Let's put it this way: I'm still convinced the Patriots are winning Sunday - and I don't think it's going to be particularly close, because I believe the league needs to do a Tom Brady fourth-quarter announcer rim-job in case this is his last game and it's not entirely his choice.
(In the latest Brady developments: His latest Super Bowl Week edition of his weekly WEEI (Boston) call-in show was cut short after he had to be put on the air with a host who called his 5 year-old daughter an "annoying little piss-ant" last Thursday. The host has finally been suspended for those comments. (The Big Lead))
That said, though... This World Series "Let It Ride" bettor is definitely piquing my interest.
RJ Bell in Las Vegas is reporting that, as of the 24th, the person who made a gross $14 million on letting it ride on every game in the MLB playoffs until he cashed out before Game 7 of the World Series was in negotiations to make a $10 million+ bet -- Eagles to WIN.
As of Sunday, he has $4.2 million on the table.
For the first time in six weeks, there's an iota of doubt on this Super Bowl.
Not NEARLY enough for me to change my position, no.question, but there has to be a point made here, and it has two parts:
1) Going back to the era of Dan Moldea's Interference, there's an old adage among high rollers: "You never bet that kind of money without knowing the result."
2) Anyone who watched that playoffs, especially the complete #HoustonStrong rig-job -- the umpiring, the juiced balls, other factors... -- has to believe that anyone putting that kind of money up and winning like that in a let-it-ride situation had to have inside info on the fix.
And, thinking about it the last couple of days, I begin to wonder if the reason he cashed out is that no book would take $14 million in bets from him on Houston winning Game 7...
It's clear that, if he can lay that kind of money, he will. The problem is, Vegas isn't letting him -- at least yet.
If you read books like The Smart Money, you do understand that some of these decisions are based on the balance between the sides of a wager. Perfect world, it's 50-50 and the book makes about 4.5% of all wagers.
But, as you well know, this "Let It Ride" guy has made the MGM too heavy on the Eagles right now, and the general public (the "squares") is feeding in to the Patriot Hate.
But I have to begin to wonder: Has the NFL gone SO "All In" on the conspiracy that it is actually prepared to whip-saw this situation into a babyface win for Philadelphia?
Stay tuned.
No comments:
Post a Comment