Monday, November 23, 2020

2020 NFL Week 11 Score Report and Kayfabe Standings

First, the scores:

  • Second week in a row, lowest-scoring week of the year.  And there are probably at least two reasons for it:  One, the weather is beginning to turn in a number of locations.  (I'll get to the second in a bit.)
  • 45.5 points per game this week.
  • And, for the first time since Week One, the average per-game for the season at the end of a week is below 50 at 49.776.
  • Still, however, that is a field goal a game, with 161 games played, more than the 46.727 which is the record for the average for the most points in a season, and is 2.5 points per game ahead of the all-time per-game average of 47.2.
  • That said, the margin, now, between the 161-game total now and what would be 161 games at the most-points season pace is down to just 491 points -- 8,023 points for the 2020 season now.
  • And the margin to the highest per-game average is down to just 415.
  • As a result, the Over was only 6-8 this week -- for 82-75-4 for the season.
  • Home teams were 9-5 this week -- 85-75-1 for the season.
  • Interesting statistic:  The two lowest-scoring weeks of the year:  Home teams were 20-8.  Before that, with all the points being scored, home teams for the first nine weeks of the season were two games below .500.
  • Vegas won again this week:  6-8 for favorites against the spread, 8-6 straight up.  (Season:  68-88-2 against the number, 104-53-1 straight up)
  • Team with more penalties was 7-7 for 59-79-1.
  • 4 Cliffhangers, 3 of them doubles.  (Tennessee-Baltimore OT, Indianapolis-Green Bay OT, Kansas City-Las Vegas -- and that last one had a Last Chance Miss thrown in!)  30 Cliffhangers for the season.
  • A season-high 10 games finished within one score.  (Week 3 also had 10.)  27 of the last 42 games have finished within one score.  87 now total for the season.
  • A season-low 2 non-competitive games this week.  47 for the season.
  • 6 Last Chance Misses.  53 of those.
  • The second thing which kept the scoring down?  A season-high in penalties per game.  In the 14 games this week, there were 176 penalties.  (12.6 a game)  That is the third-highest this season on a raw total, and the only two which beat that were 16-game weeks.  The last two weeks have had two of the five highest raw totals of penalties for the season.
  • Total penalties for the year:  1,846 (11.466 per game)

And now, the kayfabe standings (I'll do my first Power Rankings at some point in the next 24 hours, barring more RL stupidities (UGH)...

AFC:

  1. Steelers are 10-0.
  2. Chiefs are 9-1.  Both teams are three games clear in their divisions.
  3. Buffalo (7-3, see first tiebreaker below)
  4. Indianapolis (7-3, see first tiebreaker below)
  5. Tennessee (7-3, see first two tiebreakers below, first for the division, then the wild card)
  6. Cleveland (7-3, see second tiebreaker below)
  7.  Las Vegas (6-4, see third tiebreaker below)

First tie to break is the 3-4.  Indianapolis, Tennessee, and Buffalo at 7-3 (so is Cleveland, but Pittsburgh is in that division).

So, first, break Indy and Tennessee. (Buffalo leads the AFC East, so they can be no worse than the #4 at this point.)  Indy beat Tennessee last week.  They play again next week in a critical game.  (Regular Sunday early window.)  So Indianapolis has the lead in the AFC South.

Now, Indianapolis-Buffalo.  They do not play this year. 

Next is conference record:  Buffalo is 5-2, Indianapolis is 3-3.  Buffalo #3, Indianapolis #4.

Now the wildcards.  Cleveland and Tennessee are both 7-3.  Both are in, but for priority, the two play in two weeks.  (So Tennessee has two critical playoff-implication games the next two weeks.)  As for right now:  Cleveland is 4-3 with the AFC, Tennessee is 5-3.  Tennessee #5, Cleveland #6.

The final tiebreaker is for the final spot.  Miami, Baltimore, and Las Vegas are now 6-4 for one spot.  No divisional tiebreakers to take care of first.  Miami is 3-3 in the AFC, Baltimore is 4-4, Las Vegas is 4-3.  Las Vegas is in, Miami and Baltimore are now out.

First round:  Las Vegas at Kansas City, Cleveland at Buffalo, Tennessee at Indianapolis.

Undefeated Watch (hey, why not?):  Remaining schedule:  Baltimore, Washington, at Buffalo, at Cincinnati, Indianapolis, at Cleveland.  Still quite a road to hoe yet.

NFC:

  1. New Orleans is 8-2  1 1/2 games and a season sweep ahead of Tampa.
  2. Los Angeles Rams 7-3 (see tiebreaker below)
  3. Green Bay Packers 7-3 (see tiebreaker below)
  4. Philadelphia leads that fucking abomination of a division at THREE-SIX-AND ONE.  It is probably going to take MAJOR rigging to get anyone in that division to even 7-9!!!!
  5. Seattle 7-3
  6. Tampa Bay 7-4
  7. Arizona 6-4

First tie to break is now the 2-3.  The Rams, Seattle, and Green Bay are all 7-3.  (Green Bay leads the NFC North, and can, hence, be no worse than the #3 at this point).

Rams-Seattle:  Rams beat Seattle last week and play them again in Week 16.  So Rams lead the NFC West.

Rams-Packers:  Will not play.  So then we go conference record.  Packers are 5-2, Rams 7-1.  Rams #2, Packers #3.

Arizona at Rams, Tampa Bay at Green Bay, Seattle at Philadelphia

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