Monday, September 29, 2014

Week 4 Score Update: The Baying Animals Are Placated With Points

Well, at least part of the rhetoric is back.

For the fourth time since 2001, and I believe in NFL history, this week broke the 52 point-per-game mark.  52.08 points per game for the 13 games this week.

The average for the four weeks is now up to 46.20, now only about half a point below last year's record.
  • All three prime-time national games were BLOWOUTS.  (45-14, 38-17, 41-14).  This means, through four weeks (13 national prime-time games), only four games of the national schedule were within a touchdown at some point in the fourth quarter, and only ONE decided in the last two minutes.
  • Eight of the thirteen games were decided by the end of the third quarter.  Three more were only within a touchdown at some point in the fourth quarter, and only one game was decided in the last two minutes. (Tampa Bay over Pittsburgh with a TD at 0:07.)  One more game stayed within eight points.
  • This means only nine games this year, through four weeks, have been decided in the last two minutes with a score.  That's 14.75% for that.
  • Last year, the NFL noted that 68% of the games were within 7 at some point in the 4th quarter and that 48% of the games were decided by 7 or less.  This year?  If I even expand that to 8 points, only 59% of all the games are within 8 points at some point in the 4th quarter, and only 36% of the games are decided by 8 or less.
  • To few people's surprise, over was 10-3.  Still 7-12 games below .500 for the year, depending on where you bet.
  • Home teams were 8-4 this week (there was one game in London -- which I consider a neutral site).  38-22 for the year.
  • Home teams, about 6.4 penalties a game. Home team was called for more penalties in 7 of the 10 games in which there was a home team and penalties were not tied.  (That's 26 out of 60 games in which this occurred, about 43%)
  • About 14 penalties per game this week.
  • Team with more penalties was 6-5-2 this week -- 27-30-4 for the year.
  • Team with more penalties on Points of Emphasis was was 5-6-2 -- 26-23-12 for the year.

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