Thursday, March 26, 2020

Keith, it's a great idea -- you gotta get there first...

Keith Olbermann has always been a believer that nothing is really going to hit the table socially until at least September.

He has even gone so far as to propose how Major League Baseball could, conceptually, hold a 32-game intradivisional regular season.

The playoffs and World Series go on as usual in October, and touts the concept that every game of this highly-abbreviated season would be must-win and an almost-certain sell-out.

He'd probably be right.

But he's got three major problems as they currently stand.
  1. He has to be sure an All-Stop condition doesn't happen first, especially over the summer.
  2. He has to be sure that any kind of gathering going forward won't just restart the process.
  3. In the longer term, he has to be sure this doesn't turn into an untreatable seasonal death-sentence for 1-3% of the US population every year.
One at a time:

Firstly, I said in an earlier personal rant that there are three major things which may well happen before we even get to September which will end EVERYTHING and PERMANENTLY in a hail of gunfire and blood in this country which it appears many people actually want:
  • Loss of the supply chain, especially food
  • Someone snaps anyway, starting the cascade in the first place
  • Loss of either the Power or Internet Grid
If ANY of those things happen this spring or summer while everyone is supposed to be isolated, it's all over and you get a free-fire situation the gun-nuts in this country have been literally SALIVATING over -- Shoot, Shovel, and Shush.

Secondly, it is becoming evident that any major gathering in this country is a haven for the virus -- probably because, bluntly, most everyone in this country has it -- at the least, asymptomatically.

That's right, I said it:  I believe that if we did a full testing for any level of the virus, we all have it.

I believe there is a very real non-zero chance we NEVER get the previous model back of large-scale gatherings, 60,000 in the stands for ANYTHING again -- even IF we get the country back to work with minimal business and job losses, etc.

Frankly, the best case scenario, if it appears we get to September, is to hold all events for the rest of the year, at minimum, without fans.

Thirdly, even if we get out of this, does this become the new junction of the common cold, AIDS, and the flu?  I mean, we're probably going to do everything we can to economically save the country from this first wave.  If it becomes seasonal, we are simply economically and societally FUCKED.

So, Keith...  Enough faith those three things can happen?

No comments:

Post a Comment