Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Part of Me Wishes I Knew This On My Vegas Trip, Part of Me Doesn't

Brian MAY HAVE done it again.

Brian Tuohy, in his "News of Note" section, may have come across an explosive situation for this year.

For, if what is alleged is correct (and there are a lot of spider-webs around it to some very interesting statistics), Vegas is about to blow up.

Why?

A disgruntled ex-NFL employee (a programmer laid off a week before Christmas, no less) took to a message board, created an account called "Fuck the NFL", and went off.

The post was made on December 24th.

The claims:
  •  The first explosive claim is that the winners of the Super Bowl were decided last May.
Now, anyone who's followed Brian Tuohy recalls Brian often referencing the Visa commercials with the Harbaughs before last season started.  By the time the season ended, these were used as a belief that the Super Bowl teams had been decided long beforehand, The Harbaugh Bowl:  49ers vs. Ravens.

But here's where it gets really fun:
  • The poster claims the fix is in for...  THE SAN DIEGO CHARGERS.
I have one piece of advice for Mr. "Fuck the NFL".  Run to Vegas.  Now.

Last I saw, you could get 15-20 to 1 still on the Chargers to pull it off.

Had he known this (and that he was going to be canned) on December 20, 2013, he could've gotten 85-1 on the Chargers, according to Vegas.com.

The poster slams Goodell for yet another Cinderella story (2011 Giants -- Hell, the Packers, the last time they won the Super Bowl, were the NFC #6)...

He then makes reference to various aids the Chargers received BEFORE Week 17 -- including an interesting touchdown call vs. the Raiders.

But why the Chargers, he might be asked...
  • The Chargers are the team to win this year because San Diego needs a new stadium, public support (and San Diego government support) of funding a new stadium is effectively zero, and Los Angeles is off the table after the AEG screwjob with Farmer's Field.
Then he makes note of one of several interesting statistics Deadspin has picked up on.

Let's take a look at the Philadelphia Eagles the last several years and their home openers:
  • 2012:  Baltimore Ravens
  • 2011:  New York Giants
  • 2010:  Green Bay Packers
  • 2009:  New Orleans Saints
Why do I mention this?

Should be obvious.  That's your LAST FOUR SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS.

And the 2013 Eagles home opener?  Week 2, a 33-30 loss to...  THE SAN DIEGO CHARGERS.

That one "Fuck the NFL" pointed out.

Another one was found on Deadspin:

Now let's go across the NFC East to the Washington Redskins, and start taking a look at the Super Bowl champions that season.

For the last seven years, the Washington Redskins have played the Super Bowl champion (before this year).
  • 2012:  Week 14, defeated Baltimore 31-28 in overtime.
  • 2011:  Weeks 1 and 15, defeated the Giants twice.
  • 2010:  Week 5, defeated Green Bay 16-13 in overtime.
  • 2009:  Week 13, lost to New Orleans 33-30...  in overtime.
  • 2008:  Week 9 on Monday Night Football, lost to Pittsburgh 23-6.
  • 2007:  Weeks 3 and 15, split with the Giants.
  • 2006:  Week 7, lost to Indianapolis 36-22.
Seven years in a row, the Redskins have played the Super Bowl champion.

Of the eight teams remaining in the playoffs, the Redskins played Denver, San Francisco...  and San Diego (the only of the three teams they beat).

San Diego winning the Super Bowl would be:
  • The fifth consecutive home opener opponent for Philadelphia which won the championship.
  • The eighth consecutive year an opponent of Washington won the title.
  • The fourth consecutive year Washington beat the eventual Lombardi holders.
Wow.  You can't make this up.

(FWIW, if this holds, we can assure that the champion next year will either be out of the NFC East or St. Louis, Seattle, Jacksonville, Tennessee, or Carolina.)

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