Tuesday, August 8, 2017

Vegas Adventures: The August 26 "Fight", and some of the current numbers with it...

Spent Monday gathering sheets from four different casino chains: MGM Grand, Caesar's (at I believe the Flamingo), the Westgate Super Book, and William Hill US.

Did this for a lot of different things, but this will look at the “fight”. Mayweather vs. McGregor, two weeks from Saturday. (All numbers are as on the sheet and may not be 100% current as of writing.)

OOPS DEPARTMENT: You know that Big3 3-on-3 pro basketball league? It has it's championship at the MGM Garden Arena... the same night as the Mayweather-McGregor “fight”.

On a straight win bet:
  • Superbook is -700 for Mayweather, +500 for McGregor.
  • William Hill and Caesar's: -600 and +450.
  • MGM Grand: -575 and +400.
Every report I've heard on the fight is saying massive money and tickets on McGregor, at least on the “squares”. Makes you wonder if The Money Team is coming in and scooping up this money with large bets for their boy.

Over/under is at a shocking number of rounds:
  • MGM Grand is at 9 full rounds: +130 it makes it, -160 it does not.
  • Caesar's and Superbook have it at 9 ½ and +145 for both on over, -165 at Caesar's and -170 at Superbook for under.
  • William Hill is 8 ½ and +120 for the over and -140 for the under.
Easy money if there was any to be made.

There are various “pick the round” situations. The MGM has it down to “pick the minute of the fight”, and all such bets lose if, somehow, the fight goes the 12.

Couple of interesting ones, though:
  • A first-round KO for Mayweather is 15-1 at the MGM Grand, 20-1 at Caesar's, 12-1 at the Superbook, and 18-1 at the William Hill.
  • You can get shorter odds for a McGregor first-round KO at Caesar's (16-1) and William Hill at 12-1. 18-1 at the MGM Grand, 25-1 at the Superbook.
  • One I am looking at: Mayweather winning by the end of Round 4 or such. That prop at the MGM Grand and Superbook is 7/2. At the William Hill, an over-under at 4 rounds (regardless of winner) is -380 over, +310 under.
  • And one I DEFINITELY would consider a flyer on if I felt this was any way legit, and the fact it is a prop bet at all should tell you volumes about this “fight”: You can bet on whether Conor McGregor gets disqualified. +600 on that he does at the Superbook, +575 at the William Hill.
  • The Superbook is doing ½ round prop bets (meaning that the fight does or does not go halfway into the round after the whole number). You can get 12-1 that the fight ends within 90 seconds.
So there's a lot to look at here in Vegas if you were so inclined to look at this event and try to bet on it.

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