I think that has a number of not-so-obvious ramifications, given the present political and social climate.
However, one indication I am getting of this possibly starting up can be found in a more normalizing pattern of the NFL in Week Five. The rest of this will be handled in it's own article.
With that, the Week Five Score Report:
- Week 5 Score Average: 43.36 this year. Last year: 44.64 Two years ago: 46.29
- Five week total average: 43.90 this year. Last year: 45.38. Two years ago: 46.26
- BAD week for the home teams this week: Only 4-10!!! Last two years, Week 5 home teams were 7-7.
- But what that means is, five weeks in, for the first time I can remember tracking, home teams actually have a LOSING RECORD! Home teams are 37-38 in the NFL so far this year. Last year they were 41-35, two years ago they were 42-34.
- Favorites were 8-6 both ways this week. That makes 34-43 against the number and 46-31 straight up. Last year, they were only one game below .500 through five weeks against the number and 40-30 straight up.
- Team with more penalties was 8-5 this week, with one game ending even. That means that the team committing more penalties is now three games over .500.
- This means that trends indicate that home teams and teams committing fewer fouls are LOSING more than winning.
- Here's where we get to the normalization part. This week, only 2 games ended non-competitively and only a third ended with the margin outside one score in which the game was within one score in the 4th quarter.
- 11 of the 14 games were within one score at the final margin, three Cliffhangers, 4 Last Chance Misses.
- So that makes 15 Cliffhangers for the year in 4 weeks. Still below 20%. 14 last year (Week 5 2016 had one), 19 two years ago (Week 5 2015 had six!).
- 40 of the 77 games have now finished within one score. 28 of the last 46 after only 12 of the first 29.
- Last year, the NFL broke a record in that regard, with 58 games within one score at some point in the fourth quarter. This year? 50.
- 15 Last Chance Misses through five weeks. Last year? 24.
- The Cowboys made it 5-for-5, as their slot, for the fifth week in a row, was up in ratings -- about 15%
- However, from their meeting in 2016 in the regular season, down 16%.
- The Sunday nighter was up 4% from last year, but that was against a presidential debate. Down almost 20% from two years ago.
- The early windows for both CBS (single) and FOX (early of double) were down 16-17%.
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