Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Super Bowl "Best vs. Best": Some legal gambling numbers...

  • Estimates have 50,000,000 people in this country laying legal bets on the Super Bowl...
  • Purported handle:  $16,000,000,000.
  • $320 per person, eh?
  • ESPN Chalk reports that a 2,000-prop betting sheet for Caesar's Sportsbook actually had the majority of it concocted at an employee's house over pizza and wings in Las Vegas.
  • As of this morning, some of the largest bets:
    • Largest prop bet:  Caesar's. $35,000 that no punt or kickoff return touchdown occurs (-1400), the ESPN Chalk article does the math wrong, though -- that's a $2,500 win if it comes through.
    • Some idiot, at 10000-1 (and the math is done wrong again), bet $8 that the Eagles would score exactly four points.  The $80,000 payout would be the largest prop payout (so far), but if you're that interested in throwing away your money, I'm sure I can find an anonymous way just to give it to me!
    • On the other side of the coin (and far more likely), someone bet $1,000 that Jalen Hurts throws five touchdowns in the game.  (+6000)
    • PointsBet sees a bet hedging on the absurd, and if seven specific different players all score touchdowns, the $1,000 bet would make this person a millionaire (and would make me want to know where he got the actual script for the game!!!).
    • The first million-dollar bet on the game was taken by MGM on Saturday:  Money-line on the Eagles for a million (-125).
    • As of Saturday, the current best scenario for the bookies is the Chiefs win and the game goes over 52, though they do not believe that will be the case by game-time.  That's kinda how I see the game going.   
    • In the "If You Think About It, It May Not Be THAT Ridiculous" Department:  Someone laid $100 on two different players being the MVP of the game:  both backup quarterbacks.  Gardner Minshew in +25000, Chad Henne is +10000.  And remember that ankle for Mahomes!  
    • The analogue which IS a bit more ridiculous (because it's never happened) is the Ontario, Canada person who bet $500 on the teams' kickers in the same respect.  If that somehow cashes, $100,000.  But if the game is like 12-7 or something...

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