 against the spread!
  • It took 17 games (193 penalties) in 2020 to beat what only 14 games have done (192) in 2021.

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