My annual August Vegas trip will be far shorter than in past years -- thank real life.
And I probably won't be posting Thursday or Friday from Vegas -- in fact, the only reason I MIGHT take my computer is to have some place to charge my phone that won't cost me one arm and one leg.
But I will have my usual compliment of Vegas numbers to look at.
And today, the new Mike Greenberg show "Wake Up" actually listed seven interesting NBA over-under totals that the Westgate is opening their season with.
Here they are, with a couple thoughts:
The Warriors, according to the site I've been able to pull up (
CBS Sportsline), are -200 to win the whole thing. They won 58 last year in a year they might well have done a significant degree of regular-season tanking -- so much so, they went 16-5 when it counted.
The real question you have to ask, though, is whether Golden State is going to care enough to bother to get to 63 wins.
- Boston: 57.5
- Philadelphia: 54.5
- Toronto: 54.5
At least one of these three isn't happening. The Eastern Conference was exposed as abysmal last year when LeBron James carried a bunch of stiffs in Cleveland to the title. In fact, in those same CBS Sportsline odds (from the Westgate), only six NBA teams are less than 30-1! (Boston second choice at 5-1, Philly and Toronto at 12-1)
At best, there are five semi-relevant teams, six if LeBron can get the Balls out of Los Angeles before LaVar blows it all up! A lot of people think the East, past #4 or 5, is as abysmal, if not worse. The only way all three of these hit, though, is if everyone past #3 tanks. Toronto won 59 last year, Boston 55, Philly 52.
- Houston: 54.5
- Oklahoma City: 50.5
65 and 48 last year, respectively. I don't see either of these hitting. Harden was out of his damn mind last year, and what did it get him? And Oklahoma City is a good second-tier team, but the gulf is getting so great...
And then there's this:
They're saying LeBron is worth about 15 wins, because they got 35 last year. The real question is getting rid of the Balls. It's that simple. We know LeBron can carry a bunch of stiffs -- we saw it last year. I'm really verklempt on that number, though -- because of the Balls-shit.
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