Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Score Update, as we enter halfway through the madness...

Real stupid week, as you'll see below:
  • Scoring shot back up for the week.  Would've been over 50 a week if not for the Monday nighter, but ended at 49 1/3 points per game for the week.
  • Season average is now back to almost where it ended last year:  46.653
  • Fifteen games this week, seven were non-competitive in the fourth quarter, and two more only barely so (one (OAK-CLE) was only within one score for 43 seconds of the fourth quarter, while PIT-IND lasted about 2:26 at 42-34).
  • ALL OF THE OTHER SIX GAMES WERE CLIFFHANGERS.  I don't think I've had a week since I started looking at this, but all six other games of the week were decided by a score within the last two minutes of regulation or overtime.
  • That means 26 of the 121 games played so far this year did so.  That's 21.49%, getting pretty close to where it was last year. (21.875% last year.)
  • Games within one score at some point in the 4th quarter are at 63.64%, down from 68% last year.
  • Games decided by one score are at 41.32%, down from 48% last year.
  • Over was 7-8 this week, no real indecisions on this week.  Had my math a little screwed up, so double-checked my numbers.  The over is just slightly over .500 for the year - 62-58-1 if you take predominant bets.  56-57-8, just below .500, if you take into account some of the variable results -- and that's, with the 9% juice, just what Vegas wants!
  • Another London game this week, so only 14 home games -- home team was 9-5, including the last five games to finish.  74-44-1 for the year.  Home teams are winning at a 62.6% clip.
  • Home team was called for more penalties in half of those 14 games.  7-7.  52 out of 119 for the season.  43.7%
  • The exact same number of penalties, 205, was called each of the last two weeks.  Also, 104 penalties were called on winning teams in BOTH weeks.  
  • 99 on the home teams, 103 on the visitors.
  • Team with more penalties was 7-8.  55-57-8 for the year.
  • Team with more Points of Emphasis penalties was 5-7-3.  44-48-38 for the year.
  • New season "high" for PoE penalties in a game by a team:  Pittsburgh had six accepted vs. Indianapolis, and WON EASILY...

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