Thursday, February 9, 2023

Super Bowl "Best vs. Best": The Prediction

(DISCLAIMERS:  You are responsible for what you do with this information, betting or otherwise.

Second:  I do not usually make this post Thursday night, but am doing so for reasons I will explain -- it has nothing to do with blog absence or Internet or anything of that capacity.  It's just, if we are left to believe what we are being told and this is any degree of consistent, this is "Lock of the Decade" level.

Third and last:  If anything changes, I will change or update the prediction accordingly.  But I will state openly that I think it would take a Britt Reid (or Barrett Robbins)-level event by one or more members of the Chiefs before the game at this point -- and then the NFL may join quite a few people in the "may the stadium implode and take both teams with it" motif.)

And yes, this is, in good part, about Damar Hamlin and how much he has been presented (or should that be exploited?) this week.

I am still going to (probably until the end of time) question why all the secrecy in Buffalo at that first appearance, and I'm still not 100% convinced and probably will never be.

However, if this is the story (and doubly so if this is the truth), let's take a look at this season through those glasses:

Why did the Bills go 12-4?  They were (under the operational hypothesis) never going to be the choice.  Look at the division:  Jets and Patriots had little or nothing to offer on the top end (though the Rookie of the Year awards for the Jets indicate that COULD change), and Tua had a concussion the last fifteen weeks of the regular season.  (Note:  I am NOT saying he had three or four concussions -- I'm saying it was one concussion, has not healed, and he should never play organized football again.)

What other choices were there in the AFC?  Not really any.  The South was a joke.  The West, sans KC, just as much so.  And the North -- Lamar was hurt again, Pittsburgh's rebuilding, and they couldn't quite pull the trigger on DeRapist Rapist.  (Especially given the Araiza situation taking out Buffalo -- which is now the only situation which would make sense if you believe that's Damar out there this week.)

So you were down to Cincy and KC, and any hope Burrow had of that push went away when our favorite Bengal thug Joe Mixon decided to threaten to cap somebody the day before the divisional game.

And then let's look at the NFC, and why Minnesota Viking fans should boycott and trash their TV's.  Because, if the NFL could do it over, the Vikings probably go to the Super Bowl:

  • January 11:  Sam Williams of the Cowboys has an arrest warrant filed for reckless driving.  The NFL decides to end the Tom Brady fiasco anyway, and then get the rivalry game, 49ers/Cowboys.
  • January 24:  Charles Omenihu of the 49ers arrested for domestic violence.  Team loses next game to the Eagles.
  • February 1:  Josh Sills indicted by an Ohio grand jury for rape and kidnapping, and immediately fired from the NFL by the Commissioner.
That's FIVE certifiable Lombardi contenders (and probably the only five other Lombardi contenders) off the boards due to off-the-field misconduct.

Guess what that means?

Even with the Willie Gay Jr. Personal Conduct suspension (which I DID say, at the time, would be a disqualifier -- and should've been, by any consistency -- but then consider a Vikings-Jaguars Super Bowl for a minute...) on September 19, Patrick Mahomes is getting his second ring to go with that second MVP he got tonight.

And my opinion is the game will not be close.  Even though the NFL has a penchant for the Fantastic Finish (tm), there is a message to be sent here:  You do NOT besmirch the league, especially the closer you get to the Super Bowl.

90%, almost, of over 70 ESPN experts believe this is a one-score game.  Of eight Sports Illustrated pickers, seven believe this will be a one-score game, with the eighth saying "It's the Eagles' year, we're just living in it."

I think they are WRONG.

I'm thinking the same 27-10 that the Cincy-Buffalo game ended, apparently because of Matt Araiza.

Fuck Andy Reid.

Fuck Andy Reid.

Fuck Andy Reid.

And did I say "Fuck Andy Reid." yet?

Would I be that shocked if the game was a Fantastic Finish (tm) for the Chiefs?  No.

But there will be some real questions on this blog if the Philadelphia Eagles are Super Bowl LVII Champions.  

And, at that point, I start smelling deep-fake.

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