Monday, January 10, 2022

Final 2021-22 NFL Score Report

Well, here are some of the final numbers:

  • Actually got to an exact 46 points a game at the end of the year.  272 games, 12,512 points.
  • Even with an extra week, however, the league fell a full 180 points short of last year's total -- meaning that, by the end of the year, the league was a week and four games behind last year's pace.  Last year's PPG:  49.578.
  • Home teams did slightly better this year than last.  This year:  138-130-1.  (.5148)  Last year:  127-128-1 (.4980)
  • Not surprisingly, with scoring over a field goal a game lower than last year, the Over went 125-144-3 this year.  Average week was about 7.5-8.5.  Last year:  126-124-6.
  • If you bet $100 on every NFL game going over the number this year, you'd have lost about $3,036.  If you had done the same last year, Vegas would've nailed you on the juice and you'd have lost $945.  (Remember, you need to go about 55-45 to break even at the 10-11 odds.)
  • Favorites took a beating against the number this year:  127-140-3.  Last year, they were 112-137-1.
  • Same $100 a game on favorites at -110:  You'd have lost about $2,450.
  • Straight up:  167-101-1 for favorites this year, 172-79-1 last year.
  • Teams with more penalties were seven games below .500 this year (111-118).  They were 101-116 last year.
  • 3,192 penalties were called this season -- even with flags falling precipitously in the final four weeks or so, that's still 11.73 a game.  :Last year:  2882 in 256 games:  11.26 per game.
  • A total of 57 games ended this year with a tying or lead-changing score in the final two minutes of the game, a Cliffhanger.  Last year had only 46.
  • 18 of them had two such scores in the final two minutes and overtime.
  • 5 had three.
  • And two:  The ridiculousness in the final game of the year, and Las Vegas-Miami in Week 3, had a tying score at the last two minutes of regulation, and three field goals in overtime.  Las Vegas won both games.
  • One of the big stats of the year is that only 127 of the 272 games this year finished within one score.  46.7%.  Last year:  136/256, 53.1%
  • The other big stat:  A full 100 games, about 37%, never had any score within the fourth quarter within one score.  Last year:  82, 32%.
  • And Last Chance Misses:  59 this year, about 22%, had a feasible chance at a score to change the outcome of the game at the end fail.  

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