I think it's time, today, to talk a
little about some definitions I'm going to be using this NFL season.
For at least the last two full seasons,
at the indirect “encouragement” of Brian Tuohy (more, he gave the
statistic for 2013 and I was intrigued to follow it), I have done
“Score Reports” on the NFL on a weekly basis.
I have placed games into four given
categories.
They are:
BLOWOUT/NONCOMPETITIVE: A game that,
at no point of the fourth quarter, is within 8 points of margin for
either team. The game is a blowout, and, given the choice, is
usually turned to another game – hence, these are the games that
Herr Goodell does not want.
WITHIN ONE SCORE 4TH: A game that, at
some point in the fourth quarter comes within 8 points of margin (one
score, a tie does count), but does not end with that condition. For
example: Team B gets within 24-21 with 4 minutes to go, but a late
pick-six gives Team A a 31-21 win.
ONE SCORE NO CLIFFHANGER: The game's
final margin is within eight points, but the Cliffhanger Rule (my
understanding of Brian's interpretation) does not apply.
CLIFFHANGER: The Cliffhanger Rule (to my understanding) is
as follows:
A Cliffhanger is any football game in
which the game-tying or -winning score (any score, and a
regular-season tied game after the overtime is a Cliffhanger) comes
at or after the 2-minute mark of the 4th quarter. This
DOES NOT necessarily mean the two-minute warning has been invoked.
If the winning score comes at 1:56 and the warning comes after the
extra point or field goal, it is a Cliffhanger.
A game can have multiple Cliffhangers. I think I've seen a game with as many as four or five, especially with the overtime rules regarding the first team scoring a field goal!
You CAN, in rare instances, have a
Cliffhanger that actually becomes “Within One Score 4th” – it
would just require a second score in the final 2 minutes for the
winning team. It actually happened once last year.
But there's a problem with that
methodology, and I've realized it. You can have the fans on the edge
of their seat and not have it qualify under the Cliffhanger Rule.
Take Sunday night's New England-Arizona game, for example. The fans
were on the edge of their seats before the snap was muffled and the
kick sent wide with about 30 seconds to go. It's not a Cliffhanger –
New England's winning field goal came with about 4 minutes to go, but
it's something the NFL wants.
So I'm going to TRY to add another
layer to it this year: The Last Chance Miss.
LAST CHANCE MISS: A Last Chance Miss
is a game in which the team behind has a chance at a Cliffhanger in
the Cliffhanger period, the final 2:00. However, the team must, at
least, get some degree of close enough to invoke a Cliffhanger chance
(the Last Chance) to miss. For example, Atlanta's loss to Tampa Bay
would NOT be a Last Chance Miss: Atlanta's final attempt to tie the
game didn't get past their 30 yard line, so no real Chance was
Missed.
You can have a Cliffhanger AND a Last
Chance Miss. In fact, we have had one of those games in Week 1:
Oakland's win over New Orleans. TD + 2 for Oakland at :47. New
Orleans gets the ball back (a ridiculous 15-yard penalty on Oakland
for the conversion celebration actually put the ball behind the new
touchback line for New Orleans on the kickoff return), and the final
play was a 61 yard field goal which went wide.
I've went over the last two years.
The fewest number of non-competitive
games in any week the last two seasons has been two. (Week 9 last
year, 13 game schedule) We have had weeks with as many as NINE. I
believe the lowest number for the last two years of a full 16-game
schedule has been four.
We're breaking that last number, at the very least, this week.
In what has to be one of the greatest
declarations that the NFL wants the on-field action to be the
narrative, the NFL turned the dirty-hit-fest from Thursday night
around and told the teams to knock it off.
Instead, the NFL did something else.
On what my anonymous friend believes
the NFL would call “NFL Day!”, 15 years of the NFL being the
dominant social narrative in this nation, the NFL had 13 games, plus
the Thursday-nighter, so far this week, as your regular programming has been interrupted for football...
ONE, Philadelphia's 29-10 win over the
hapless Browns, was non-competitive.
ONE.
We still have the Monday night
doubleheader, but this means that the NFL will at least have to go
back to 2013 to find a week with fewer blowouts in a full schedule.
I sense they may be looking quite a ways.
The NFL has had FIVE Cliffhangers so
far, and four Last Chance Misses. (Week 13 last year, I believe
Thanksgiving Week, had SEVEN Cliffhangers. So did Week 4. Weeks 5
and 8 had six. Week 8 of 2014 also had six, the only week that season with five
or more.)
Of the 14 games contested, 11 have
ended within one score. Eight have ended either in Cliffhangers or
attempted Cliffhangers.
Keep this in mind, America, as you
swear your fealties to this garbage: DO YOU REALLY BELIEVE THIS IS
NOT ROGER GOODELL YELLING TO YOU...
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