Sunday, September 8, 2019

Some comparative thoughts heading into Monday's doubleheader:

  • Scoring up almost two points a game.  24 more points scored in the first 14 games this year than last.  Even with the 13 Thursday night and the 36 Sunday night.
  • Only 5 games went under 48.
  • Vegas books, according to VegasInsider, won small based on Cleveland getting exposed and I don't know which back-door helped 'em too, but favorites so far are 6-7-1 against the number and 9-4-1 straight up (2018 had the same result exactly, including the straight-up draw, AS WELL AS the 8-6 for the Over.)
  • Home teams 8-5-1 last year, 6-7-1 this year, and that took 4-1-1 after the early games.
  • Supplemental Discipline will be busy in New York -- there's a chance of three suspensions at least from Sunday, two of them could easily be multiple games.
  • If you're in Las Vegas (and I urge all regular disclaimers apply -- only gamble for entertainment and what you can lose, taking this advice is your own responsibility, etc.):  According to VegasInsider, the opening line after the Sunday nighter for New England vs. Miami is NE -14 1/2.  If that's not license to print...  They will have to literally rig that game to keep it within 28.
  • If New England is that good, we just call it all off now and the only question is if someone takes Brady out at the knees.  I have no dispute the NFL would like to get Brady 19-0 one season to literally make him Greater Than Jordan, but that was a New England massacre and a Pittsburgh surrender.
  • (Other) teams on the up:  
  1. Green Bay (only on the D for the moment, but if Rodgers hits stride and the gamble of him taking no preseason snaps works...) 
  2. Baltimore (I just don't know what you do with that against a Miami team that probably can't beat a Top 5 college team.)
  3. Kansas City (You could say "Karma, bitch!" to the Tyreek Hill injury, and it's clear the league is painting Patrick Mahomes as the One Great Hope to unseat Brady.)
  4. Dallas (Probably the biggest rig-job recipient of the week.  If the NFC is as wide open as things may indicate, maybe they just figure Dallas and they'll just job to New England anyway.)
  • (Other) Teams who might want to keep a close eye on their rosters:
  1. Cleveland.  Nuff said.  That was not only an embarrassment, but a quit-job.
  2. Chicago.  Too many more weeks of that, and they'll be scouting situations for a new QB to save what might be ANOTHER lost season for that defense.
  3. Both New York teams, Arizona, Detroit, Tampa Bay  They are what you think they are.  They stink.
  4. Pittsburgh.  Need I say more?  And that's three subreddits I've now been banned from in the last 36 hours.  Steeler fan...  Truth fucking hurts.  That was an exposition, a surrender, and an indication we all but should cancel the season and crown 'em unless someone finally has enough and takes Brady out at the knees.

1 comment:

  1. Someone should do a Charles Martin job on Brady and Antonio Brown. I am sick of the NE Pats. This is just like the 49ers in the 90's when they were the league's preferred team, and they could get away with anything.

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