- FOX National (mainly Eagles-Rams): Up 2% to a 16.0 overnight. Sports Media Watch notes a 16.0 didn't mean that much in 2013-15, but means a lot now, as it's the biggest overnight since Week 2. The #NFLBoycott is real, people. Whether it's working or not -- that's another question.
- The national window has only improved five times this season -- the other four were all with the Cowboys.
- Speaking of the Cowboys: The FOX regional window was up 11%, and featured the Cowboys. Jerry Jones' "respect the flag OR ELSE" mantra is resonating.
- CBS single window: Down 24%.
- Sunday night was down 30%, but last year's was Cowboys-Giants with both teams heading to the playoffs.
- Detroit won (bet is over 7.5) for 7-6. So I need one of the last three: Home to Chicago, at Cincy, home to Green Bay. I could easily see Detroit winning all three of those.
- Seattle lost (bet is under 10.5) for 8-5. So I need them to lose one of the last three: Home to the Rams, at the Cowboys, home to Arizona. Probably have two realistic shots at that, both decent.
- New England just shit the bed, and now they must win all three to go over 12.5. (At Pittsburgh, home to Buffalo and the Jets)
- Pittsburgh at 11-2, won the AFC North this week. A win over New England next week gets them home-field and makes them Super Bowl favorite.
- New England at 10-3. Can retake the #1 with a win over Pittsburgh, but that makes the last two probably must-win as well.
- Jacksonville at 9-4.
- Kansas City at 7-6, tiebreaker over Los Angeles with the one win against them, but they play this Saturday night.
- Tennessee at 8-5.
- And then a mess at 7-6. Los Angeles, Buffalo and Baltimore. Los Angeles loses to both Buffalo and Baltimore on conference record (4-5 vs. 5-4), but breaking tie between the remaining two goes all the way to strength of victory (.407 vs. .378)! The current #6 is the Buffalo Bills.
- A lot of people talking the Wentz injury, because Philly has the NFC East wrapped up at 11-2.
- The Vikings falling to Carolina makes them 10-3.
- Los Angeles is 9-4, tied with Carolina and New Orleans.
- Break the divisional tie first, and New Orleans has it by sweeping Carolina (9-4). LA then gets the #3 by the win over New Orleans.
- Carolina at 9-4.
- Atlanta at 8-5, Seattle out because Atlanta beat them.
Score report:
- 43.6875 points per game this week. Last year was actually under 40 for the week: 39.812.
- For the season: 44.106 PPG. Last year: 44.524
- Home teams continued a good run: 10-6 -- 9-7 last year.
- Record for home teams now 111-92 (.547) Last year: 119-84-1 (.586)
- Home teams are 31-17 since the byes ended.
- Over was 5-10-1 this year, 6-9-1 last year. 98-103-7 for this season, 103-102-2 last year.
- Favorites, both this year and last, were 10-6 against the number and 11-5 straight up.
- For this season: 107-96-5 ATS, 143-65 SU. 99-91-7 ATS, 126-70-1 SU. I don't think we've had a pick 'em game yet this year -- we had quite a number last year.
- Team with more penalties was 9-5. Last year, 4-11.
- Team with more penalties this year is now 85-107 vs. 72-102 last year.
- FIVE Cliffhangers this week, including two doubles. (Green Bay needed 20 unanswered and a Double Cliffhanger to escape the BROWNS. Buffalo scored 10 of it's 13 points in Cliffhanger mode for the double and the overtime blizzard win over Indianapolis.) Last year had 3.
- Total of 40 Cliffhangers this year -- same number as last year.
- TEN games finished within one score this week. Most since Week 5. Last year had 10 as well.
- Total number of games finishing within one score this season so far is only 101. Last year: 115. So one game a week less than last year finishing within one score.
- Two games were within a score at one point of the fourth (38 for the year, last year had 39).
- Four non-competitive contests, last year had 5.
No comments:
Post a Comment