Monday, November 21, 2016

Week 11 2016 Score Update

All but Cleveland and Tennessee have had their byes now.
  • Low-scoring week:  41.93 points per game and the over was 3-11.
  • For the ten weeks, 45.33 PPG, and the over is now only 83-77.
  • Home teams were 8-5, 91-64-1 for the year.
  • Favorites had a very good week -- 9-4 against the spread, 11-2 straight up.
  • For the year:  .500 against the spread (72-72-7), 92-58-1 straight up.
  • Team with more penalties was 4-7 this week, 57-81 for the year.
  • One Cliffhanger and three Last Chance Misses, making 33 Cliffhangers and 50 Last Chance Misses for the year.
  • The big number of the week:  Non-competitive games.  ONE.  Seattle only won by 11, but Philly couldn't get it 8 or within in the fourth quarter, and that was the only game for that applied.   9 games ended within one score.
  • For the year:  92/161 within one score, 123/161 competitive in fourth quarter.
  • When Brian Tuohy first noted these statistics 2-3 years ago, it was 48% finishing within one score and 68% competitive.
  •  Now, it's 57.1% finishing within one score and 76.4% competitive.
With only the two having played 11:
  • I don't see this holding up for obvious reasons, but if the playoffs began today, the AFC home field advantage goes to OAKLAND at 8-2 -- New England is second on common games.
  • Houston, at 6-4, is #3.  Baltimore is #4 at 5-5.
  • Kansas City and Denver are the wildcards at 7-3.  Kansas City is #5 on division games.
  • So KC @ Baltimore, Denver @ Houston
NFC:
  • Dallas #1 at 9-1, Seattle #2 at 7-2-1.
  • Detroit #3 at 6-4, they lead the NFC North because they beat Minnesota.  Atlanta is 6-4 and #4 because of inferior conference win percentage to Detroit.
  • Wildcards:  Giants at 7-3, Redskins, 6-3-1.
  • Giants at Detroit, Washington at Atlanta.
Meaning, now, in both conferences, all the wildcards have better records than the teams which will host them.

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