Monday, October 16, 2023

2023 NFL Week Six Score Report

That was almost the sixth game this week the NFL fucked with.

And yes, two of the others were the champagne-poppers for the '72 Dolphins.

Many "key stats" this week...

  • Gonna have to look to see if I can find a lower one, but this was one of the lowest scoring weeks in memory:  Only 36.73 points per game.
    • Season average is down to just 43.4.
  • As a result, only two of the fifteen games cashed the over and one pushed.
    • Season record on the over is now a dismal 35-56-2.
      • If you bet $100 on every game to exceed the Vegas total, you'd be down about $403 a week!  Over $2400 for the year so far.
  • Home teams, at the least, went 10-4.
    • Pushing the home team record four games over .500 to 47-43.
  • Favorites went 11-4 straight up last week.
    • 60-31 for the season.
  • And another good week for the betting public:  10-5 against the number.
    • 48-39-4 for the season.
      • And a rarity this far in.  If you bet $100 that every favorite would cover the spread without exception, you'd actually be $463+ ahead for the season!!!
  • Team with more penalties was 7-5.
    • 48-31 for the year.
  • Here's what portends to what I think will be a half-million dollar charity Saturday for NFL players on Fine Blotter:  Not counting fracases like the pre-game one in Cleveland with the 49ers, 196 penalties were accepted in the 15 games.  Just over 13 a game.
    • 1,155 for the season (12.6 per game)
      • The aforementioned Cleveland-SF game had 25!
      • The Monday nighter had 20.
  • Two Cliffhangers this week.
    • Meaning only 13 of the first 93 games this year have had a tying or go-ahead score in the last two minutes.
  • By contrast, eight of the games had a Last Chance Miss, being a chance to tie or win (feasibly) in the final two minutes and failing.
    • Twice as many Last Chance Misses as Cliffhangers, 26 total.
  • The low scores meant 10 of the 15 games were decided within one score.
    • 48 of the 93 for the season now.
  • Three non-competitive games only -- that were never within one score at any point in the fourth quarter.
    • A third of the games this season have had that happen, 31.

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