Monday, December 18, 2017

After All That, The Score Report For Week 15 of the 2017 Season

You know it's bad when even Vegas admits it:

  •  44.625 points per game this week.  43,625 last year.
  • 15 week average:  44.14  Last year:  44.46
  • Home teams were 9-7 last week, but it took 1-4 in the last 5 and all three regular national games going to the road side (TNF, SNF, and MNF) to get there.  120-99 for the season.  (.548)  Last year was 7-9 for the week, .575 for the season.
  • Two of the mentioned games in the VegasInsider tweets pushed (SF did as well with the winning kick).  A first for the season:  Seattle and the Rams kicked a pick.  So favorites were 9-4-2 ATS and 14-1 SU.  8-8 ATS and 12-4 SU last year.
  • Season totals:  116-100-7 ATS (just about enough to make money if you consistently picked favorites equally) and 157-66 SU.  107-99-7 ATS and 138-74-1 SU last year.
  • Over was 6-9-1 this week for 104-112-8 for the year.  Last year:  7-9 and one game under .500
  • Team with more penalties was 5-10 this week -- 90-117 for the year.  Last year:  8-7 and 80-109.
  • Six non-competitive games, two games within 8 at some point in the fourth and not at the end, 8 games finished within 8, 3 Cliffhangers (NE, DAL, SF).  Still only about 48% of the games ended within 8 points this year so far, 30% of the games are blowouts that never get within 8.
  • Big news of the week?  SEVEN Last Chance Misses, including two of the three Cliffhangers -- the third would've been had SF missed their field goal at the gun that won it.
  • Both this year and last have had 43 Cliffhangers in 15 weeks.  The big difference?  This year has had 109 games finish within 8 points.  Last year had 120!
NFC Update, as I did the AFC last night to completion.
  • You pretty much have your six playoff teams in the NFC:  PHI, MIN, Rams, NO, CAR, and ATL.  The only way that breaks is if one of the 10-4s (or Atlanta, who beats all the tiebreakers at 10-6, and they're 9-5 now) loses their last two and one of the three 8-6s wins their last 2 and the setup is right.
Ratings:
  • Basically about what you'd expect for the last relevant regular-season game:  Steelers-Pats window went huge for CBS (+8%).
  • CBS Regional Window:  -39%!!  Lowest window of the season.
  • FOX Single was down marginally.  "Down a tick"
  • Sunday night was down 20%. 

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