Game tonight is all NFC. Only one playoff spot remains in the AFC.
So we'll start with the Politicals first.
1) New England
2) Denver
Still think the "Patriot" angle, especially with Fatfuck and Bad Bunny, is not only a neck in front for the AFC, but more than that ahead of anything the NFC has to offer politically. And, as I've said before, if you thought 2025 was Trump politicizing everything badly, I don't think that has anything to offer with 2026, the 250 year anniversary, the World Cup, the Winter Transphobe Games, etc.
3) Buffalo
I do think they could well be in the league's back pocket. If there was a year to pay off the Bills Mafia and Josh Allen, this could well be the one. I just think there's a far more intensive political angle with at least the #1 above. And the reason they're #3 behind Denver is, more, kayfabe -- Buffalo is a wildcard team.
The other three teams all in the playoffs now have two major flaws: Yes, I do think The Race Card at quarterback is a very important thing, especially with Orange Fatfuck getting his tiny hands into the equation. And LA, either way (Chargers or Rams) is a flat no as things presently stand.
The only reason I'm not rating Pittsburgh #4 at this point (because of COVIDIOT-8 and very little else!) is because they have to beat Baltimore next week to even get in.
Kayfabe:
1) Denver (13-3, won AFC West, wins common game tiebreaker over the Patriots
Common: Raiders (NE 0-1, DEN 2-0), Titans (both won), Bengals (both won), Giants (both won), Jets (NE 2-0, DEN 1-0)
2) New England (13-3, won AFC East, loses common game tiebreaker with the Patriots.
3) Jacksonville (12-4, IN)
4) This one, I'll save time and just say the Pittsburgh-Baltimore Week 18 winner.
5) Houston (11-5, IN, wins HTH sweep over LAC and BUF AND conference record tiebreaker (9-2) over both the Chargers and Buffalo (both 8-3))
6) Los Angeles Chargers (11-5, IN, wins common game tiebreaker over the Bills)
7) Buffalo (11-5, IN, loses common game tiebreaker with the Chargers)
Common: Chiefs (LAC 2-0, BUF 1-0), Steelers (both won), Eagles (LAC won, BUF lost), Dolphins (LAC won, BUF lost)
Week 18 in the AFC:
Plenty to unpack here.
Irrelevant: Raiders/Chiefs, Cleveland/Cincinnati.
Win or Go Home: Sunday nighter: Baltimore at Pittsburgh, winner is the #4, loser is out.
Denver is the #1 seed if they defeat the Chargers, or if Denver does no worse than both Jacksonville and New England.
New England is the #1 seed if they defeat Miami AND Denver loses. Jacksonville has a better conference record than both New England and Denver, so a New England loss means they are out for the #1. New England can be no worse than the #3 to begin with, nor no less than the #2 if they win.
Jacksonville is the #1 seed if they defeat Indianapolis AND both New England and Denver lose (conference record, 10-2 vs. 8-4 each).
Houston wins the AFC South and snags the #3 if they beat Indianapolis and somehow Jacksonville loses to Tennessee. Houston is the #5 if they and Jacksonville both win, or if all three of Houston, the Chargers, and Buffalo all lose.
LAC is the #5 with a win and a Houston loss. LAC is #6 with a win.
Buffalo, to improve their position, must win and have at least one of the Chargers and Houston lose.
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