Monday, November 20, 2017

2017 Week 11 Score Report

Now all teams have finally played ten games.
  • 45.93 points per game Week 11 -- last year was 41.93
  • Season total for 11 weeks is 44.4 PPG now -- last year 45.33
  • Home teams were 6-7 this week.  Last year:  8-5.
  • Last year, home teams were 91-64-1 through 11 weeks.  (.583)  This year, only 80-75.  (.516)
  • Over was 7-7 for Week 11 this year -- 3-11 last year
  • Season Over is 80-76-4 -- 83-77 last year.
  • Favorites 9-4-1 against the number last week, 11-3 straight up.  (Last year:  9-4 and 11-2)
  • Season:  78-77 against the number with 5 pushes.  108-52 straight up.  (Last year:  72-72-7 ATS, and 92-58-1 straight up.)
  • Team with more penalties was 3-11 this year after 4-7 last year.
  • 59-86 for the team with more penalties this year, 57-81 last year.
  • The team with more penalties has only won twelve games in the last FOUR WEEKS.
  • Four Cliffhangers this week, including a Double and a Triple!  Last year had one.
  • 30 Cliffhangers so far this season, but last year had 33.
  • Two Last Chance Misses, including the Monday nighter.  Last year had three this week.
  • Total for Last Chance Misses for 11 weeks:  29 this year, 50 last year.
  • Four non-competitive games this week, including the first Lambeau shutout loss for the Packers in over a decade.  Only 1 last year.
  • Total non-competitive for 11 weeks:  38 last year, 55 this year!
  • 123 competitive games last year, only 105 this year.
  •  5 games finished within one score this week, 9 last year.
  • Total for 11 weeks within one score at the end:  76 this year, 92 last year.
  • Meaning:  Under half the games this year are finishing within one score.
With everyone now on even ground:

AFC:
  1. Pittsburgh (8-2, conference tiebreak)
  2. New England (8-2, the two teams play in about a month)
  3. Jacksonville (7-3)
  4. Kansas City (6-4)
  5. Tennessee (6-4)
  6. Baltimore (5-5, conference tiebreak)
  7. Buffalo (5-5, these two teams do not play each other) 
NFC:
  1. Philadelphia (9-1)
  2. Minnesota (8-2, wins over New Orleans and the Rams)
  3. New Orleans (8-2)
  4. LA Rams (7-3)
  5. Carolina (7-3)
  6. Atlanta (6-4, and with tonight's win, a sweep over both the other 6-4 teams for the #6)
  7. Detroit (6-4, conference tiebreaker to be #7 over...)
  8. Seattle (6-4, will not play Detroit) 
Personal Vegas log:
  • Patriots won, 8-2, need to go over 12.5  Lots of work to do.
  • Seahawks lost, 6-4 now, need to go under 10.5.  A 4-2 finish would still win it, and they have Philly and Jacksonville at the least.
  • Packers lost, 5-5, need to go under 10.5, cashes with one more loss.
  • Lions won, now 6-4 and need to go over 7.5, so I only need two more.
  • So not only do I have $45 cash on another ticket in another sport from Sunday, I also went 4-0 on my win totals bets for the week.
Ratings:
  • Cowboys won another one in the ratings war.  Up 13% over last year for the Sunday nighter.  Especially with Elliot now suspended and their season over, one DOES now have to wonder if Jerry Jones being the main anti-protest owner IS resonating among fans.
  • Week 11 National (CBS):  Creamed.  Down  18%.
  • Week 11 Regional (CBS):  DOWN THIRTY-SIX PERCENT -- lowest broadcast rating of the year for any NFL window.
  • Week 11 Single (FOX):  Up 8%.

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