Saturday, May 31, 2014

The NYT Declan Hill Piece Was So Big, I Didn't Even Include My Second Pre-World Cup Point Of The Day

Shows how much of a dork I can be sometimes.

I said there were two major stories already surfaced on the World Cup, and only gave the first one.

The second was a friendly held in the UK between Scotland and Nigeria this past Wednesday (May 28, 2014).

The BBC reported on the day before the match that the home federation, the Scottish Football Association, had been alerted to the possibility that this match (and other international World Cup tune-ups) could be on the verge of being fixed events (not unlike the matches outlined in the New York Times piece I talked about earlier today).

Reactions were predictably guarded, and the match was on.

This, then, happened:


It's the 32nd minute, and Nigeria leads 1-0.

There's no dispute in this video -- the Nigerian goalkeeper, Azubuike Egwuekwe (who is on the provisional team list for Nigeria for Brazil 2014), literally throws the ball away from a header and into his own net.

The goal is disallowed for a foul, however.  The fact remains, without dispute, that Egwuekwe threw the ball into his own net for an own goal.

Courtesy of CBSSports.com's article on this incident and other games of the international soccer day, here's the Nigerian defense successfully scoring for Scotland 20 minutes later to give Scotland a 2-1 lead.


THIS MATCH WAS FIXED.  And not just by Egwuekwe, but he's the first you look at.

Ladbrokes had odds of 13-10 (+130) for the Over on 2.5 goals.

Nigeria would score late to level the match at 2-2, the final result.  A draw would've gotten you 11-5 odds (+220).

This World Cup Is Going To Be A Bigger Farce Than Usual

We are now less than two weeks from kicking off the World Cup in Brazil.

I have at least one report from Brazil which indicates this blog MAY be forced to boycott this event too.

I have two more which indicate it probably won't matter -- that this World Cup is about to become the most corrupt in history.

The story which might force the boycott comes retweeted from Declan Hill:  Homeless children in Brazil are actually being killed to "sanitize" Brazil for the World Cup next month.

In the months preceding the World Cup, Declan Hill reported on his blog that gunfights, common in the streets of Rio de Janiero, had prompted a violent police crackdown, killing dozens.

Now, it apparently has gone further, in that homeless children appear to be being killed to sanitize an increasingly-agitated and violent Brazil in the weeks proceeding soccer's biggest event.

If that's not enough to spur calls for the cancellation of the World Cup in the nation which was formerly (but no longer) soccer's greatest nation, listen to these two bombshells from Declan Hill and others.

The first is a New York Times two-part revelation by Declan Hill and Jerè Longman on match-fixing surrounding the 2010 World Cup in South Africa.

Only part one has been published as of the writing of this blog post, and it's already explosive:

  • The May 31, 2010 pre-World Cup friendly between South Africa and Guatemala was fixed, as well as four other matches in the lead-up to the World Cup tournament.
  • The referee of the aforementioned match was paid $60,000 to fix the match for the hosts.  Especially suspicious were two handball penalties called where the ball never touched the hands of the players -- one ball was chested down legally and called a penalty.  Video of this and other indiscretions of this referee can be found in this report.  South Africa would win the match 5-0.
  • This paid off handsomely for match-fixers on the "over" on the total, which had started at approximately 2 2/3 goals, but would balloon to about 3.5 by kickoff, and 4 in in-match wagering.
  • He was also given a number of commemorative South African coins to augment his deposit, which was believed to total as much as $100,000 in dirty money.
  • The referee in question, from Niger, was two years from FIFA's mandatory retirement age for referees, and FIFA (quite conveniently) held off long enough to brush aside the allegations after this referee was retired.

However, the most devastating portions of this first part of the report come in the details:

  • The referee, one Ibrahim Chaibou, was appointed not by any sanctioning body for the friendly match.  Instead, he was installed for the match by an organization named "Football 4 U International", which, as part of a referee exchange program, promised to provide African referees which were FIFA-certified for the pre-World Cup friendlies, in exchange for South African referees who would be refereeing matches in the Middle East going forward.
  • "Football 4 U" is a Singaporean company which is a front for the match-fixers in Singapore.
  • One of them is named Wilson Raj Perumal, who is an executive with "Football 4 U".  He claims to be the world's most prolific match-fixer.  Perumal, later in 2010, actually sent a team of amateur imposters, masquerading as the national team of Togo, to play Bahrain in a supposed "match".  (Chaibou was also the official of this match.)
Another "Football 4 U" associate offered three different South African officials bribes to allow "Football 4 U" to circumvent the normal FIFA processes of match official selection to install their officials instead.  Two took this associate up on the offer.
  • In addition to the four other matches which were fixed previous to the tournament, ten other matches were targeted, including the United States friendly with Australia, which both countries caught on to and promptly averted disaster.  The three Bosnian officials assigned by the cheats to that game would all be life-banned later for match-fixing.  Three South Africans did the match instead.
  • After the match with Guatemala, the (non-corrupt elements of the) South African federation caught on, and demanded no further funny business for a final tune-up friendly for the hosts against Denmark.
  • Three Tanzanian crooks referees were installed by "Football 4 U" for this match.  The front company had also attempted access to the officials at halftime of this and other matches it was involved in.
  • One was backed out of the situation for some unknown reason, and two different officials (one installed by "Football 4 U" -- Chaibou! -- and one installed by the proper authorities (a respected South African, which, though unusual, was deemed necessary under the circumstances)) were preparing to replace him.
  • Chaibou was actually jailed in a locker room during the match by the respected officials, and the South African presided over the match.
  • The "total" on that match was three goals, but, with a fair official, only one was scored (South Africa got it to win).  This cost the match-fixers at least a million dollars.
  • This prompted death threats against the South African officials...
  • ... who appeased "Football 4 U" by allowing them to select the officials (and, hence, fix) the match between Nigeria and North Korea the next day.  Many legitimate bettors were taken to the cleaners in the 3-1 Nigerian win.
Perhaps the most explosive claim of this part is that Perumal actually gave a price for the fixing of a 2010 World Cup match!
  • After the World Cup began, it was clear Perumal wanted to make the statement that he could fix any match, so he sought out officials on the World Cup list who could be bought.
  • He found a potential target and offered him $400,000 to fix a World Cup match.
  • Thankfully, the official was aware of Perumal's reputation and refused the offer, but only on the grounds that the official felt Perumal would talk about it too much.
Does anybody want to continue to believe that we, at best, are not going to see a replay of the clearly-fixed South Korea/Japan World Cup 12 years ago, where heavyweights Italy and Spain were both ousted in fixed matches by South Korea through suspicious calls?


Especially in a once-beautiful country in which the veneer is now clearly coming off??

Friday, May 30, 2014

I May Have To Stand Seriously Corrected

The hearing to expel Donald Sterling has been cancelled.  The proposed sale to Ballmer and the incapacitation ruling on Donald have placated, at the very least, the concerns of the NBA as to Donald Sterling.

The NBA, through the Associated Press, announced the move tonight.

The only questions remaining now are the ones surrounding Ballmer, and whether the $2 billion sale will be approved by the owners.

With Donald Sterling (as least as far as the league is concerned, the lawsuit will go forward) out of the picture, the sale would appear, now, to be legal, since Rochelle was never banned from dealings with the Clippers -- only that the players and league didn't want Rochelle involved in the Clippers going forward.

It now appears that, as long as no real objections come up, Steve Ballmer will have rewritten the entire sports landscape in North America with this bold move.

Because every valuation of a North American pro sports franchise now has to double, if not triple.

Final NBA Conference Finals Study

EASTERN CONFERENCE

INDIANA PACERS (1 seed) VS. MIAMI HEAT (2)

(Miami wins series 4-2.  This is Miami's fourth consecutive Eastern Conference Championship.  The Heat are only the third team in NBA history to do this, in either conference.  The Celtics won the Eastern Conference for a solid decade, with 9 titles between 1957 and 1966.  The Lakers won the Western Conference every year from 1982 to 1985, winning two titles in those four years.)

Game 1 (May 18):  Indiana 107 - Miami 96

Miami was the favorite, 2 - 2.5 at most places, 1.5 at the Wynn, 3 at the Papermill.  (UPSET)
O/U:  181.5 - 182.5 183 at the Atlantis.  (OVER by 20+!)

Free Throws:  Indiana 29-37  Miami 10-15

ARE YOU FREAKING KIDDING ME???

This is either a wildly-deliberate means to extend the series, a massive mind-fuck on Vegas (who was big on Miami), or something else is going on here.

Game 2 (May 20):  Miami 87 - Indiana 83

Miami was a 2 - 3 point favorite.  (COVER)
O/U:  184.5 - 185.5 with 186 at Jerry's Nugget.  (UNDER)

Free Throws:  Miami 11-18  Indiana 10-15

Wow.  22 less free throws for Indiana, and the series goes tied.  What a coincidence!

Game 3 (May 24):  Miami 99 - Indiana 87

Miami was a 6 - 6.5 point favorite.  (COVER -- was coming down from 7, so money was the wrong way.)
O/U:  Anywhere from 182 to 183.5, depending on where you got it.  (OVER)

Free Throws:  Miami 15-20  Indiana 19-25

Game 4 (May 26):  Miami 102 - Indiana 90

Miami was a 6 - 6.5 point favorite.  (COVER)
O/U:  182 - 183.  (OVER)

Free Throws:  Miami 30-34  Indiana 11-17

Three-peat train a-rolling...

Game 5 (May 28):  Indiana 93 - Miami 90

Many books had this game a Pick, but those that didn't had Miami by 1 - 1.5. (UPSET at those.)
O/U:  183 at some books, but 183.5 - 184 at others.  (PUSH at 183, UNDER at 183.5-184.)

Free Throws:  Indiana 13-22  Miami 7-8

OH!!!!  So 54 free throws in Miami for Games 3 and 4, EIGHT in Game 5, a game Miami bolted to a large run to get a decent halftime lead.  YEAH RIGHT!!!

And LeBron doesn't take the final shot to try to get it to overtime. 7 points, and 5 fouls in 13 minutes.  Yeah, they didn't want a Game 6...

Game 6 (May 30):  Miami 117 - Indiana 92

Miami was a 8 - 8.5 point favorite, with a 7.5 at the Mirage.  (BIG COVER)
O/U:  182.5 - 183.5.  (BIG OVER)

Free Throws:  Miami 18-21  Indiana 18-24

Series in Review:  Miami makes it four straight Eastern Conference titles, just three games over the minimum.  And anyone paying attention knows the two in this series were both gift-wrapped Indiana home wins, so it was clear from Jump Street that Miami had no real competition in the first place, and pretty much waltzes to a fourth consecutive NBA Finals.

But as of about 10 PM Pacific time, as I formulate the rest of this, some joker on Wikipedia actually had, on the NBA Champions page, Oklahoma City defeating the Heat in seven games.  Let's see how long that stays up. (ETA 5/31/14 1557:  Since removed.)

Miami covered the four games it won, they were the favorite in all six games.  (Favorite 4-2 SU and ATS.)
Over was also 4-2.
 
WESTERN CONFERENCE

SAN ANTONIO SPURS (1 seed) VS. OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (2)

(San Antonio wins series 4-2.  Two in a row for the Spurs (last year's Finals went seven).  Sixth Western Conference title since the Jordan Rules finally shoved Foolish and Wretched Ballhog out the door.)

Game 1 (May 19):  San Antonio 122 - Oklahoma City 105

San Antonio was a 6 point favorite on most of the Strip, 5.5 at the Stations and the Wynn (BIG COVER)
O/U:  208.5 - 209.5 with 210 at the South Point and the Golden Nugget (OVER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 13-17  Oklahoma City 19-23

Game 2 (May 21):  San Antonio 112 - Oklahoma City 77

San Antonio was a 5 - 5.5 point favorite.  (BIG COVER -- money was coming in the wrong way!)
O/U:  210.5 - 211 (UNDER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 21-23  Oklahoma City 5-10

Is the MVP run over, or are we going to see something like the 2006 Finals later in the series?

Game 3 (May 25):  Oklahoma City 106 - San Antonio 97

Oklahoma City was a 2.5 point favorite, with a 2 at the Golden Nugget.  (COVER)
O/U:  Again, depending where you got it, anywhere from 208 to 209.5.  (ALL UNDER)

Free Throws:  Oklahoma City 26-31  San Antonio 15-16

I guess not!!

Game 4 (May 27):  Oklahoma City 105 - San Antonio 92

Oklahoma City was a 2 -2.5 point favorite.  (COVER)
O/U:  Again, depending where you got it, anywhere from 207.5 to 209.  (ALL UNDER)

Free Throws:  Oklahoma City 24-31  San Antonio 17-22

Game 5 (May 29):  San Antonio 117 - Oklahoma City 89

San Antonio was a 5 point favorite, 5.5 at the Peppermill.  (BIG COVER)
O/U:  206.5 - 208 (UNDER -- SUCKERS bet it off the push at 206!)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 26-30  Oklahoma City 13-20

This series is so obviously going seven.  The league has it's hands around this series' throat.

Game 6 (May 31):  San Antonio 112 - Oklahoma City 107 (OVERTIME)

Oklahoma City was a 3-4 point favorite.  (UPSET)
O/U:  206.5 - 207 with a 206 at the Atlantis.  (OVER with the overtime, needed it, as regulation was 101-101.)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 25-34  Oklahoma City 29-33

Series in Review:  The NBA had it's pulse on this series the whole time, and, basically, the team-wide strength of San Antonio as the NBA's star power in the Post-Ballhog Era won out over Kevin Durant's first NBA MVP award.

Favorites were 5-1 against the number, four of them quite large victories against the line.
The over was 2-4.

Game 1, Thursday night, in San Antonio.

Southeastern Conference Chief: Autonomy or Secession

Enjoy that March Madness tournament?

Might be the last one you get.

Today, Southeastern Conference commissioner Mike Silva basically said that the Big Five conferences (the BCS/CFP-confederated conferences) can no longer work under the NCAA model and will either need autonomy to create their own by-laws, or they will be forced to secede the five conferences to a Division IV model.

These comments are made less than two weeks before the beginning of the long-awaited O'Bannon trial on suing the NCAA for an illegal business model.  Because of limitations on what damages they can seek, this trial will be only before a judge, making it less likely that bribe-able fans can alter the outcome.

Silva basically has said that the day of the NCAA, as it has stood, is over:

""We hope everyone realizes we are moving into a new era and this is the way to retain your collegiate model. It would be a disappointment and in my view a mistake not to adapt the model. This is a historic moment. If we don't seize the moment, we'll make a mistake.""

Basically, he either wants the NCAA to give him Division IV, or the SEC will lead in taking a Division IV model.

Sterling To Sue: That Took About Fifteen Hours For Two Billion Not To Be Enough

According to NBC News on their Twitter account:

"Donald Sterling to sue the NBA for $1 billion  "

That should basically put the kibosh on the Ballmer sale, for several of the reasons outlined in the Michael McCann SI article last night.  (Review all of the points in his list, save the Seattle one.)

This, on the same day that we now find out that the reason Donald Sterling was ruled mentally incompetent is that he is diagnosed with Alzheimer's Disease.

It's On -- The Shit Has Hit The Fan

Steve Ballmer has purchased the Los Angeles Clippers -- at least as far as Donald and Rochelle Sterling are concerned -- for $2 billion.

Many media reports have broken the story late Thursday night, Pacific time.

This, almost certainly, represents about a 9.0 on the NBA's Richter Scale.

At the end of the day, this gets the Sterlings out of the NBA, and, one would think, at first, that will satisfy everybody.

Nope.

There are a number of problems with this sale:

1) Who has the authority to do this in the first place?  According to SI.com (from ESPN), Donald Sterling has now been declared mentally incompetent for his own affairs.  This was done today.

I guess my first thought of the matter is:  How convenient!!!  Rochelle basically gets her husband declared what he almost-certainly IS.  The guy is probably dangerously mentally incompetent for what he can do with his money and the like with how far his brain probably is gone.

So I have no dispute as to the declaration, with how he's been conducting himself.

That said, you would think the NBA would want some degree of words on this, and, not only that, there still is the point that it has become clear that Rochelle Sterling is also no longer welcome in the National Basketball Assocation either...

2) ... which, according to the main SI report on this subject, is not going to be the case:

"The agreement with Ballmer could also allow Shelly Sterling to maintain some association with the team, according to ESPN.com.  "

That's not going to fly.  It has long been speculated that an end-around to try to keep Rochelle Sterling or Donald Sterling somehow involved with the team, and it appears that speculation is correct.

With the NBPA still threatening a strike if at least Donald is not gone, I'd be very pressed to think this includes Rochelle.

So I think this, alone, will torpedo the deal.

3) And then there's the Seattle question.

Yes, Ballmer said this (main SI article, linked above):

“If I get interested in the Clippers, it would be for Los Angeles,” Ballmer said [earlier this month to the Wall Street Journal]. “I don’t work anymore, so I have more geographic flexibility than I did a year, year-and-a half ago. Moving them anywhere else would be value destructive.”

So, Steve, it's value-destructive enough to keep the Clippers in Los Angeles, and NOT value-destructive enough to create a gaming system that you try to ram through the public at E3 2013 that is not only invasive to the gamer's play, but to their very lives (and then get your ass ripped so badly that you've backtracked so far that the only way you might get equity in the current-generation's video-game console battle is for Sony to effectively bankrupt itself.

In my opinion, Steve Ballmer is a bombastic shyster, and there's no way in Hell I think he would pay $2,000,000,000 for that team and not stab LA in the back as a final FUCK YOU from the Sterlings to LA and the NBA...

In short, I think he's a lying sack of shit.

4) What this sale will (regardless of who ends up owning the team, or what price) do to the landscape of American sports and the franchises with which they are played.

My main-contributor friend came up with a wonderful point earlier tonight -- before the reports of the Ballmer sale:

If the Clippers just went to being worth $2,000,000,000, what does that make even the Jacksonville Jaguars (the LEAST valuable NFL franchise) worth?

(Much less the Cowboys...)

It almost takes any valuable franchise of professional sports in North America, and doubles the value of that franchise instantaneously -- at minimum!!!

And that's going to have a seismic effect on sports in this country.

Getting back to the sale itself, Michael McCann, sports-law expert for SI, has posted an article with six points the NBA will probably attempt to enforce before this sale would be allowed.

Here are my thoughts on those six points.

1) Sterling's gone from the NBA, and he won't challenge it.

Perhaps the best case (and my friend has already brought this up) for this sale, if all other factors fall in line, the "long national nightmare" of the NBA can be brought to a quick end, with as little mayhem as possible.

I have believed, since the first I heard of the process to try to get a wet-ink signature for the team by the Tuesday 1 PM EDT hearing to throw LACBC out of the NBA, that this sale by the Sterlings was an effort to effectively sue the NBA for trying to throw them out, without suing the NBA for trying to throw them out (because they can't under the Constitution and By-Laws).

Today's developments about Sterling's mental capacity, though they should come as no surprise to anybody, should bring into further question how it took into 2014 before the league finally said "No more!"

And then there's the question as to whether Donald will challenge the fitness ruling Rochelle has received.

On top of that, one has to wonder if this is additional legal maneuvering to basically counteract the charge that his statements are those of LACBC Inc.

Thumbs down, because of the allowance that Rochelle will still have involvement.

2) The Sterling mental ruling doesn't present it's own problems.

Frankly, it presents MANY problems (above and beyond control of this accelerated sale), from not only the act of expelling LACBC Inc., to whether the NBA is, in fact, negligent for allowing LACBC Inc. to stick around so long with such a clearly incompetent (and the jury can now be out as to how legally you take that statement!) owner...

Could somebody with an axe to grind state the NBA, in allowing such an incompetent person to own a team, has violated it's own Duty to Loyalty to put on contests with highest integrity?

Thumbs down, because, unless Donald Sterling is all but dead, I can't see this passing muster on any number of levels!

3) Rochelle Sterling is gone.

Thumbs down, the reports say she will have a role within the Clippers.

4) Releases from the Sterlings against each other ("mutual release") and with the NBA.

And given Donald's "sterling" reputation of lying through his teeth, I don't even think they'd accept a legal release from him at this point, competent or not.

Thumbs down.

The league would need to make sure both Sterlings don't take further action against each other to spurn this sale, and, later, don't sue the NBA for this action (this being not unlike a criminal plea deal -- a release from later action is always considered part of a plea agreement).  This, to me, would be against anything Donald is about.

5) The lifetime ban and fine payment stand.

Thumbs down, at least on the fine payment, especially if the incompetency ruling is retroactive to the tapes or beyond -- there could be a challenge that he was out of his mind when he said them, and is, hence, not responsible for his conduct.

6) The team must stay in Los Angeles.

This is probably the one step of the situation that I can only call on personal bias on.

I can only state that I cannot believe Ballmer would pay $2 billion and keep the team in LA on my feelings with respect to his conduct at Microsoft, especially the spewing bullshit he pulled last year at the announcement of the XBox One.

I do not believe the NBA will approve this sale, on any number of grounds, as I outline above.

I do not believe the intention of this sale is for the NBA to approve it.

I believe this is an attempt by the Sterlings, knowing that they still have the league by the balls to a certain extent, to maximize their legal leverage.