Monday, November 9, 2020

2020 NFL Week 9 Score Report

  • Scoring went a degree of "Tilt!" again this week.
  • 52.93 for the week, 741 points in the 14 games.
  • 6,737 points for 9 weeks of games, 133 games.  Average is 50.654 points a game.
  • At this rate, the NFL will score 12,968 points this season.  That will break the all-time record from two years ago by 1,006 points.  At that average, we are looking at the late afternoon games of Week SIXTEEN to break the record.
  • To break the all-time average from many years ago of 47.2 points a game in the season, this season is now 885 points ahead -- a record the league would break somewhere at the very first game of Week 17.
  • Bizarre statistics with respect to home-field situations.  Home teams were 5-9 this week, meaning that, with now over half the games completed and a record of 65-67-1 for the season, home teams are now two games under .500.
  • The Over was 9-4-1 for 71-58-4 for the season.
  • Against the number, we had another pick 'em this week (the third of the season -- Baltimore-Indy).  So favorites were 5-8 against the number and 9-4 straight up.
  • For the season:  54-75-1 against the number, 84-45-1 straight up.
  • Team with more penalties was 5-6 this week, 48-65-1 for the season.
  • Only 147 penalties called this week (10 1/2 a game), probably part of the reason the scoring was up again.  Total for the year:  1,504 (11.3)
  • Just the Monday nighter was a Cliffhanger (and it was a double for New England).  24 for the year.
  • Nine of the 14 games this week ended within one score for 69 total for the year.
  • There were three non-competitive games for 41 for the year.
  • SEVEN Last Chance Misses for the second time this year -- now 45 games this year have had a chance in the last two minutes for the losing team to tie or go ahead and it fail.  Several have had more than one, including two this week.

We're nine weeks in now, so let's see, right now, where the numbers say the story is going, remembering that, this year, at least (there is discussion to make the playoffs 16 if games have to be cancelled because they can't be moved later in the year) seven teams in each conference heading to the playoffs, and hence only one bye.

NFC:

The Packers, Seahawks, and Saints are all 6-2.  All do not play all (GB has beaten NO, does not play SEA.  NO has lost to GB, does not play Seattle.  Seattle plays neither team.).

Next tiebreaker is conference record.  Saints are 5-1, Packers are 5-2, Seahawks are 4-1.  (SEA and GB do the tiebreaker again at that point for #2, same step resolves)

So:

  1. New Orleans
  2. Seattle
  3. Green Bay
  4. Philadelphia (NFC Least leader)
  5. Tampa Bay (6-3)
  6. Arizona (5-3, 2-0 in NFC West)
  7. Los Angeles (5-3, 0-1 in NFC West)

Arizona and LA still have their two games to be played.  (Second tiebreaker in any divisional tiebreaker, wild-card or title, is division record)

Chicago (5-4) is out at the moment.

Round 1:

  • Los Angeles at Seattle
  • Arizona at Green Bay
  • Tampa Bay at Philadelphia 

AFC:

  1. Pittsburgh, still undefeated.
  2. Kansas City (8-1, does not play Pittsburgh)
  3. Buffalo (7-2) 
  4. Tennessee (6-2)
  5. Baltimore (6-2)
  6. Las Vegas (5-3, see below)
  7. Miami (5-3, see below)

Las Vegas, Cleveland, Indianapolis, and Miami are all 5-3, all in separate divisions, and, hence, in a 4-into-2 tiebreaker.

All obviously do not play all, and there are no divisional mini-tiebreakers to resolve first.

Next is conference record (home-field seeding for division champs uses the same tiebreaks as these wildcards).

Miami is 2-2.  Cleveland is 3-3.  Indianapolis is 2-3.  Las Vegas is 3-2.

Las Vegas advances as the #6.  The tiebreaker reverts back to this step with Miami and Cleveland, who do not play.  Indianapolis is out.

Next tiebreaker is common games, but there have to be at least four.  Given their schedules, the most common games each of these teams can have all season is three.

Next tiebreaker is strength of victory, and don't make me get out the math on this one.  Miami wins that tiebreaker, according to those who have.

Round 1:

  • Miami at Kansas City
  • Las Vegas at Buffalo
  • Baltimore at Tennessee

No comments:

Post a Comment