Monday, November 7, 2016

Week 9 2016 Score Report

Just gonna be a quickie with the week worth here:
  • For the week:  50.08 PPG, largest of the year
  • For the year:  45.61 PPG, not quite high-water mark for that (Week 6)
  • Home teams 7-6 for the week, 76-52-1 for the year (.593)
  • Over was 8-5, including the last 5 games.  For the year:  73-59.  Betting the over in the Year of the Defense is actually winning you now in Vegas about 3/4 of a unit a week, given a consistent unit bet on every over game.
  • 7-4-2 against the spread this week, 10-3 straight up for favorites.  That makes 59-59-7 -- a straight .500, so you are now down just the juice (about 2/3 of a unit a week) for the year against the number and 76-48-1 straight up.
  • The big story this week:  Team with more penalties was 3-9.  Not surprising, given the league's penchant of trying to get the players chained under control.  48-70 for the year (.406).
  • 203 penalties for the week, about one more a game than last week.
  • 1 overtime Cliffhanger for the week was the only one.  27/133 for the year.  (20.3%)
  • 5 Last Chance Misses.  Two onside kicks, a drive stalling out at the 30 at 2:00, and two passes into the end zone missing.  
  • 3 other games finished within one score, making 9 of the 13 games within one score at the end this week.  73/133 for the year (54.9%)
  • Only 2 non-competitive games, making only 34 of those for the year.  99/133 within one score in the 4th quarter.  (74.43%)
Some quickie thoughts on the standings:
  • FIFTEEN teams are within one game of .500
  • If the season ended now:  AFC:  New England 1, Oakland 2 (KC has the breaker and a half game back and Oakland still has their bye), Houston 3 at 5-3, Pittsburgh 4 at 4-4
  • Wildcards are KC at 6-2 (see caveat above) and Denver at 6-3.
  • A 5-3 and 4-4 are leading their divisions, wildcards are 6-2 and 6-3.
  • As of right now:  KC at Houston, Denver at Pittsburgh
  • NFC:  Dallas 1, Seattle 2 (and that's pretty much all you need to know -- that sounds like that will be the matchup they will do in January at this point.
  • Atlanta 3 at 6-3 and Minnesota has the 4 at 5-3, one half game ahead of Detroit, who now has the tiebreak.
  • Wildcards:  Giants at 5-3, Washington at 4-3-1, percentage ahead of Detroit at 5-4.
  • As of right now:  Giants at Atlanta, Washington at Minnesota.
  • Notable teams out:  Buffalo was seen on a run, Cincinnati was seen on a run, Green Bay was many's favorite for the Super Bowl.  (NOT HERE!!!)
Ratings (From Sports Media Watch):
  • The Packers are DONE as a national draw.  Look for Aaron Rodgers to spend the next few years as Drew Brees (a name, nothing more).  Colts win over Packers was the lowest-rated national window in SEVEN YEARS.
  • CBS regional action was also down 17%.
  • Sunday night had the best ratings overnight in six weeks.  Too bad it was still 20% down from last year.
  • Best window of the week, including Sunday night, was FOX"s single game at a 12.4 (SNF 11.7) - but even THAT was down 9% year-over-year.

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