Sunday, May 4, 2014

2013-14 NBA Playoffs Study, Round 1 Complete

First round is now over, and here is the final look at Round 1 before I go to Vegas to watch/bet on the start of Round 2.


And I'm forgetting something and I need to rectify it now:  The line and over-under information I am getting is from vegasinsider.com .

EASTERN CONFERENCE

INDIANA PACERS (1) VS. ATLANTA HAWKS (8)

(Indiana wins series 4-3)

Game 1 (Apr. 19):  Atlanta 101 - Indiana 93

Indiana was a 7.5 - 8.5 point favorite (UPSET)
O/U was 185.5 - 186.5 (OVER)

Free Throws:  Atlanta 24-29.  Indiana 16-23.

Could there be a move away from Indiana, here?

Game 2 (Apr. 22):  Indiana 101 - Atlanta 85

Indiana was a 7.5 - 8 point favorite.  (COVER)
Definite middle potential here.  185 at the Atlantis.  186.5 - 187.5 at all the other Vegas books.

If you middled on the Atlantis, you got the middle.  Otherwise, UNDER.

Free Throws:  Indiana 21-27  Atlanta 13-18

Nope.  But it sounds like the whistles had hands in both games in Indiana.

Game 3 (Apr. 24):  Atlanta 98 - Indiana 85

Indiana was a 2 - 2.5 point favorite.  (UPSET)
O/U: 186 - 188. (UNDER)

Free Throws:  Atlanta 30-37  Indiana 16-21

Pacers in trouble here. Could their dysfunction be paving the way for the three-peat? Free-throw margin appears to have a hand in all three games.

Game 4 (Apr. 26):  Indiana 91 - Atlanta 88

Indiana was a 2.5 point favorite across the board, except for a 2 at the Treasure Island and a 3 at the Atlantis.  (COVER)
O/U: Game was a bit all over the place. You could get 186 at a couple of places, one went all the way to 189. (UNDER at all places though.)

Free Throws:  Atlanta 17-17  Indiana 8-14

Pacers still in a lot of trouble here. Refs kept their whistles in pockets, and that seemed to get the series back "on serve". Lots of word Indiana's coach is gone if they don't get it done here.

Game 5 (Apr. 28):  Atlanta 107 - Indiana 97

Indiana was a 6.5 - 7 point favorite, with not much movement at all. (UPSET)
O/U was 186.5 with a 187 at the South Point and a 186 at Stations. (OVER)

Free Throws:  Atlanta 26-33.  Indiana 11-18.

In Indiana.  I think they just waved the white flag on the Pacers.

Game 6 (May 1):  Indiana 95 - Atlanta 88

Oh no, they didn't!!

The original line had Indiana a 1 - 2 point favorite.

Lots of money came in on Atlanta to finish the job.  The game tipped with Atlanta a 1.5 - 2 point favorite at home.  The line moved 3 - 4 full points, depending on the casino.  (UPSET)
O/U:  186 - 188, again, depending on where you shopped.  (UNDER, total was 183.)

Free Throws:  Indiana 23-27  Atlanta 21-24

And Indiana only got that margin late in the game, since they had the lead and control of the initiative.

Been doing these studies for a couple of years now, and I've never seen that kind of a move, and that kind of a FAILED move, at any point.  I hypothesized a very down field after this round (East:  Miami-Washington-Toronto-Atlanta).  Could this (and the OKC-MEM result) tonight state otherwise?

Or, as a friend of mine has posited, maybe all the screwball stuff is the result of the Silver NBA leaving well enough alone???

Game 7 (May 3):  Indiana 92 - Atlanta 80

Indiana was a 6 - 6.5 point favorite, was 6.5 basically everywhere, some went back to 6.  (COVER)
O/U: 184.5 - 185.5, with a 183.5 at the Atlantis.   (UNDER at all places though.)

Free Throws:  Atlanta 13-16  Indiana 23-29

Series summary:  That Game 7 free-throw line tells it to you.  They could not feasibly afford Indiana to lose and Miami to have a complete waltz into the NBA Finals vs. the likes of Washington, Toronto (or Brooklyn), and Atlanta.

Indiana may be little more than a necessary evil in the Eastern Conference, as flawed and out-of-chemistry as they are.  That said, the NBA probably needs them more than they need anyone else.

Favorite was 3-4 (with Atlanta actually getting the favorite for Game 6 being the difference.)
Over was 2-5.

TORONTO RAPTORS (3) VS. BROOKLYN NETS (6)

(Brooklyn wins series 4-3.)

Game 1 (Apr. 19):  Brooklyn 94 - Toronto 87

Toronto was a 3 - 3.5 point favorite.  (UPSET)
O/U was 192.5 - 193.5 (Under and BARELY)

Free throws were pretty even (and almost all made):  Toronto 23-25.  Brooklyn 22-27.

Game 2 (Apr. 22):  Toronto 100 - Brooklyn 95

Toronto was a 4.5 - 5 point favorite.  The Golden Nugget briefly got to 5.5, a loser for the favorites, but it was a PUSH at most of the Strip casinos with the occasional COVER.
O/U:  190.5 - 191.5 (OVER)

Free Throws:  Brooklyn 20-28  Toronto 24-29

Two games where the FT's are pretty even.  Brooklyn lost to a better free-throw shooting team in Game 2.

CONTROVERSY:  (Apr. 24) There is a report from Brian Tuohy that Tim Donaghy has noted that the league wants Brooklyn to win this series.

Game 3 (Apr. 25):  Brooklyn 102 - Toronto 98

Brooklyn was a pretty consistent 5-point favorite, with a single 4.5 at the Peppermill.  (NO COVER)
O/U:  190 - 191.5 (OVER)

Free throws:  IDENTICAL.  Both teams 29-37.

Do I get thrown out of the stadium for chanting "Take the Over!" at Misters Callahan, Wall, and Mott?

Game 4 (Apr. 27)  Toronto 87 - Brooklyn 79

Brooklyn was a 4 point favorite, except just at the tip at the Stratosphere, it got to 3.5.  (UPSET)
O/U:  192.5 - 193, with a 191 at the Mirage.  (NOT CLOSE -- UNDER)

Free throws:  Toronto 19-23  Brooklyn 19-29

Game 5 (Apr. 30)  Toronto 115 - Brooklyn 113

Toronto was a 3 point favorite across the board.  (BWAHAHAHAHA -- up 22 entering the 4th quarter, NO COVER!!!!)
O/U:  189.5 - 190, with a 190.5 at the Treasure Island and a 189 at the Atlantis.  (NOT CLOSE -- OVER)

Free throws:  Toronto 29-36  Brooklyn 22-30

Perfect example of how the referees can influence at least the over.

Brooklyn scored 44 points in the 4th quarter.  Free throw attempts, 4th quarter:  BKN 15, TOR 10.

Game 6 (May 2):  Brooklyn 97 - Toronto 83

Brooklyn was a 4.5 - 5 point favorite.  (COVER)
O/U was 192.5 - 193.5 (Under and BARELY)

Free throws: Toronto 16-20 Brooklyn 19-25.

Game 7 (May 4):  Brooklyn 104 - Toronto 103

Toronto was a 2.5 - 3 point favorite. (UPSET)
O/U:  188.5 - 189.5 (OVER)

Free throws: Toronto 29-33 Brooklyn 22-30.

Series Summary: On April 24 (before Game 3), Brian Tuohy posted to his News of Note section that Tim Donaghy had stated that the league wanted a Brooklyn-Miami series. If you take a look at all the 5 Game 7's of this year, you see that the NBA got everything it wanted: The Clippers (now run by an NBA CEO) story continues; the Spurs, Thunder, and Pacers (the three non-Heat relevant NBA teams entering the playoffs) advance, and the league gets Miami-Brooklyn. Meet the new boss, same as the old boss???

Favorite was 2-5 against the number.
Over was 4-3.

MIAMI HEAT (2) VS. CHARLOTTE BOBCATS (7)

(Miami wins series 4-0)

Game 1 (Apr. 20):  Miami 99 - Charlotte 88

Miami was a 10 - 10.5 point favorite.  (COVER, BARELY)
O/U was 192 - 193, with a 191 at the Atlantis .  (UNDER)

Free throws:  Miami 18-26  Charlotte 8-12

Gee, so how many wins are you going to give Mr. Jordan in this series, NBA?  By the looks of this, not many...  You gave LeBron James (10) almost as many freethrows as you gave the entire Bobcats team (12)!

Game 2 (Apr. 23):  Miami 101 - Charlotte 97

Miami was a 10 point favorite, with 2 9.5's at South Point and the Mirage.  (NO COVER on any of them.)
O/U was 187-188 (OVER)

Free throws:  Miami 22-29  Charlotte 14-19

Yes, again the free throws made the difference, but a closer look indicates most of the difference in free throws actually came as a construction of Charlotte stopping the clock.

Game 3 (Apr. 26):  Miami 98 - Charlotte 85

Miami was a 4 - 5 point favorite.  (COVER)
O/U:  187-188 with 188.5 at the Mirage.  (UNDER on all.)

Free throws:  Charlotte 24-33  Miami 17-20

More whistles for Jordan's boys at home, but it's boys versus men.

Game 4 (Apr. 28):  Miami 109 - Charlotte 98

Miami was a 7.5 - 8 point favorite, money coming in on Miami until they got to 8.  (COVER)
O/U:  187 - 187.5.  (OVER)

Free throws:  Charlotte 21-30  Miami 22-29

Series summary:  In a first round that, to the point of Miami's sweep, saw the favorites only cover 9 times, Miami has three of those covers.  And with Indiana imminently on elimination, the road to The Finals, and a three-peat, is clearing rapidly.

Miami was 3-1 ATS.  The over was also 3-1.

CHICAGO BULLS (4) VS. WASHINGTON WIZARDS (5)

(Washington wins series 4-1.)

Game 1 (Apr. 20):  Washington 102 - Chicago 93

Chicago was a 4.5 point favorite at most books (with a 4 and a couple 5's -- UPSET)
O/U:  178.5 - 179.5  (OVER)

Free throws:  Washington 26-35.  Chicago 20-26.

Borderline decisive on that one.

Game 2 (Apr. 22):  Washington 101 - Chicago 99 (OVERTIME)

Chicago was a 5 - 5.5 point favorite, 6 at Stations and Golden Nugget.  (UPSET)
O/U:  180 - 180.5, with a 181.5 at the Mirage.  (OVER with the OT, barely OVER at regulation at 91-91)

Free throws:  Washington 16-28  Chicago 18-24

Game 3 (Apr. 25):  Chicago 100 - Washington 97

Late money moved the game from Washington -3 to -2.5, except at the Papermill where it stayed -3.  (UPSET)
O/U:  181 - 181.5, with a 180 at the Atlantis  (BIG OVER)

Free throws:  Chicago 20-30  Washington 15-21

That's enough for a boldface.  10 of Chicago's 30 free-throws came in the last 1:36, though, so it might, again, have been trying to get in the game for Washington.

Game 4 (Apr. 27)  Washington 98 - Chicago 89

First home win of the series.

Washington was a 2 point favorite at all the Strip casinos -- there was a 1.5 at the Coasts line.  (COVER)
O/U:  183 - 184 with a 182.5 at the Mirage. (OVER at all)

Free throws:  Washington 20-25  Chicago 15-17

Not quite enough for the boldface there.

Game 5 (Apr. 29):  Washington 75 - Chicago 69

Chicago was a 3.5 point favorite at all books except a 4 at the Treasure Island (UPSET)
O/U:  183.5 - 184  (NOT CLOSE -- UNDER)

Free throws:  Washington 13-19.  Chicago 13-17.

Series Summary:  In a playoff season full of upsets, this is a decent-sized one.  Even without their star player, Chicago still appeared to have the better side.  Now, if Brooklyn and Atlanta win, they can keep Miami and Brooklyn away from each other until the East Finals.

Favorites were 1-4 ATS (Game 4 only).
Over was 4-1, probably a burn tonight.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (3) VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (6)

(Los Angeles wins series 4-3.)

Game 1 (Apr. 19)  Golden State 109 - Los Angeles 105

The Clippers were 7 - 7.5 point favorites (BIG UPSET).
O/U was 211-212 (Over and BARELY at 214)

Free Throws:  Clippers 23-35  Warriors 18-25

Hey, not for lack of trying, right referees Wright, Garretson, and Callahan?

CONTROVERSY:  The day after Game 1, the NBA cited a late foul on the Warriors that the referees missed.

Game 2 (Apr. 21)  Los Angeles 138 - Golden State 98

Clippers were 7.5 - 8.5 point favorites.  (Yeah, I'd say they COVERed.  They won by FORTY!!!)
O/U was 212.5 - 214 (OVER by about 30)

Noticed something immediately:  Fouls for the first quarter were 8-3 Golden State.  Free throws were 9-2 Clippers.

Free throws for the game:  Clippers 32-35  Warriors 22-27

A real tone is being set in this series.

Game 3 (Apr. 24)  Los Angeles 98 - Golden State 96

Clippers were 2.5 - 3 point favorites, and the action on the line was going in their direction.  (SUCKERS, NO COVER)
O/U was  212.5 - 213.5  (SUCKERS AGAIN, WELL UNDER)

Free throws:  Los Angeles 10-23 (YUCK!!)  Golden State 16-24

The only winners of this game were the Clippers and the Vegas casinos.

CONTROVERSY: Donald Sterling mess came between Games 3 and 4.

Game 4 (Apr. 27):  Golden State 118 - Los Angeles 97

Incredibly, after all the controversy (and with Sportsbook.com going 70-30 Golden State on the money line), Los Angeles was STILL a 1.5 - 2 point favorite at the Vegas casinos.  (UPSET -- EASY EASY MONEY FOR NOTHING)

And then they doubled down on the stupidity:  Many of the second-halves at the casinos had Clippers -6 - -7.  WOW.  Why couldn't I have been in Vegas on the 27th instead of a week or so from now???

O/U:  209.5 - 201 with a 211 at the Atlantis.  (OVER)

Free Throws:  Golden State 21-28  Los Angeles 21-24

RESOLUTION?:  Donald Sterling banned for life from the NBA between Games 4 and 5.

Game 5 (Apr. 29)  Los Angeles 113 - Golden State 103

Clippers were 7 - 7.5 point favorites.  (Only COVER of the night)
O/U was 209 - 210 (OVER)

Free throws:  Los Angeles 31-41  Golden State 13-19

Kumbaya, My Lord...  Kumbaya...

Look, I know we all wanted the "All join hands" moment now that Adam Silver stepped in, but that's a bit obvious, don'tcha think??

To give you an idea of how series things were getting on the 29th:  The Atlantis sportsbook reported NO game lines for any of the three playoff games played on the 29th, only first-halves.

Game 6 (May 1)  Golden State 100 - Los Angeles 99

For the purposes of the standings, this is a NO COVER.  The game tipped at either a Pick or Clippers -1 (about half of each), but a big move was made at the South Point to get Warriors -1 (which would've been a PUSH).
O/U was 210-211, with 209 at the Mirage and the Atlantis.  (UNDER)

Free Throws:  Clippers 24-33  Warriors 23-37

Game 7 (May 3)  Los Angeles 126 - Golden State 121

Clippers were 6.5 - 7.5 point favorites, with an 8 at the Wynn.  (NOPE.  SUCKERS)
O/U was 207.5 - 208.5 (OVER by about 40)

Free Throws:  Golden State 29-35  Los Angeles 26-33

Series Summary:  Dear God, where do I start?

A lot of people are going to point to the loss of Andrew Bogut, the main defensive threat for Golden State, as their death-knell, and they're probably right.

But this series took on far more than a basketball series with the revelations on Donald Sterling, and with the NBA announcing they were taking functional control and naming a temporary CEO for the Clippers on Saturday, letting them go forward is probably in the best financial interests of the league, especially if they stand to pocket more than a little bit on whatever franchise is the second team in LA when all this is over.

Favorites were 2-5.
Over was 5-2 in a series that was felt to have a lot of points in it.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (2) VS. MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (7)

(Oklahoma City wins series 4-3.)

Game 1 (Apr. 19)  Oklahoma City 100 - Memphis 86

Oklahoma City was a 7 - 8 point favorite (COVER - only cover of Day 1).
O/U had a pretty wide spread with middle potential:  Game tipped 189.5 at the Atlantis, but was 192.5 at the MGM Grand and 192 at the Golden Nugget.  (Didn't matter, game was UNDER on all numbers.)

Free Throws:  Oklahoma City 28-32.  Memphis 18-31.

Game 2 (Apr. 21)  Memphis 111 - Oklahoma City 105  (OVERTIME)

Oklahoma City was a 7 point favorite with a couple of 6.5s.  (BIG UPSET)
O/U was 190.5 - 191.  (Obviously OVER with the OT, and was over in regulation at 99-99.)

Free Throws:  Memphis 21-24  Oklahoma City 22-25

Game 3 (Apr. 24)  Memphis 98 - Oklahoma City 95 (OVERTIME)

Oklahoma City was the favorite -- mostly 2 - 2.5.  The Treasure Island had at at 1.5, the Stratosphere and the Golden Nugget had it at 3.  (SUCKERS, UPSET!)
O/U was 190 - 191, with a 189.5 at the Mirage and Treasure Island.  (Needed the OT for OVER, regulation was 85-85.)

Free throws:  Oklahoma City 22-30  Memphis 12-15

In Memphis??  Was this a mis-direction or a failure on the part of the officials??

Game 4 (Apr. 26):  Oklahoma City 92 - Memphis 89 (OVERTIME)

Third consecutive overtime game of the series.

Oklahoma City was a 3.5 point favorite, with a 3 at the Atlantis.  (Money was coming in on Oklahoma City, making it NO COVER.  Nice job, SUCKERS.)
O/U:  188 - 189.  (UNDER all the way, even with the OT.)

Free throws:  Oklahoma City 18-20  Memphis 13-23

Memphis is 3-1 up in this series if they can hit some stinking free throws.

Game 5 (Apr. 29):  Memphis 100 - Oklahoma City 99 (OVERTIME)

Make that four in a row.

Oklahoma City was a 7 - 7.5 point favorite.  (ANOTHER UPSET)
O/U:  186 - 186.5 (OVER with the OT, needed it, regulation was 90-90)

Free throws:  Memphis 19-26  Oklahoma City 15-19

Wow.  Durant and Westbrook, one game from home in the first round...

Game 6 (May 1)  Oklahoma City 104 - Memphis 84

Now one game from advancing...

Oklahoma City was a 2.5 point favorite, and got to 3 at the Wynn at the tip.  (COVER).
O/U:  184.5 - 185.5 (OVER)

Free Throws:  Oklahoma City 23-35.  Memphis 19-28.

See my comments on Game 6 of Indiana-Atlanta above.  Faced with a possible Western set of Clippers, Mavs, Grizzlies, and Rockets/Blazers (with no OKC, San Antonio, or Indiana -- three of the only four relevant teams the NBA had to start the playoffs), tonight's two convincing road wins kinda ring a shade hollow with me.

... even if the free throw numbers don't play that out.

Game 7 (May 3)  Oklahoma City 120 - Memphis 109

Big, Donaghy-level money came in on Oklahoma City here.  They were only 7.5 point favorites at one point, but by the time the game tipped, they were 9.5 at most of the casinos and 10 at the rest.  (COVER)
O/U:  185 - 186, with a 184.5 at the Mirage and a 184 at the Treasure Island.  (OVER)
Free Throws:  Oklahoma City 25-30.  Memphis 30-34.

Series Summary:  Word out of the NBA Saturday night is that Kevin Durant is the likely MVP for 2013-14.  That should tell you the final result.  How they got there was a bit more insidious than the free-throw numbers, as, down 3-2, the free-throw numbers didn't indicate the normal NBA bias.

That said, it is hard to believe that the NBA might not, now, prefer Oklahoma City out of the West to give the MVP the shot at the title.

Favorite was 3-4 ATS.
Over was 4-3.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS (1) VS. DALLAS MAVERICKS (8)

(San Antonio wins series 4-3.)

After Miami and Washington won their series, this if the fifth consecutive seven-game series.

Game 1 (Apr. 20)  San Antonio 90 - Dallas 85

San Antonio was a 9 - 9.5 point favorite.  (NO COVER)
O/U was 203.5 - 204.5, with a 202.5 at the Nugget.  (NOT CLOSE -- UNDER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 17-22  Dallas 9-13

Well well well...  Could we be getting an indication that the league wants San Antonio around a while??

Game 2 (Apr. 23)  Dallas 113 - San Antonio 92

Nope.  Not yet, at least...

San Antonio was a 7.5 - 8 point favorite.  (OUCH)
O/U:  201 - 201.5, with a 202 at the Coasts.  (All went OVER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 18-29  Dallas 15-16

Probably chalk it up as a night everything went right for Dallas.
 
Game 3 (Apr. 26)  Dallas 109 - San Antonio 108

San Antonio was a 3.5 - 4 point favorite.  (UPSET -- San Antonio is 0-3 against the number in the series.)
O/U:  Another wide spread: Could get 200 at a couple places, up to 202.5 in some others. (All went OVER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 14-17  Dallas 16-19

Game 4 (Apr. 28)  San Antonio 93 - Dallas 89

San Antonio was a 4 - 4.5 point favorite, with a 5 at the Nugget.  (If you could get the 4, you PUSHed.  NO COVER otherwise.)
O/U was 200.5 - 201.5.  (NOT CLOSE -- UNDER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 16-22  Dallas 18-28

Game 5 (Apr. 30)  San Antonio 109 - Dallas 103

San Antonio was a 6.5  point favorite, except for a 6 at Jerry's Nugget (not "the Nugget").  (Unless you found Jerry's Nugget, NO COVER in another win for the casinos!)
O/U was all over the place, 196.5 - 198.5.  (OVER at all.)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 19-27  Dallas 13-15

Twelve more free-throw attempts, and the margin of victory?  Six points.  Just sayin'.

Game 6 (May 2)  Dallas 113 - San Antonio 111

San Antonio was a 3 point favorite with almost no movement vs. the number, except for a 3.5 at the Wynn.  (UPSET -- San Antonio is 0-6 against the number in the series.)
O/U: 197 - 198, with a 199 at Jerry's Nugget.  (OVER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 24-28  Dallas 15-24

Game 7 (May 4)  San Antonio 119 - Dallas 96

San Antonio was a 6.5 - 7 point favorite.  (BIG COVER)
O/U was 198 - 199, with a 197 at the Mirage.  (NOT CLOSE -- OVER)

Free Throws:  San Antonio 25-33  Dallas 15-17

Series Summary:See my comments about Brooklyn winning their series above -- the same principle applied here. The league, after letting the playoffs run wild for most of the first round, seemed to take an iron fist of control to ensure "it's teams" got through the Game 7s. 5 Game 7s, and they were ALL won by the preferred team.

That said, unless the league wants to eliminate the MVP early, the Spurs won't get out of the West.

San Antonio was favored in all seven games, but only 1-6 vs. the spread.
Over was 5-2.

HOUSTON ROCKETS (4) VS. PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (5)

(Portland wins series 4-2.)

Game 1 (Apr. 20)  Portland 122 - Houston 120 (OVERTIME)

Houston was a 5.5 - 6 point favorite.  (UPSET)
O/U was 215 - 216.  (Obviously OVER with the overtime, and it needed it. Regulation total was 212.)

Free Throws:  Portland 29-39  Houston 26-40

CONTROVERSY: For the second out of four games in the Western Conference, a missed call might have influenced the outcome of the game for a road team who might be getting a slight rub in the series.  The NBA admitted an error on the sixth foul that took Dwight Howard, the only real relevant star in the series, out of the game.

Game 2 (Apr. 23):  Portland 112 - Houston 105

Houston was a 6.5 - 7 point favorite, with a 7.5 at the Peppermill.  (UPSET)
O/U:  215 - 215.5 with a 216 at the Wynn and Stations, and a 214.5 at the Treasure Island.  (All OVER, BARELY)

Free Throws:  Portland 24-27  Houston 24-30

Game 3 (Apr. 25)  Houston 121 - Portland 116 (OVERTIME)

Portland was a 2 - 2.5 point favorite.  (UPSET)
O/U:  214.5 - 215.5 (Obviously OVER with the OT (again), didn't need it this time -- regulation was 110-110.)

Free throws:  Portland 24-28  Houston 19-22

Game 4 (Apr. 27)  Portland 123 - Houston 120 (OVERTIME)

Three out of the four games in this series have gone OT.

Significant money came in on Portland in this game, moving the line a point to a point and a half on most of the boards, to 3.5 - 4.  (SUCKERS!!!!)
O/U:  214.5 - 215.5 (OVER with the OT, needed it too.  Regulation was 106-106.)

Free throws:  Portland 22-30  Houston 27-38

Game 5 (Apr. 30)  Houston 108 - Portland 98

Houston was a 4.5 - 5 point favorite, with a 5.5 at the Wynn.  (Only COVER of the night, though faves went 3/3 straight-up.)
O/U:  213.5 - 214.5, with a 215 at Jerry's Nugget. (UNDER)

Free throws:  Portland 17-23  Houston 14-18

Again, look at the comparative score, look at the FT attempts.

Game 6 (May 2)  Portland 99 - Houston 98

Portland was a 4 point favorite, 4.5 at the Wynn.  (NO COVER)
O/U:  212-212.5 with 211.5 at Caesar's and 213.5 at Stations.  (UNDER - didn't even get to 200.)

Free throws:  Portland 22-30  Houston 27-38

Favorites were 1-5 against the number.
Over was 4-2.

Series summary:  In the one Western series no one really cared about compared to the other three, three OT's and a buzzer-beater, and Portland goes on.

As of the games of May 2:

The favorites are 27-23 straight up, 16-34 against the number.
31 games went over, 19 went under.

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