The collapses are complete. Both leagues' wild-cards go to teams 8+ games out with a month to go.
The Yankees all but (and correctly, as such) throw the game to the Rays to finish off their rivals.
But this was already in stone. Something happened, whether it's Boston's arrogance, a pitcher deciding he can't handle dealing with adversity with his wife (hey, jackass, you can't do that -- get out of baseball), injuries, or whatever...
A new article has listed Boston's collapse as the worst in history, and the Braves #3. There's a couple larger leads from earlier in August, but this is historic.
I can understand it happening in one league, but BOTH?? And with basically no divisional races to speak of in September, the NFL lockout over, X-Factor premiering on FOX, etc. and so forth?
I wouldn't trust $elig further than I can throw him. Lord if I know what, but this smells fishy as anything.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Monday, September 26, 2011
And just so people don't think I don't rail on a team I would like to see win a(nother) title...
I submit to you this video by Brian Tuohy (who lives in Wisconsin) about an incident where he now believes that the Packers won a fixed game (whether fixed to win or just to cover is not entirely clear) in week three, and covered a 4.5 point spread (with an over-under of 45.5, and remembering that 70-72% of the games in the first two weeks went "over" the number), largely due to a questionable holding call on what probably is one of the greatest special-teams plays in history.
Let me set it up:
Anyone who has seen the Bears in the last few years knows that their main threats are largely their defense and Devin Hester on the special-teams.
So what do the Bears do, down 10 in the 4th quarter on Sunday at Soldier Field?
The Packers punt and the Bears take advantage of the often-kamikaze nature of a special-teams cover team. In their haste to cream the guy who (they think) has the ball, no one bothers to look up and see that Devin Hester (who was acting as if he was returning the ball) was nowhere near the ball.
The real returner (all the way on the far side of the field, far away from Hester) scores a touchdown untouched. This would make the game 27-23 (and probably 27-24), and the Packers fail to cover the 4.5 and the game goes over.
BUT HOLD ON...
Holding on the return team negates the touchdown!
So, Brian asks, where is the holding??
The call, apparently, is on #21 of the Bears, Corey Graham.
A flag is already down as the returner with the ball is about at the Packer 45, with only a blocked punter to beat for the score. So it basically has to happen when the ball is in the air.
If you watch the clip at about 1:14-1:18, he shows two fuzzy, but still, shots of Graham with the guy he is trying to block in what would be about the closest possibility that he would be able to hold anybody on the play.
It's happening near the numbers on what would the side of the field at the top of the screen when the shot goes to the return.
At about 1:26 is about the closest evidence you have -- it appears as if Graham may be tugging on the Packer "gunner" to prevent him from getting to the (actual!) returner.
At 1:33, look VERY closely. The Packer "gunner" is down around the 5-yard line, completely out of the play -- and there is NO FLAG ON THE FIELD. The closest thing to a foul Graham would've committed would've had a flag on the field with the ball in the air (a "during the kick" foul), because it occurred (as Brian points out) at the 35 yard line!
There would've been a flag about where two Bears blockers are playing containment on the ruse as the true kick returner has fielded the punt and has nothing but green for about 90 yards for the covering and "over" touchdown!!
The flag comes out as the "gunner" heads to the end zone (about 30-35 yards from where the foul occurred) and the (actual) Bears returner receives the punt where it's going to be an abjectly clear touchdown. Anyone can see on that replay that he is effectively gone the moment he catches the ball.
The flag is thrown on about the 18 yard line, 15 yards from both where the supposed foul would've occurred (and about four seconds) and from where Graham and his "gunner" were. The returner is flat-out gone up the far sideline the moment he catches the ball.
The referee who calls the holding is the official who, as Brian again points out, is on the goal line -- 35 yards from the call, probably 40 or 45 when you figure in the angle, as the official has to watch for the touchback.
But the real damning evidence is that the flag doesn't come out until that official (and he's on the correct side of the field to have a real good look that the returner has paydirt all down the field) realizes that the Bears are going to score a touchdown on the play! There's one guy on a direct line between the returner and the end zone, and he's a Bear going to keep the last guy out (the punter!).
----------
There are two ways a game can be fixed: For outcome or for spread.
I'm not sure whether Brian is saying that the NFL wanted the Packers to win the game, but I think there is one clear thing about the implication here:
I usually talk about fixing for outcome -- let's talk about fixing for spread for a second.
Remember, Brian himself pointed out (and I updated) that the "over" bet on the line was going at better than a 70% clip (21-8-3 or 22-8-2, depending on how the week 2 Monday night line fell -- 43.5 would've gotten you to 22-8-2, 44 would be 21-8-3) this year in weeks one and two. If you had bet $1,000 on every game that it would go over in the first two weeks of the season, you would have made somewhere in the range of about $12,000 - $12,900 in just two weeks.
If you need to know where the NFL stands on official gambling and how married they are to Las Vegas:
WHY? Absent one thing, there really makes no difference as to whether people know in advance who the quarterback of the Jets would be.
What's the one thing?
The Vegas lines. That team would've had every game "circled" (for lower limits on betting, if not taken off the board outright!) if Brett (or any prominent quarterback -- for example, some lines had tonight's game off the board for Tony Romo's ribs!) had been listed as injured.
But if the league were not married to Vegas, WHY WOULD THIS MATTER to the point of $125,000 in fines for non-disclosure.
BECAUSE THE LEAGUE IS MARRIED TO VEGAS.
Now, fast-forward to this year and keep in mind the gaudy record of the "over" in weeks one and two. Remember that the Vegas casinos only make their money on LOSING bets. They get the full amount of the losing bets and only pay off the winners at 10-11 odds unless a + or - number is involved. (That difference, which even exists in a +/- situation, is called the "juice".)
So if ANY bet is winning at a 70% clip, something is deathly wrong! And when you look at the scoring comparisons I've been doing, this has possibly led to Vegas casinos losing truckloads of money to bettors who correctly identified that offenses were going berserk, especially in week two.
So, what happens in week 3? (And this game was part of this trend...) (All information courtesy of vegasinsider.com:)
Remember: Dan Moldea has witnessed FBI proof that there were five games in one NFL Monday Night Football season which were PROVEN rigged, often for spread. I think it's on page 308 of the hardcover version if you can find it.
Let me set it up:
Anyone who has seen the Bears in the last few years knows that their main threats are largely their defense and Devin Hester on the special-teams.
So what do the Bears do, down 10 in the 4th quarter on Sunday at Soldier Field?
The Packers punt and the Bears take advantage of the often-kamikaze nature of a special-teams cover team. In their haste to cream the guy who (they think) has the ball, no one bothers to look up and see that Devin Hester (who was acting as if he was returning the ball) was nowhere near the ball.
The real returner (all the way on the far side of the field, far away from Hester) scores a touchdown untouched. This would make the game 27-23 (and probably 27-24), and the Packers fail to cover the 4.5 and the game goes over.
BUT HOLD ON...
Holding on the return team negates the touchdown!
So, Brian asks, where is the holding??
The call, apparently, is on #21 of the Bears, Corey Graham.
A flag is already down as the returner with the ball is about at the Packer 45, with only a blocked punter to beat for the score. So it basically has to happen when the ball is in the air.
If you watch the clip at about 1:14-1:18, he shows two fuzzy, but still, shots of Graham with the guy he is trying to block in what would be about the closest possibility that he would be able to hold anybody on the play.
It's happening near the numbers on what would the side of the field at the top of the screen when the shot goes to the return.
At about 1:26 is about the closest evidence you have -- it appears as if Graham may be tugging on the Packer "gunner" to prevent him from getting to the (actual!) returner.
At 1:33, look VERY closely. The Packer "gunner" is down around the 5-yard line, completely out of the play -- and there is NO FLAG ON THE FIELD. The closest thing to a foul Graham would've committed would've had a flag on the field with the ball in the air (a "during the kick" foul), because it occurred (as Brian points out) at the 35 yard line!
There would've been a flag about where two Bears blockers are playing containment on the ruse as the true kick returner has fielded the punt and has nothing but green for about 90 yards for the covering and "over" touchdown!!
The flag comes out as the "gunner" heads to the end zone (about 30-35 yards from where the foul occurred) and the (actual) Bears returner receives the punt where it's going to be an abjectly clear touchdown. Anyone can see on that replay that he is effectively gone the moment he catches the ball.
The flag is thrown on about the 18 yard line, 15 yards from both where the supposed foul would've occurred (and about four seconds) and from where Graham and his "gunner" were. The returner is flat-out gone up the far sideline the moment he catches the ball.
The referee who calls the holding is the official who, as Brian again points out, is on the goal line -- 35 yards from the call, probably 40 or 45 when you figure in the angle, as the official has to watch for the touchback.
But the real damning evidence is that the flag doesn't come out until that official (and he's on the correct side of the field to have a real good look that the returner has paydirt all down the field) realizes that the Bears are going to score a touchdown on the play! There's one guy on a direct line between the returner and the end zone, and he's a Bear going to keep the last guy out (the punter!).
----------
There are two ways a game can be fixed: For outcome or for spread.
I'm not sure whether Brian is saying that the NFL wanted the Packers to win the game, but I think there is one clear thing about the implication here:
I usually talk about fixing for outcome -- let's talk about fixing for spread for a second.
Remember, Brian himself pointed out (and I updated) that the "over" bet on the line was going at better than a 70% clip (21-8-3 or 22-8-2, depending on how the week 2 Monday night line fell -- 43.5 would've gotten you to 22-8-2, 44 would be 21-8-3) this year in weeks one and two. If you had bet $1,000 on every game that it would go over in the first two weeks of the season, you would have made somewhere in the range of about $12,000 - $12,900 in just two weeks.
If you need to know where the NFL stands on official gambling and how married they are to Las Vegas:
- Pick up the book Interference by Dan Moldea
- and ask (as one example of this -- there are others!) the New York Jets, who failed to list Brett Favre on their injury report, even though he had a torn tendon in his bicep.
WHY? Absent one thing, there really makes no difference as to whether people know in advance who the quarterback of the Jets would be.
What's the one thing?
The Vegas lines. That team would've had every game "circled" (for lower limits on betting, if not taken off the board outright!) if Brett (or any prominent quarterback -- for example, some lines had tonight's game off the board for Tony Romo's ribs!) had been listed as injured.
But if the league were not married to Vegas, WHY WOULD THIS MATTER to the point of $125,000 in fines for non-disclosure.
BECAUSE THE LEAGUE IS MARRIED TO VEGAS.
Now, fast-forward to this year and keep in mind the gaudy record of the "over" in weeks one and two. Remember that the Vegas casinos only make their money on LOSING bets. They get the full amount of the losing bets and only pay off the winners at 10-11 odds unless a + or - number is involved. (That difference, which even exists in a +/- situation, is called the "juice".)
So if ANY bet is winning at a 70% clip, something is deathly wrong! And when you look at the scoring comparisons I've been doing, this has possibly led to Vegas casinos losing truckloads of money to bettors who correctly identified that offenses were going berserk, especially in week two.
So, what happens in week 3? (And this game was part of this trend...) (All information courtesy of vegasinsider.com:)
- SF-Cincinnati: Line was 38.5-39. Score: 13-8, in one of the worst games in recent NFL memory (and a unique final score). Under by 17.5-18 points.
- New England-Buffalo: Line was 54-54.5, with a 55 at the Peppermill! Score: 34-31. Over by the better part of 10 points. Over is 1-1.
- Houston-New Orleans: Line was 51, with one 51.5 -- and coming down over the week. Score: 40-33. Over by a ton! Over is 2-1 on this study.
- Giants-Philly: Line was 46.5-47. Score: 29-16. Under by a point or two. Over is 2-2. Probably also a marquee game for the week.
- Miami-Cleveland: Line was 42-42.5, with a significant upward tick of a point or a point and a half on some lines about 90 minutes before kickoff. Many lines had this game at 41, when all of a sudden, a number of these lines jumped the over/under by a point or a point and a half in one fell swoop at about 11:25 AM Eastern. This not only usually means big money is being bet on one side of the equation -- it usually means somebody has some information they think is a winner (a sure indication something might be up). The score? 17-16. Burn the big move, the game never got close to over. Over is 2-3.
- Denver-Tennessee: Line was 43.5-44, and more big money on the number going up (meaning money on the over) on Sunday morning -- not quite as pronounced as MIA-CLE, but it's still there. Score: 17-14. Burn that big move too, as that was even further away. Over is 2-4.
- Detroit-Minnesota: Line was 44.5-45, pretty consistent. Score: 26-23. Thank a couple late field goals, including an overtime game-winner for that over. Over is 3-4.
- Jacksonville-Carolina: Had to think the weather would be a factor here, though the Cam Newton love had the line at 42.5-43, pretty consistent. Score: 16-10. It rained all over the over bettors on that one. Under city in the monsoon. Over is 3-5 for the "early" games.
- Kansas City-San Diego: Line was 44.5-45 with the spread around 14. Score: 20-17. If that wasn't a couple of sucker plays, I don't know what was. A spread of 14 scares me, but I'd probably have lost some too taking it. Over is 3-6.
- Jets-Oakland: Line is 39.5-40, with big DOWNWARD movement 15 minutes before kickoff of about 1-1.5 points. Score: 34-24. Vegas burning the big movers on Sunday, that one goes over by several scores! Over is 4-6, identified big moves are losing all over the board!
- Baltimore-St. Louis: Would someone please tell me why Baltimore was only favored by 5.5 over St. Louis? That'd been big money for me if I had it and was in Vegas. Line was 42, with one 41.5, consistent across the board. Score: 37-7. A fourth-quarter defensive score, and the overs rejoice on one. Over is 5-6.
- Atlanta-Tampa: Most lines had it at 44.5 - 45. Caesar's and Harrah's had it at 46! (possible middle if you really wanted to take a chance at 45??) Score: 16-13. No middle, no over, bleh. Over is 5-7.
- Seattle-Arizona: Line was a consistent 42.5-43, though some lines started at 41 and got some big movement on the over side til it got to 42.5-43, where it settled quickly. Score: 13-10. Thanks for coming, suckers!! Over is 5-8, and that is about the fourth game where some big moves cost some big bettors, though this one was at opening, not on game day.
- Green Bay-Chicago: Line ended up a fairly consistent 45.5-46, with a BIG under move (but only to about 44.5)at some casinos as they opened on Sunday morning. Since this probably was the marquee "late" matchup, the move was matched by players who thought the game was pretty well marked on the previous number. You know what happened -- that's why I'm doing this. Over is 5-9 for the afternoon games.
- Sunday nighter: Pittsburgh-Indy: 39.5 - 40 pretty much across the board. One semi-move when the Atlantis broke upward to 41, but was brought back in line by bettors there. Score: 23-20. Over it went, even at 41. Over is 6-9.
- Monday nighter: Dallas-Washington: Game was pretty much off the Vegas boards, it looked like, until Romo was confirmed to play. Line ended up at 44.5-45, though the Atlantis had significant upward pressure to about 46 before the under bets put it back in line. Score: 18-16. Bleh, blat, and all the rest of it.
Remember: Dan Moldea has witnessed FBI proof that there were five games in one NFL Monday Night Football season which were PROVEN rigged, often for spread. I think it's on page 308 of the hardcover version if you can find it.
And that Monday nighter didn't move the scoreboard that much...
Final Week 3 average: 40.94
The fourth-lowest scoring week 3 since 2001.
Three-week average: 44.94
Still the highest-scoring Week 1-3 average, but only one-tenth of a point above 2002 (44.83)...
Anyone want to think the refs let a few more dirty hits slide? A lot of analysts (of which the linked, Whitlock, is one) think Dog Killer has a point...
The fourth-lowest scoring week 3 since 2001.
Three-week average: 44.94
Still the highest-scoring Week 1-3 average, but only one-tenth of a point above 2002 (44.83)...
Anyone want to think the refs let a few more dirty hits slide? A lot of analysts (of which the linked, Whitlock, is one) think Dog Killer has a point...
Sunday, September 25, 2011
2001-2011 Scoring Analysis: Week 3
(2011 does not include the week 3 Monday nighter yet. 2008 is based on 15 games in week 1 and 16 in each of the others. 2002-2006 had 14 games in week 3, 16 games in weeks 1 and 2. 2001 had 15 games in week 1, 14 games in each of the others.)
Week 3:
2001: 42.93
2002: 44
2003: 37.36
2004: 39
2005: 45.36
2006: 41.64
2007: 46.94
2008: 46.69
2009: 39.38
2010: 43.38
2011: 41.4
... the fourth SMALLEST average score of the week 3's since 2001.
3 week averages:
2001: 38.60
2002: 44.82
2003: 41.11
2004: 38.52
2005: 39.46
2006: 37.5
2007: 42.79
2008: 44.10
2009: 41.04
2010: 40.46
2011: 45.17
... still, but barely, the highest scoring average through three weeks of any NFL season since 2001.
Week 3:
2001: 42.93
2002: 44
2003: 37.36
2004: 39
2005: 45.36
2006: 41.64
2007: 46.94
2008: 46.69
2009: 39.38
2010: 43.38
2011: 41.4
... the fourth SMALLEST average score of the week 3's since 2001.
3 week averages:
2001: 38.60
2002: 44.82
2003: 41.11
2004: 38.52
2005: 39.46
2006: 37.5
2007: 42.79
2008: 44.10
2009: 41.04
2010: 40.46
2011: 45.17
... still, but barely, the highest scoring average through three weeks of any NFL season since 2001.
We got a live one here!! Vick injured and there was a helmet shot!
Look, I'd damn near pay to see Mike Vick injured and put out. I believe he is a virus on the sport, and the sooner the Neanderthal Felon League is minus Dog Killer, the better the NFL will be.
That said, I think we have a reason to look at a big fine this week.
Watch this NFL.com clip where Vick gets a clear helmet-to-helmet at about 55 seconds.
That was a dirty hit, and should've been flagged and probably ejected.
That said, I think we have a reason to look at a big fine this week.
Watch this NFL.com clip where Vick gets a clear helmet-to-helmet at about 55 seconds.
That was a dirty hit, and should've been flagged and probably ejected.
NFL Scoring comes down to Earth in Week 3 -- Season average still over 45 points a game
Filling out the week 3 analysis, and I found that scoring went down about 15% (the Monday nighter would have to score 109 points to make up the difference) from week 2 to week 3, to an average of 41.4 per game, with the Monday nighter still to come.
However, this still means that the 47 games of the first three weeks have still averaged 45.17 points per game, which is just a shade under the 2002 average for the first two weeks.
More to come on that...
However, this still means that the 47 games of the first three weeks have still averaged 45.17 points per game, which is just a shade under the 2002 average for the first two weeks.
More to come on that...
Well, there WERE very few pennant races going into September...
And now Boston is hell-bent on another classic collapse.
Which wouldn't be anything, except: SO IS ATLANTA!!!
Could we be seeing an order for a team or two to take a dive to make September relevant -- forget interesting???
Which wouldn't be anything, except: SO IS ATLANTA!!!
Could we be seeing an order for a team or two to take a dive to make September relevant -- forget interesting???
Thursday, September 22, 2011
Ahh, yes... Criminal threats on the field...
Forgot about this one until friends let me know about it.
Saw earlier in the week that DeAngelo Hall has threatened to "put a helmet" on Tony Romo's fractured ribs to eliminate him from the Giant-Cowboy game.
Yeah, that's a threat. Wait to see what happens when he actually does it, too...
How did Greg Lloyd not get suspended for his little ditty with Dan Marino?
And I'd say, even more so, with the way the QB's are being protected to run up the scores, this is going to be very problematic for Mr. Hall.
Should be already -- any act which could bring arrest off the field should bring suspension on it.
Oh, and THIS IDIOT (a Yahoo! poster) gives an idea as to why many fans are screwed up in the National Religion:
Saw earlier in the week that DeAngelo Hall has threatened to "put a helmet" on Tony Romo's fractured ribs to eliminate him from the Giant-Cowboy game.
Yeah, that's a threat. Wait to see what happens when he actually does it, too...
How did Greg Lloyd not get suspended for his little ditty with Dan Marino?
And I'd say, even more so, with the way the QB's are being protected to run up the scores, this is going to be very problematic for Mr. Hall.
Should be already -- any act which could bring arrest off the field should bring suspension on it.
Oh, and THIS IDIOT (a Yahoo! poster) gives an idea as to why many fans are screwed up in the National Religion:
Break those ribs all of em!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hey deangelo ...break those friggin ribs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Week 2 Fine Blotter: Evidence that scoring is the plan...
Been scouring the Net for NFL fines, and found four this week which indicate that there is a plan to keep the scoring at record highs:
- Cullen Jenkins hit for $15,000 for a helmet-to-helmet on Matt Ryan. Could not find a clip of it.
- Derrick Morgan fined $7,500 for unnecessarily jumping on Joe Flacco after a fumble. No clip found on this one either.
- Antonio Gray of the Chargers and Raheem Brock of the Seahawks dinged $15,000 for the Brady Rule -- knee-targetting, or supposedly as such. Gray on Brady, Brock on Rothlesberger. Brock was definitely tripped into Rothlesberger, but I think the dirty play has gone so far that the players are being told to make every effort to fall in another direction. Quick replay of that one here.
100th Post: It's official: NFL scoring at record high.
I'd seen a number of articles which had mentioned that NFL, for the first two weeks, had the record for the number of touchdowns scored in the first two weeks of a season.
The NFL has been trying to market itself as a quarterback league (Don't believe me? Ask ESPN!!), but I finally found the official word, from the NFL itself:
NFL Vice-President of Football Communications Mike Signora has announced on the official NFL information Twitter account that the 1,502 points scored in the first two weeks of the NFL season is the most in the history of the league.
(Pat yourselves on the back much?)
I guess one could make argument as to whether the average is as high as it has ever been, but I only found two weeks, going back to 1999 (one previously listed, the other was in 2000), in which the average total exceeded 47 (which is around what the first two weeks averaged per-game each), and, in both cases, the other week of the pair was a significant downgrade.
The NFL has been trying to market itself as a quarterback league (Don't believe me? Ask ESPN!!), but I finally found the official word, from the NFL itself:
NFL Vice-President of Football Communications Mike Signora has announced on the official NFL information Twitter account that the 1,502 points scored in the first two weeks of the NFL season is the most in the history of the league.
(Pat yourselves on the back much?)
I guess one could make argument as to whether the average is as high as it has ever been, but I only found two weeks, going back to 1999 (one previously listed, the other was in 2000), in which the average total exceeded 47 (which is around what the first two weeks averaged per-game each), and, in both cases, the other week of the pair was a significant downgrade.
Monday, September 19, 2011
In thanks to Brian, I decided to expand the discussion back to the first two weeks of 2001...
So take this as an update of the NFL-scoring comparison I started last night. I've expanded, after Brian's note on my study, my spreadsheet back to the first two weeks of 2001.
This is what I found:
WEEK ONE:
2001: 36.2
2002: 49.5 (the only year of the other ten that was higher for week one than 2011)
2003: 40.31
2004: 38.81
2005: 38.44
2006: 34.56
2007: 38
2008: 40.06
2009: 39.31
2010: 36.56
2011: 47
WEEK TWO:
2001: 36.86
2002: 40.88 (an 8 1/2 point drop since week one)
2003: 45.19
2004: 37.81
2005: 35.31
2006: 36.81
2007: 43.44
2008: 45.67
2009: 44.44
2010: 41.44
2011? With the Monday nighter completed: 46.88
So, AVERAGE TOTAL POINTS PER GAME WEEKS ONE AND TWO, since 2001:
2001: 36.52
2002: 45.19
2003: 42.75
2004: 38.31
2005: 36.88
2006: 35.69
2007: 40.72
2008: 42.77
2009: 41.88
2010: 39
2011? 46.94 points per game.
Nearly an 8-point increase year over year, and even almost two points higher than the one year that broke out a bit from this pack, 2002!
Year-over-year, NFL scoring is up 20.35% in the first two weeks of the season.
As Brian Tuohy points out in his NFL 2011 page: RJ Bell at Pregame.com noted that entering tonight's game, 21 of the 31 contests went over the number, only 8 went under the number, and two hit the number exactly.
According to Vegasinsider.com, tonight's number was a fairly consistent 43.5 - 44 for the over/under.
This means that the 43.5 wins going over, and the 44 pushes.
So even on the most conservative of estimates, the "over" is now 21-8-3 this year -- and that's 70.3% .
(If you count the 43.5, it's an even-gaudier 71.9%.)
Those are not numbers Vegas is going to like for very long!! Basically, if you're a bettor at this point, until the NFL decides (ha ha...) to reverse course, take it from this guy who got thrown out of an NBA game by an official -- when he told the official to "take the over"!
This is what I found:
WEEK ONE:
2001: 36.2
2002: 49.5 (the only year of the other ten that was higher for week one than 2011)
2003: 40.31
2004: 38.81
2005: 38.44
2006: 34.56
2007: 38
2008: 40.06
2009: 39.31
2010: 36.56
2011: 47
WEEK TWO:
2001: 36.86
2002: 40.88 (an 8 1/2 point drop since week one)
2003: 45.19
2004: 37.81
2005: 35.31
2006: 36.81
2007: 43.44
2008: 45.67
2009: 44.44
2010: 41.44
2011? With the Monday nighter completed: 46.88
So, AVERAGE TOTAL POINTS PER GAME WEEKS ONE AND TWO, since 2001:
2001: 36.52
2002: 45.19
2003: 42.75
2004: 38.31
2005: 36.88
2006: 35.69
2007: 40.72
2008: 42.77
2009: 41.88
2010: 39
2011? 46.94 points per game.
Nearly an 8-point increase year over year, and even almost two points higher than the one year that broke out a bit from this pack, 2002!
Year-over-year, NFL scoring is up 20.35% in the first two weeks of the season.
As Brian Tuohy points out in his NFL 2011 page: RJ Bell at Pregame.com noted that entering tonight's game, 21 of the 31 contests went over the number, only 8 went under the number, and two hit the number exactly.
According to Vegasinsider.com, tonight's number was a fairly consistent 43.5 - 44 for the over/under.
This means that the 43.5 wins going over, and the 44 pushes.
So even on the most conservative of estimates, the "over" is now 21-8-3 this year -- and that's 70.3% .
(If you count the 43.5, it's an even-gaudier 71.9%.)
Those are not numbers Vegas is going to like for very long!! Basically, if you're a bettor at this point, until the NFL decides (ha ha...) to reverse course, take it from this guy who got thrown out of an NBA game by an official -- when he told the official to "take the over"!
Sounds like I'm going to get some more traffic:
Brian Tuohy took my advice and put the statistical analysis I did last night on scoring in the NFL (entering the in-progress MNF game) on his Week 2 (and general 2011) analysis of events which indicate something going on in the NFL.
I thank him for that.
But he linked to the blog in general, so I'm going to re-link the statistical analysis here. That way, if you don't like some of the more profane rants, you can at least find what Brian Tuohy pointed out and leave the rest as you choose to.
And I'll probably keep bumping a link to the analysis I did, from time to time, over the course of the week, and update the analysis as time goes on (should time permit on my end).
I thank him for that.
But he linked to the blog in general, so I'm going to re-link the statistical analysis here. That way, if you don't like some of the more profane rants, you can at least find what Brian Tuohy pointed out and leave the rest as you choose to.
And I'll probably keep bumping a link to the analysis I did, from time to time, over the course of the week, and update the analysis as time goes on (should time permit on my end).
AND LIMP-DICK GOODELL STRIKES AGAIN!!!
$40,000 for deliberately lowering your head, _almost_ launching, and braining a semi-defenseless receiver in the face mask!!!
No suspension.
BULL-SHIT, GOODELL!!! DO NOT come to me with this "player safety" bullshit anymore, you lying used-car salesman.
No suspension.
BULL-SHIT, GOODELL!!! DO NOT come to me with this "player safety" bullshit anymore, you lying used-car salesman.
I'll let this one speak for itself...
Dunta Robinson headbutted Jeremy Maclin last night.
Deliberately lead with his head to nail the guy in the face-mask.
The NFL is already reviewing the hit, which indicates this may finally go beyond a fine.
He clearly attempts to spear him, lowering his head right into a whiplash on the guy's neck.
Deliberately lead with his head to nail the guy in the face-mask.
The NFL is already reviewing the hit, which indicates this may finally go beyond a fine.
He clearly attempts to spear him, lowering his head right into a whiplash on the guy's neck.
Sunday, September 18, 2011
Two weeks in, something is up in the National Football League...
And it's not just that I think that this is a function of an agenda for the league...
(Though one has to wonder if the Michael Vick concussion might well change the plans for the league this season...)
Something is up -- QUITE UP -- in the first two weeks of this NFL season:
SCORING!!
I did a survey, and all it would take for you to do the same is to grab a spreadsheet and NFL.com.
I went back to 2006, and listed all the scores for weeks 1 and 2 of all the NFL seasons as of tonight.
(NOTE: In 2011, because of the pending Monday night game, and 2008, because they actually did the first two teams of byes in week two (!!!), this data is on 31 games total and 15 in week 2. All other seasons discussed have their data on 32 games and 16 games in all weeks.)
I found the following:
WEEK ONE:
2006 Average scoring: 34.56
2007 Average scoring: 38
2008 Average scoring: 40.06
2009 Average scoring: 39.31
2010 Average scoring: 36.56
2011 Average scoring: 47
That's right. You heard me. For the entire first week of this year's NFL season, the average total of each game was FORTY-SEVEN POINTS, a nearly 30% increase over last year and almost 20% higher than any season in the last five!!!
Another thing I checked was the number of 30 point games: The last time, before the 2011 opener, that the losing team scored 30 points in a week 1 game was the Sunday nighter in 2007. In 2006, only 1 team achieved 30 points. In 2007-2010, 5 teams achieved that total each year in week 1.
In 2011, NINE teams reached that plateau.
WEEK TWO:
2006: 36.81 points per game total.
2007: 43.44
2008: 45.67
2009: 44.44
2010: 41.44
A definite increase, in all cases, over week one, every year.
2011? 47.07
A 5 1/2 point increase (about 13%) over last year, and beats every year in the last five.
30-point games were achieved by 6 teams in 2006, 7 teams in 2007, 8 teams in 2010, and 9 teams in 2008 and 2009.
2011? 9 again.
So the two-week averages appear to show that the league wants to bring in money through having the scoreboards roll:
2006: 35.69 points per game total
2007: 40.72
2008: 42.77
2009: 41.88
2010: 39
2011? 47.03 points per game.
That's an eight-point increase over all 32 games last year, over a 20% increase in scoring.
And if you think it's just the lockout...
(Though one has to wonder if the Michael Vick concussion might well change the plans for the league this season...)
Something is up -- QUITE UP -- in the first two weeks of this NFL season:
SCORING!!
I did a survey, and all it would take for you to do the same is to grab a spreadsheet and NFL.com.
I went back to 2006, and listed all the scores for weeks 1 and 2 of all the NFL seasons as of tonight.
(NOTE: In 2011, because of the pending Monday night game, and 2008, because they actually did the first two teams of byes in week two (!!!), this data is on 31 games total and 15 in week 2. All other seasons discussed have their data on 32 games and 16 games in all weeks.)
I found the following:
WEEK ONE:
2006 Average scoring: 34.56
2007 Average scoring: 38
2008 Average scoring: 40.06
2009 Average scoring: 39.31
2010 Average scoring: 36.56
2011 Average scoring: 47
That's right. You heard me. For the entire first week of this year's NFL season, the average total of each game was FORTY-SEVEN POINTS, a nearly 30% increase over last year and almost 20% higher than any season in the last five!!!
Another thing I checked was the number of 30 point games: The last time, before the 2011 opener, that the losing team scored 30 points in a week 1 game was the Sunday nighter in 2007. In 2006, only 1 team achieved 30 points. In 2007-2010, 5 teams achieved that total each year in week 1.
In 2011, NINE teams reached that plateau.
WEEK TWO:
2006: 36.81 points per game total.
2007: 43.44
2008: 45.67
2009: 44.44
2010: 41.44
A definite increase, in all cases, over week one, every year.
2011? 47.07
A 5 1/2 point increase (about 13%) over last year, and beats every year in the last five.
30-point games were achieved by 6 teams in 2006, 7 teams in 2007, 8 teams in 2010, and 9 teams in 2008 and 2009.
2011? 9 again.
So the two-week averages appear to show that the league wants to bring in money through having the scoreboards roll:
2006: 35.69 points per game total
2007: 40.72
2008: 42.77
2009: 41.88
2010: 39
2011? 47.03 points per game.
That's an eight-point increase over all 32 games last year, over a 20% increase in scoring.
And if you think it's just the lockout...
OK, this $Cam baloney has to stop...
28 for 45, 432 yards, he throws for one touchdown, runs for the other one in a 30-23 loss.
The Panthers are 0-2, with Newton accounting for all the touchdowns Carolina has scored this season.
So he's thrown for 855 yards. About the only thing different this week is the three picks, but this is getting absurd!
The Panthers are 0-2, with Newton accounting for all the touchdowns Carolina has scored this season.
So he's thrown for 855 yards. About the only thing different this week is the three picks, but this is getting absurd!
Saturday, September 17, 2011
We may have just witnessed a fixed fight between Mayerweather and Ortiz...
The fight just ended: Mayerweather KO 4 directly after a headbutt penalty on Ortiz.
But as I'm watching it, it's clear that the referee has stepped back to restart the action, but is not looking at the two fighters as Ortiz, clearly in the sights and not even trying to protect himself, takes a two-punch combination from Floyd and gets abjectly knocked the fuck out.
People are talking about how classless this was, but here's the skinny:
I think we may have viewed a fixed fight. Floyd Mayerweather is the only guy in that division worth any degree of "Money", and they're trying to position almost certainly the last mega-fight he can have, one with Manny Pacquiao (but that has to wait until Manny dispatches a served-up tomato can in November).
If Ortiz makes that bad of a mistake, he's either not competent or in on something. The Nevada State Athletic Commission needs to look in to this one.
EDIT: And that goes double after the Larry Merchant-Mayerweather "interview" (more like showdown!!). Merchant: "I wish I was 50 years younger. I'd have kicked your ass."
But as I'm watching it, it's clear that the referee has stepped back to restart the action, but is not looking at the two fighters as Ortiz, clearly in the sights and not even trying to protect himself, takes a two-punch combination from Floyd and gets abjectly knocked the fuck out.
People are talking about how classless this was, but here's the skinny:
- Mayerweather was winning the fight, and Ortiz, who'd talked a good game and caused fireworks at the press conference, couldn't figure him out.
- So he headbutts him and referee Joe Cortez deducts the point.
- At that point, the two embrace, and the ESPN CoveritLive said that Ortiz kissed him too.
- Cortez steps back, and Mayerweather just destroys Ortiz with two punches.
I think we may have viewed a fixed fight. Floyd Mayerweather is the only guy in that division worth any degree of "Money", and they're trying to position almost certainly the last mega-fight he can have, one with Manny Pacquiao (but that has to wait until Manny dispatches a served-up tomato can in November).
If Ortiz makes that bad of a mistake, he's either not competent or in on something. The Nevada State Athletic Commission needs to look in to this one.
EDIT: And that goes double after the Larry Merchant-Mayerweather "interview" (more like showdown!!). Merchant: "I wish I was 50 years younger. I'd have kicked your ass."
Friday, September 16, 2011
NFL Fine Blotter Week One: Limp-Dick Strikes Again
No wonder you have columnists calling for the end of the fines and the start of the suspensions, because LIMP-DICK GODDELL is on the rampage!!
Here's the blotter:
And you can't tell me this incident in the Steeler-Raven game gets only one 15-yard penalty and no ejections, even though the referee calls the fucking headbutt!!!
Hey, Limp-Dick!! Yeah, you, Goodell!!! Where's the player safety when this crap is allowed to stand?
Here's the blotter:
- Green Bay Packers Charles Woodson, $10,000 for an uppercut punch in the third quarter that if any referee had seen the entire incident, Woodson would've been done for the night.
- Two New York Giants were fined for dirty hits against Washington tight end Fred Davis: Antrel Rolle got $20,000 for a helmet-to-helmet and Kenny Phillips got $10,000 for a head/neck shot.
- And three players from the Raven/Steeler war got fined: Troy Palomalu of the Steelers and Brendon Ayanbadejo of the Ravens got $15,000 each for horse-collar tackles, and Ike Taylor got $15,000 for a head-butt...
And you can't tell me this incident in the Steeler-Raven game gets only one 15-yard penalty and no ejections, even though the referee calls the fucking headbutt!!!
Hey, Limp-Dick!! Yeah, you, Goodell!!! Where's the player safety when this crap is allowed to stand?
Monday, September 12, 2011
When are we going to demand that our athletes go beyond their culture and act like human beings?
Serena Williams did it again.
Two years after a threatening tirade cost her her semifinal with eventual champion Kim Cjlisters (and almost $100,000 and a two-year probation, where another "major violation" would cost her a major), she got into it again with the officials at the US Open, as part of losing her cool, and the final, to Stosur.
As part of an exchange which earned her another code violation, she fouled to give the first game of the second set to Stosur on the last point, yelling before the point was over, a violation of the "hindrance rule" probably put on by all the grunting going on in women's tennis.
So she basically goes off on the officials and loses the match.
She's fined TWO THOUSAND DOLLARS.
Never mind she's on probation still for the Cjlisters match incident (it ended with that final -- it was for two years after that US Open). $2,000...
Chris Chase and Mary Carillo say it better than I can.
Carillo: "I don't like bullies. I think they're the scourge of the universe. [...] What happens in the sport of tennis is that there are no substitutions. The player has so much power on that court. If you throw her off the court, the match is over. It's not like in any other team sport where someone is acting like an ass-clown and you can toss them out and the game continues. Believe me, tennis players have always understood how much power they have and they've pretty much always understand how much abuse they could dole out before they get in trouble."
Serena Williams has been bullying the women's tennis tour for years, and so has her father. That they are black is no accident to the process -- and if they are going to use the race card to their advantage, then I'm going to use it against them.
The fact that Serena Williams is black, plus the fact that Serena Williams is, and by a significant distance, THE -- ONLY -- RELEVANT -- AMERICAN -- TENNIS PLAYER has allowed her to get away again with bullying, if not outright threatening, match officials.
This is the kind of stuff one watches for in soccer to watch for fixed matches by officials too damned scared for their own safety to effectively carry out their duties.
Chase: "If the USTA and WTA continues to act as if they need Serena more than she needs them, this behavior will continue. Fine her $250,000, ban her from the Australian Open and demand a public apology before she's allowed to play another major. If she balks, so be it.
Two years after a threatening tirade cost her her semifinal with eventual champion Kim Cjlisters (and almost $100,000 and a two-year probation, where another "major violation" would cost her a major), she got into it again with the officials at the US Open, as part of losing her cool, and the final, to Stosur.
As part of an exchange which earned her another code violation, she fouled to give the first game of the second set to Stosur on the last point, yelling before the point was over, a violation of the "hindrance rule" probably put on by all the grunting going on in women's tennis.
So she basically goes off on the officials and loses the match.
She's fined TWO THOUSAND DOLLARS.
Never mind she's on probation still for the Cjlisters match incident (it ended with that final -- it was for two years after that US Open). $2,000...
Chris Chase and Mary Carillo say it better than I can.
Carillo: "I don't like bullies. I think they're the scourge of the universe. [...] What happens in the sport of tennis is that there are no substitutions. The player has so much power on that court. If you throw her off the court, the match is over. It's not like in any other team sport where someone is acting like an ass-clown and you can toss them out and the game continues. Believe me, tennis players have always understood how much power they have and they've pretty much always understand how much abuse they could dole out before they get in trouble."
Serena Williams has been bullying the women's tennis tour for years, and so has her father. That they are black is no accident to the process -- and if they are going to use the race card to their advantage, then I'm going to use it against them.
The fact that Serena Williams is black, plus the fact that Serena Williams is, and by a significant distance, THE -- ONLY -- RELEVANT -- AMERICAN -- TENNIS PLAYER has allowed her to get away again with bullying, if not outright threatening, match officials.
This is the kind of stuff one watches for in soccer to watch for fixed matches by officials too damned scared for their own safety to effectively carry out their duties.
Chase: "If the USTA and WTA continues to act as if they need Serena more than she needs them, this behavior will continue. Fine her $250,000, ban her from the Australian Open and demand a public apology before she's allowed to play another major. If she balks, so be it.
None of this will happen, of course, because the idea of a primetime Saturday night U.S. Open final next year between Vera Zvonareva and Francesca Schiavone would be a disaster. So Serena will continue to get away with her antics, just like usual."
No. That should've been the penalty TWO YEARS AGO.
It is now long past time to BAN SERENA FROM THE TOUR -- for at least one year.
And if she, like many of our prominent athletes, refuse to act like human beings, then don't come back.
What is it about Florida high schools and crooked athletic administrations?
Someone really needs to start taking a microscope to high school athletics in the state of Florida.
And it's well beyond the football stuff I've been talking about for some time...
Add this little ditty from Yahoo! Sports: The 16th-ranked team on Yahoo!'s Rivals.com blog Top 100 high school teams in the country had it's season terminated and all wins forfeited after the use of an ineligible star player.
Now, more allegations have been found, and the team has been fined $53,000 by the state high school athletic administration -- which has the power to do so, by the way.
Not only has the investigation found multiple ineligible players, but the open falsification of documents to allow them to compete.
When are we going to start coming to the conclusion that the only reason many schools exist is to promote a hierarchy where the athletes -- often violent -- are on top? That without the athletics, the schools would not exist at all?
They found that six players were document-falsified to play basketball at Dr. Krop -- and the penalty includes a three-year postseason ban for the school which will be extended to all sports if (*cough*when) it is found this extends to other sports.
Will someone please explain to me why this kind of conduct is not grounds for sending to the Florida Dept. of Education (or whatever it is called down there -- the Department of Public Instruction, it's called in one of the states I've lived in) to revoke the damn school and shut it down?
The saddest part is why the book wasn't thrown at them and, on top of everything else, the fine could've been six times this amount, or upwards of $313,000!
The more things change...
And it's well beyond the football stuff I've been talking about for some time...
Add this little ditty from Yahoo! Sports: The 16th-ranked team on Yahoo!'s Rivals.com blog Top 100 high school teams in the country had it's season terminated and all wins forfeited after the use of an ineligible star player.
Now, more allegations have been found, and the team has been fined $53,000 by the state high school athletic administration -- which has the power to do so, by the way.
Not only has the investigation found multiple ineligible players, but the open falsification of documents to allow them to compete.
When are we going to start coming to the conclusion that the only reason many schools exist is to promote a hierarchy where the athletes -- often violent -- are on top? That without the athletics, the schools would not exist at all?
They found that six players were document-falsified to play basketball at Dr. Krop -- and the penalty includes a three-year postseason ban for the school which will be extended to all sports if (*cough*when) it is found this extends to other sports.
Will someone please explain to me why this kind of conduct is not grounds for sending to the Florida Dept. of Education (or whatever it is called down there -- the Department of Public Instruction, it's called in one of the states I've lived in) to revoke the damn school and shut it down?
The saddest part is why the book wasn't thrown at them and, on top of everything else, the fine could've been six times this amount, or upwards of $313,000!
The more things change...
And one from Saturday night, while we're at it...
NA$CAR gets Saturday night's "Rig Job of the Day" award...
We all know that NA$CAR prides itself on being holier-than-thou and patriotic and all that stuff.
Don't believe me? Watch any pre-race coverage, for the pre-race flags and flyover and the invocation, including the one about the smoking-hot wife...
(Pastor Nelms, I had to include that, and there's no fraud in that prayer. Sometimes we forget all the component parts in the show, and then your smoking-hot wife... ;) )
(To be fair, he did mention his two children, and more...)
But that moment of levity is not why they earn the spot here.
Saturday night, Sept. 10, they had a race for the final positions in the Chase (the 26th race, the last before the 10-race playoff).
But, it being the 9/11 +10 Race, they wanted the fans and the announcers to be quiet for laps 9 through 11.
So, what better way to do that then for Clint Bowyer to spin on lap 8?
Now, if this simply brought out the caution, that might not be as big a problem... (Hell, I'd probably have thrown a "competition yellow" for the three tribute laps, get the business over with, and continue the race -- not unlike, say, for a soccer tribute at a European Cup match years ago, the match was stopped a relevant number of minutes in to pay tribute to a disaster which had happened in another country -- to which the fans at the game paid tribute with a stirring rendition of "You'll Never Walk Alone" before the game was resumed...)
What became the problem was when Dale Jr. couldn't stop and crunched his front right into Bowyer, turning his car into a tank for the rest of the race? Floundering in the back, NA$CAR'$ most popular driver needed THREE Lucky Dogs to keep on the lead lap and ensure he would (for the first time in about three years) make the Chase -- largely on his early-season form.
Something just don't smell right on that one...
We all know that NA$CAR prides itself on being holier-than-thou and patriotic and all that stuff.
Don't believe me? Watch any pre-race coverage, for the pre-race flags and flyover and the invocation, including the one about the smoking-hot wife...
(Pastor Nelms, I had to include that, and there's no fraud in that prayer. Sometimes we forget all the component parts in the show, and then your smoking-hot wife... ;) )
(To be fair, he did mention his two children, and more...)
But that moment of levity is not why they earn the spot here.
Saturday night, Sept. 10, they had a race for the final positions in the Chase (the 26th race, the last before the 10-race playoff).
But, it being the 9/11 +10 Race, they wanted the fans and the announcers to be quiet for laps 9 through 11.
So, what better way to do that then for Clint Bowyer to spin on lap 8?
Now, if this simply brought out the caution, that might not be as big a problem... (Hell, I'd probably have thrown a "competition yellow" for the three tribute laps, get the business over with, and continue the race -- not unlike, say, for a soccer tribute at a European Cup match years ago, the match was stopped a relevant number of minutes in to pay tribute to a disaster which had happened in another country -- to which the fans at the game paid tribute with a stirring rendition of "You'll Never Walk Alone" before the game was resumed...)
What became the problem was when Dale Jr. couldn't stop and crunched his front right into Bowyer, turning his car into a tank for the rest of the race? Floundering in the back, NA$CAR'$ most popular driver needed THREE Lucky Dogs to keep on the lead lap and ensure he would (for the first time in about three years) make the Chase -- largely on his early-season form.
Something just don't smell right on that one...
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Oh wonderful, on this "blessed" day... Fraud, fraud, fraud, and more fraud in the National Religion...
So let's go down a big day in the Neanderthal Felon League...
Fresno State has a number of it's football players in trouble -- for welfare fraud.
Let it process.
For _WELFARE FRAUD_.
Two dozen players are under investigation for being in cahoots with a local social worker to get themselves illegal additional benefits which might send the lot of them to prison!
Typical American football mentality -- hey, these guys need money, and they're at Fresno State because no one is willing to pay them... Let's help them out and screw the legitimately poor in the process -- in a state that is all but broke and has taken money off my table for years on end because of this shit!!!
What a weekend...
- Let's start off with that wonderful Sunday nighter, which Bob Costas just called "an improbable comeback". OH PLEASE!!! It was the home game in New York for the 9/11 weekend (the Giants played in Washington -- the latter won), and so what did you think was going to happen when Dallas was up 24-10 in the 4th -- big comeback for the Jets, thanks for coming, all hail New York, Always Remember and Never Forget, etc. and so forth and so on...
- The $Cam Newton Legacy is alive and well in the NFL, it appears. Boy, did someone buy a lot of cache, as it were: 24 for 37, 422 yards (in his first NFL game, no less), 2 TDs, 1 pick, and that archaic QB rating of over 110. Yeah, that's your typical first game in the NFL... Riiiiiiiiiiiiight... AND an excessive celebration penalty on his rushing touchdown (he was responsible for all three touchdowns and almost every yard Carolina made on the game -- they lost 28-21 on a late punt return), and he was STILL celebrating as he went to the sideline as the referee was calling the 15-yard penalty on his microphone!! Stay classy, $Cam, and welcome to my Fair Play table.
- Michael Vick and the Eagles are 1-0.
- Obama back at it? Bears 30-10 over the Falcons. How'd that go down acceptably?
- And the Bills go into Arrowhead and STOMP the Chiefs. Four touchdowns for... Ryan Fitzpatrick?
- And our good friend Mr. Talib is back in black, as it were. He intercepts for a touchdown, and promptly gets 15 afterward. Forget the fact the touchdown wouldn't count in college anymore: the idiot high-stepped it in from the FIFTEEN YARD LINE!! You too stay classy.
Fresno State has a number of it's football players in trouble -- for welfare fraud.
Let it process.
For _WELFARE FRAUD_.
Two dozen players are under investigation for being in cahoots with a local social worker to get themselves illegal additional benefits which might send the lot of them to prison!
Typical American football mentality -- hey, these guys need money, and they're at Fresno State because no one is willing to pay them... Let's help them out and screw the legitimately poor in the process -- in a state that is all but broke and has taken money off my table for years on end because of this shit!!!
What a weekend...
Saturday, September 10, 2011
Nice punch, Charles...
So, the refs decided to leave him in the game why?
Oh, that's right, because the Pack were supposed to win!!!
Watch it here. They called it, so they needed to toss him too!
Please await a letter from the Commissioner -- that's going to cost you some money and SHOULD cost you playing in week 2.
Oh, that's right, because the Pack were supposed to win!!!
Watch it here. They called it, so they needed to toss him too!
Please await a letter from the Commissioner -- that's going to cost you some money and SHOULD cost you playing in week 2.
Thursday, September 8, 2011
It's almost as if they scripted it...
76 points...
The two QBs going berserk...
A huge kickoff return with big moves...
And then a stop on the last play from the 9...
BUT WAIT!!!
*Dun Dun DUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUN!!!*
Defensive PI flag... Time for the Manhood Test from the 1...
And then Ingram goes right into the heart of the pile to get stuffed.
All according to the plan...
The two QBs going berserk...
A huge kickoff return with big moves...
And then a stop on the last play from the 9...
BUT WAIT!!!
*Dun Dun DUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUN!!!*
Defensive PI flag... Time for the Manhood Test from the 1...
And then Ingram goes right into the heart of the pile to get stuffed.
All according to the plan...
Wednesday, September 7, 2011
Super Fraud's Official 2011 NFL Predictions
Had a much longer form in so doing, as I was following along with Mike and Mike's Two-a-Days, which end tomorrow with their Super Bowl picks.
My predictions will be first, followed by the Mikes'.
My picks might also not mathematically line up, but they're the best guess I have:
NFC East
Philadelphia: Me: 12-4 Greeny: 12-4 Golic: 11-5
Dallas: All three of us predict 9-7.
NY Giants: Me: 8-8 Greeny: 7-9 Golic: 8-8
Washington: Me: 6-10 Mike and Mike: 5-11
As you'll see later, I believe this is the year that the league and the media attempt to crown that dog-killing piece of shit Michael Vick our Lord and Saviour of football. So back to Philly later. I truly believe Dallas can do nothing until they get more than a celebrity as their quarterback. The Giants just don't have it right now, and Washington is going to be a doormat until they get a competent operation and some stability thereto.
NFC North
Green Bay: All three of us predict 12-4.
Chicago: Me: 9-7 Greeny: 7-9 Golic: 8-8
Detroit: Me: 7-9 Greeny: 9-7 Golic: 7-9
Minnesota: Me: 7-9 Mike and Mike: 8-8
Green Bay should even be better than 12-4, but they always get rather severely banged up. Chicago blew it's shot, and I don't think they have faith in Cutler anymore. Detroit is going to get another ream-job by the Commissioner and the league, and it's double-trouble on that end once Fairley (another proposed knucklehead) gets healthy). Minnesota can't be carried by Adrian Peterson all day.
NFC South:
Atlanta: All three of us predict 12-4.
Tampa Bay: Me: 11-5 Mike and Mike: 10-6
New Orleans: All three of us predict 9-7.
Carolina: Me: 4-12 Greeny: 4-12 Golic: 3-13
Tough division probably holds everybody down a game or so. Atlanta has the guns, but do they have the moxie (or the preference of the league) when the chips go down? Tampa is probably The Team on the Come this year -- watch for some big things in Tampa. Someone has to take a step back, and I think it's New Orleans, especially with them probably being served up for the job on Opening Night tomorrow night. Carolina really doesn't have the talent to be considered an NFL team at this point, but I'm giving them 4 because they followed the script, took $Cam, and now have made him the starter. All part of the plan.
NFC Worst, erm... West:
St. Louis: Me: 8-8 Mike and Mike: 9-7
Arizona: Me: 6-10 Greeny: 8-8 Golic: 7-9
Seattle: Me: 6-10 Greeny: 6-10 Golic: 5-11
San Francisco: Me: 5-11 Greeny: 7-9 Golic: 6-10
There's going to be a lot of ugly football out West (in both Western divisions) this year. Let's leave it at that and go on.
We all have the same divisional champions:
NFC East Champion: Philadelphia
NFC North Champion: Green Bay
NFC South Champion: Atlanta
NFC West Champion: St. Louis
All three of us also have Tampa Bay as the first wild-card: Me at 11-5, the Mikes at 10-6.
It's the second wild card who will have people guessing: Dallas and New Orleans, we all have at 9-7, Greeny also has Detroit, while I have Chicago.
Today, Greeny said Detroit would make the playoffs, Golic said Dallas. I think New Orleans will get out of that situation and go into the playoffs.
Divisional round: Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta, and Tampa Bay
NFC Championship: Philadelphia vs. Green Bay
NFC Predicted Champion: Philadelphia Eagles and Michael Vick.
Greeny picked the Eagles, Golic picked the Falcons.
This is becoming one of the most-telegraphed ideas out there, with friends of mine also believing this "What if Michael Vick were white?" idea meant to marginalize those of us who believe that there is a component of racial culture in the conduct. But the thing is that is clear that people appear to really like the "Black Street-Ball" meme that Vick represents.
That they gave this shit-head another $100,000,000 just boggles my mind. I just see this as a very ugly season, and this is just going to make it uglier.
------------
AFC East
New England: Me: 14-2. Greeny: 11-5 Golic: 13-3
New York Jets: Me: 10-6 Mike and Mike: 11-5
Buffalo: All three of us predict 5-11.
Miami: Me: 4-12. Greeny: 3-13 Golic: 4-12
Miami is going well in the wrong direction, and Buffalo is a franchise in deep, deep trouble.
The Jets are going to get screwed, blued, and tattooed by the Commissioner -- I openly forecast that Rex Ryan will be suspended for at least one game this season because of misconduct on his team.
The Patriots are the Super Team. If the Eagles are the Dream Team, this is a team that some people are actually pegging for 16-0, and then you have the 9/11 +10 angle. But if Ochocinco becomes a head-case and Haynesworth becomes a knucklehead, all bets are off.
AFC North:
Baltimore: Me: 12-4 Mike and Mike: 10-6
Pittsburgh: Me: 10-6 Mike and Mike: 11-5
Cleveland: All three of us predict 6-10.
Cincinnati: Me: 4-12 Greeny: 2-14 Golic: 3-13
A division not unlike the AFC East, without the perception that the Ravens are a Super Team. The Ravens simply are the beneficiaries of some tinkering against the Steelers this year. Do I think the Steelers are good enough to buck the trend and get back to the Super Bowl? Yes. Do I think it will be allowed to happen?? No.
Cleveland gets 6-10 largely on the schedule, and Cincinnati is an utter mess. With that schedule, I think some high-school teams could luck into 2 wins.
AFC South:
Houston: All three of us predict 10-6.
Jacksonville: All three of us predict 7-9.
Indianapolis: Me: 6-10 Greeny: 8-8 Golic: 9-7
Tennessee: Me: 5-11 Greeny: 8-8 Golic: 7-9
Houston wins this by default now. They just announced another neck surgery for Manning, and they _say_ he's out 2-3 months.
Peyton Manning will never play in the NFL again. That's just far too dangerous and it's NOT healing.
Jacksonville is just muddling along, and I think there are too many issues for Tennessee to be competitive.
AFC West
San Diego: Me: 10-6 Greeny: 12-4 Golic: 10-6
Kansas City: Me: 7-9 Greeny: 6-10 Golic: 8-8
Oakland: All three of us predict 6-10.
Denver: All three of us predict 6-10.
Another, for me, "by default" situation here with San Diego. Kansas City was an utter fluke last year, and they're one of a couple teams with a coach who just does not know how to win when it counts. Oakland is the Raiders, and that means the league does not want them doing well. Denver is going to pay for Tim Tebow, and pay, and pay, and pay.
So, the playoffs:
AFC East Champion: New England
AFC North Champion: Baltimore
AFC South Champion: Houston
AFC West Champion: San Diego
Some differences here: Both Mikes have Pittsburgh winning the North, and Greeny has his J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets winning the tiebreaker with New England, with Golic showing more sanity and picking the Cheatriots.
Wildcards: Golic and I have the Jets, Greeny has the Patriots -- that's just a matter of who gets to win the division and get that preferred seed. The Mikes have Baltimore, I have Pittsburgh.
Divisional Round: New England, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New York Jets. I don't think the South nor the West has ANYTHING to offer this year.
Predicted AFC Championship: New England vs. Baltimore.
Predicted AFC Champions: New England
Golic picks Pittsburgh to get back to the Super Bowl. Greeny picks San Diego.
When in doubt, start waving your flags. Friends who are now former NFL fans note to me with disgust that the nation will collectively orgasm tonight. That might be true, but the thing is that I just get the sense that 9/11 +10 will play a larger role this season -- and don't get me started if there actually IS another incident, say on Sunday...
SUPER BOWL:
Me: Philadelphia over New England
Golic: Pittsburgh over Atlanta
Greeny: San Diego over Philadelphia
This league has invested it's future in the black mobile quarterback with a chip on his shoulder (and a criminal record to match). They have wanted to make inroads into the ghetto culture and into the ghetto market. This, I believe, is their big chance, because how many more years are they going to get until Vick fucks up again?
My predictions will be first, followed by the Mikes'.
My picks might also not mathematically line up, but they're the best guess I have:
NFC East
Philadelphia: Me: 12-4 Greeny: 12-4 Golic: 11-5
Dallas: All three of us predict 9-7.
NY Giants: Me: 8-8 Greeny: 7-9 Golic: 8-8
Washington: Me: 6-10 Mike and Mike: 5-11
As you'll see later, I believe this is the year that the league and the media attempt to crown that dog-killing piece of shit Michael Vick our Lord and Saviour of football. So back to Philly later. I truly believe Dallas can do nothing until they get more than a celebrity as their quarterback. The Giants just don't have it right now, and Washington is going to be a doormat until they get a competent operation and some stability thereto.
NFC North
Green Bay: All three of us predict 12-4.
Chicago: Me: 9-7 Greeny: 7-9 Golic: 8-8
Detroit: Me: 7-9 Greeny: 9-7 Golic: 7-9
Minnesota: Me: 7-9 Mike and Mike: 8-8
Green Bay should even be better than 12-4, but they always get rather severely banged up. Chicago blew it's shot, and I don't think they have faith in Cutler anymore. Detroit is going to get another ream-job by the Commissioner and the league, and it's double-trouble on that end once Fairley (another proposed knucklehead) gets healthy). Minnesota can't be carried by Adrian Peterson all day.
NFC South:
Atlanta: All three of us predict 12-4.
Tampa Bay: Me: 11-5 Mike and Mike: 10-6
New Orleans: All three of us predict 9-7.
Carolina: Me: 4-12 Greeny: 4-12 Golic: 3-13
Tough division probably holds everybody down a game or so. Atlanta has the guns, but do they have the moxie (or the preference of the league) when the chips go down? Tampa is probably The Team on the Come this year -- watch for some big things in Tampa. Someone has to take a step back, and I think it's New Orleans, especially with them probably being served up for the job on Opening Night tomorrow night. Carolina really doesn't have the talent to be considered an NFL team at this point, but I'm giving them 4 because they followed the script, took $Cam, and now have made him the starter. All part of the plan.
NFC Worst, erm... West:
St. Louis: Me: 8-8 Mike and Mike: 9-7
Arizona: Me: 6-10 Greeny: 8-8 Golic: 7-9
Seattle: Me: 6-10 Greeny: 6-10 Golic: 5-11
San Francisco: Me: 5-11 Greeny: 7-9 Golic: 6-10
There's going to be a lot of ugly football out West (in both Western divisions) this year. Let's leave it at that and go on.
We all have the same divisional champions:
NFC East Champion: Philadelphia
NFC North Champion: Green Bay
NFC South Champion: Atlanta
NFC West Champion: St. Louis
All three of us also have Tampa Bay as the first wild-card: Me at 11-5, the Mikes at 10-6.
It's the second wild card who will have people guessing: Dallas and New Orleans, we all have at 9-7, Greeny also has Detroit, while I have Chicago.
Today, Greeny said Detroit would make the playoffs, Golic said Dallas. I think New Orleans will get out of that situation and go into the playoffs.
Divisional round: Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta, and Tampa Bay
NFC Championship: Philadelphia vs. Green Bay
NFC Predicted Champion: Philadelphia Eagles and Michael Vick.
Greeny picked the Eagles, Golic picked the Falcons.
This is becoming one of the most-telegraphed ideas out there, with friends of mine also believing this "What if Michael Vick were white?" idea meant to marginalize those of us who believe that there is a component of racial culture in the conduct. But the thing is that is clear that people appear to really like the "Black Street-Ball" meme that Vick represents.
That they gave this shit-head another $100,000,000 just boggles my mind. I just see this as a very ugly season, and this is just going to make it uglier.
------------
AFC East
New England: Me: 14-2. Greeny: 11-5 Golic: 13-3
New York Jets: Me: 10-6 Mike and Mike: 11-5
Buffalo: All three of us predict 5-11.
Miami: Me: 4-12. Greeny: 3-13 Golic: 4-12
Miami is going well in the wrong direction, and Buffalo is a franchise in deep, deep trouble.
The Jets are going to get screwed, blued, and tattooed by the Commissioner -- I openly forecast that Rex Ryan will be suspended for at least one game this season because of misconduct on his team.
The Patriots are the Super Team. If the Eagles are the Dream Team, this is a team that some people are actually pegging for 16-0, and then you have the 9/11 +10 angle. But if Ochocinco becomes a head-case and Haynesworth becomes a knucklehead, all bets are off.
AFC North:
Baltimore: Me: 12-4 Mike and Mike: 10-6
Pittsburgh: Me: 10-6 Mike and Mike: 11-5
Cleveland: All three of us predict 6-10.
Cincinnati: Me: 4-12 Greeny: 2-14 Golic: 3-13
A division not unlike the AFC East, without the perception that the Ravens are a Super Team. The Ravens simply are the beneficiaries of some tinkering against the Steelers this year. Do I think the Steelers are good enough to buck the trend and get back to the Super Bowl? Yes. Do I think it will be allowed to happen?? No.
Cleveland gets 6-10 largely on the schedule, and Cincinnati is an utter mess. With that schedule, I think some high-school teams could luck into 2 wins.
AFC South:
Houston: All three of us predict 10-6.
Jacksonville: All three of us predict 7-9.
Indianapolis: Me: 6-10 Greeny: 8-8 Golic: 9-7
Tennessee: Me: 5-11 Greeny: 8-8 Golic: 7-9
Houston wins this by default now. They just announced another neck surgery for Manning, and they _say_ he's out 2-3 months.
Peyton Manning will never play in the NFL again. That's just far too dangerous and it's NOT healing.
Jacksonville is just muddling along, and I think there are too many issues for Tennessee to be competitive.
AFC West
San Diego: Me: 10-6 Greeny: 12-4 Golic: 10-6
Kansas City: Me: 7-9 Greeny: 6-10 Golic: 8-8
Oakland: All three of us predict 6-10.
Denver: All three of us predict 6-10.
Another, for me, "by default" situation here with San Diego. Kansas City was an utter fluke last year, and they're one of a couple teams with a coach who just does not know how to win when it counts. Oakland is the Raiders, and that means the league does not want them doing well. Denver is going to pay for Tim Tebow, and pay, and pay, and pay.
So, the playoffs:
AFC East Champion: New England
AFC North Champion: Baltimore
AFC South Champion: Houston
AFC West Champion: San Diego
Some differences here: Both Mikes have Pittsburgh winning the North, and Greeny has his J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets winning the tiebreaker with New England, with Golic showing more sanity and picking the Cheatriots.
Wildcards: Golic and I have the Jets, Greeny has the Patriots -- that's just a matter of who gets to win the division and get that preferred seed. The Mikes have Baltimore, I have Pittsburgh.
Divisional Round: New England, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New York Jets. I don't think the South nor the West has ANYTHING to offer this year.
Predicted AFC Championship: New England vs. Baltimore.
Predicted AFC Champions: New England
Golic picks Pittsburgh to get back to the Super Bowl. Greeny picks San Diego.
When in doubt, start waving your flags. Friends who are now former NFL fans note to me with disgust that the nation will collectively orgasm tonight. That might be true, but the thing is that I just get the sense that 9/11 +10 will play a larger role this season -- and don't get me started if there actually IS another incident, say on Sunday...
SUPER BOWL:
Me: Philadelphia over New England
Golic: Pittsburgh over Atlanta
Greeny: San Diego over Philadelphia
This league has invested it's future in the black mobile quarterback with a chip on his shoulder (and a criminal record to match). They have wanted to make inroads into the ghetto culture and into the ghetto market. This, I believe, is their big chance, because how many more years are they going to get until Vick fucks up again?
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Update on the animals rioting in Florida...
Yep, felony charges.
Four people, three adult coaches and a 14 year-old kid (watch the video and you can probably guess which kid it was -- the one who started the fracas!!) have been charged with felonies (as of last Friday, September 1), it being a felony to assault and batter a game official in the state of Florida.
The referee has a broken shoulder as a result of the attack, and one of the other team's coaches was also downed.
By Florida Statute 784.081, that they assaulted and battered a game official upgrades the offense to a third-degree felony, and they face four years in state prison.
Four people, three adult coaches and a 14 year-old kid (watch the video and you can probably guess which kid it was -- the one who started the fracas!!) have been charged with felonies (as of last Friday, September 1), it being a felony to assault and batter a game official in the state of Florida.
The referee has a broken shoulder as a result of the attack, and one of the other team's coaches was also downed.
By Florida Statute 784.081, that they assaulted and battered a game official upgrades the offense to a third-degree felony, and they face four years in state prison.
Thursday, September 1, 2011
And if anyone wants to further question why the culture of football has gotten to where it has...
I submit this FOX Sports lowlight from...
... the Florida youth football leagues.
(Yes, the very same Florida youth football leagues that have drug ganglords paying the top players as the only means to keep roofs over their (and their parents') heads.)
So it should stand as no surprise when this happens:
A coach, upset over a call in the game, charges the official.
Then the players on his team start doing the same. Watch #6 especially, who now faces felony charges for the same assault of a game official I discussed in a post on this blog a number of months back (this post, the first story of two Florida stories thereon) when he full-blown bulldozes the official and then stands over him like a conquering little piece of shit.
Now adults are coming out of the stands to continue the fracas -- one tries to kick the official in the head.
And judging by the look of the ages of the players, this would be right up the gamblers' wheelhouse. This looks like this is probably as a result of the gambling going on in the stands.
Shut the whole fucking thing down...
NOW.
UPON FURTHER REVIEW: Here's another one, same source.
This one is in Texas. Mass brawl breaks out at a Pee-Wee game when someone decides to basically lead with his helmet to flip another player on a kickoff return (which eventually goes all the way for a touchdown).
(The block is at about the 6-8 second mark of the clip.)
Both teams have been banned from the playoffs of this league for this season, one coach has been permanently barred for life from Pee-Wee football.
But this is the kind of mentality which football has brought -- ON ALL LEVELS -- to America.
And you wonder why incidents like the one in Ohio have to be called...
SECOND EDIT: Yahoo!'s blog has picked up on the Florida youth story, with about six minutes of raw footage of this reprehensible event.
... the Florida youth football leagues.
(Yes, the very same Florida youth football leagues that have drug ganglords paying the top players as the only means to keep roofs over their (and their parents') heads.)
So it should stand as no surprise when this happens:
A coach, upset over a call in the game, charges the official.
Then the players on his team start doing the same. Watch #6 especially, who now faces felony charges for the same assault of a game official I discussed in a post on this blog a number of months back (this post, the first story of two Florida stories thereon) when he full-blown bulldozes the official and then stands over him like a conquering little piece of shit.
Now adults are coming out of the stands to continue the fracas -- one tries to kick the official in the head.
And judging by the look of the ages of the players, this would be right up the gamblers' wheelhouse. This looks like this is probably as a result of the gambling going on in the stands.
Shut the whole fucking thing down...
NOW.
UPON FURTHER REVIEW: Here's another one, same source.
This one is in Texas. Mass brawl breaks out at a Pee-Wee game when someone decides to basically lead with his helmet to flip another player on a kickoff return (which eventually goes all the way for a touchdown).
(The block is at about the 6-8 second mark of the clip.)
Both teams have been banned from the playoffs of this league for this season, one coach has been permanently barred for life from Pee-Wee football.
But this is the kind of mentality which football has brought -- ON ALL LEVELS -- to America.
And you wonder why incidents like the one in Ohio have to be called...
SECOND EDIT: Yahoo!'s blog has picked up on the Florida youth story, with about six minutes of raw footage of this reprehensible event.
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