Side note: An NFL race you don't know about that no one wants to win...

Kinda got snookered, earlier in the day, on this one, and decided to look into the summer edition of Hard Knocks...

Remember, there are three criteria by which you become exempt...

1) Playoffs, last two years...

That eliminates 18 teams, with a 19th possible.

2) Have appeared last 10 years on the show

That eliminates Cleveland, the Jets, Miami, and Cleveland

3) First-year coaches

That will take care of Green Bay and Tampa Bay definitely, and it appears Denver as well.

That would leave the following list (EDIT:  As of Sunday):

• Indianapolis, if and only if they do not win tonight
• Detroit
• Washington
• New York Giants
• Arizona
• San Francisco
• the Raiders
• and Denver

My guess?  Between the Raiders and Giants, for maximum chaos.

EDIT FOR BLACK MONDAY:

Ouch.

Remove Indy because they "won".

And add to Green Bay and Tampa Bay, according to Deadspin:

Miami, Denver, Arizona, Cincinnati and the Jets

That means the apparent final list is now down to:

• Detroit
• Washington
• New York Giants
• San Francisco
• and the Raiders