Doing this one early, because of how this week went...
AFC:
1) New England
It does seem to be lining up nicely for the Patriots, isn't it? Six in a row for 7-2, but now a test as they go to Tampa Bay in what, shockingly, may well represent a Super Bowl preview if Herr Fatfuck has his way.
12-5 now appears to be their floor. They beat a couple teams they might be going against in the playoffs, and the road to San Francisco might go through Foxboro again.
2) Denver
a hair over
3) Indianapolis
because of the results this week, but Indianapolis lost and Denver barely got out of Houston. Neither team looked that impressive.
4) Buffalo
A quiet 6-2, but they lost the first meeting to New England and the second one is in Foxboro Week 15.
Kayfabe:
The three 7-2 can't settle it HTH, so it's conference records at least the first step:
1) Indianapolis, 6-1 over the other two's 4-2. (7-2)
2) The two teams have only one common opponent, so it goes Strength of Victory, and that goes to New England, .333 to Denver's .325 (7-2)
3) Denver (7-2)
4) Pittsburgh (5-3) -- the bullshit IS real.
5) Buffalo (6-2)
6) LA Chargers (6-3)
7) Jacksonville (5-3)
Kansas City is a half-game and the tiebreaker out of the playoffs. They lose HTH tiebreaks with all three current wild-card teams.
NFC:
Buenos Suerte now. Your guess is as good as mine. So I'll go through it in Kayfabe order and show why I'm not exactly 100% convinced on anybody right now.
We have 4 6-2 teams. The Eagles, Seahawks, Rams, and Bucs. First break the divisional tiebreaker, Seahawks/Rams. They have not played yet. Seahawks are 1-1 in the division, Rams 0-1 -- so the Seahawks go in with the Eagles and Bucs.
No HTH sweep, so...
1) Philadelphia, 5-1 in the conference. (6-2) Philadelphia may end up being the NFC's choice after all, but there is ZERO CHANCE, barring some replay of last year or the one year KC beat San Francisco after a Super Bowl Week incident left the league with no choice.
2) Tampa Bay (6-2), head to head over Seattle. I still think Tampa is a far more palatable MAGA choice than most anyone else on this list, especially the current 6-2s. That said, they have New England, in a game which will probably say a lot as to where both teams are when we do Week Ten.
3) Seattle (6-2), liberal West Coast, etc. Can't see that as a palatable.
4) Green Bay (5-2-1) Yes, Carolina is now shockingly 5-4, but YOU CAN'T LOSE TO THEM if you want anyone to take you seriously, and now you've lost your tight end to an ACL and possibly your WR as well. A semi-palatable choice due to demographics and fanbase, but too many other factors will probably have Detroit in their place soon enough. They get Philly next Monday Night in a massive NFC showdown.
5) LA Rams (6-2) See Seattle.
6) San Francisco (6-3) Goes double here!
7) Detroit (5-3 with a win over Chicago). NFC North is lining up to be a juggernaut again, but I still don't see where Detroit gets chosen as a MAGA champion. In anything!
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