Thursday, December 17, 2015

Week 14 Score Update

  • Pretty low scoring week this week.  Average barely broke 40 at 40.0625 PPG.  (Last year:  46.8125.)
  • 14-week average down to 45.697.  (Last year:  46.096, two years ago was about 46.7.)
  • Home teams 9-7 last week.  Started out well, ended badly.  Season:  112-93 (.546)  (Last year:  6-10 and 121-82-1 (.596))
  • Not surprisingly with the score average just touching 40 PPG this week, the over was 4-12!  Season is now 5-10 games below .500 for the over, depending on where you shop.  (Last year:  6-10 and about one game below .500.)
  • Pretty good week for favorites against the spread by this year's standards:  9-7.  Favorites still 10 games below .500 for the year against the spread, so Vegas the only winner here.
  • 211 penalties in the 16 games, about consistent with recent weeks at about 13 penalties a game.  Second time this year Buffalo has had 17 penalties in a game, they lost both games.  (Year high is 18 by Dallas in a win over Philadelphia.)  
  • Only ONE Cliffhanger this week, and it was the Thursday nighter on top of it!
  • Seven further games ended within one score, only one further game was within one score at some point in the 4th quarter, seven non-competitive games this week in a very non-characteristic week in the NFL.  Fewest competitive games since Week 8 (8 of 14).
  • Cliffhangers:  50/208 (24.03%)  (Last year:  17.3% -- there have been 14 more Cliffhangers this year than last through 14 weeks.)
  • Decided by one score:  114/208 (54.81%)  (Last year:  40.87% -- there have been 29 more games in 14 weeks this year than last decided by 8 points or less, an average of more than TWO PER WEEK.)
  • Within one score at some point in the fourth quarter:  141/208 (67.79%)  (Last year:  61.54%)

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