When I start typing this, it is Thursday night.
One week from tonight, the used-car salesman will take to the podium and conduct an
NFL Draft for a league which is technically locked out.
That could be the subject for another post.
What I am going to do here, though is discuss the player now universally considered
the #1 draft pick on most "Big Boards" -- mock drafts conducted to keep the
Pavlovian NFL fanbase drooling until the shyster takes to the podium.
Thing is, I predicted this no less than on
November 11, 2010 -- and was almost
laughed off the Internet for the proposal.
Over the course of the last several weeks, as $Cam Newton has rocketed up draft
boards to be the near-universally believed #1 draft pick to the Carolina Panthers,
I began to think a bit more cleanly about what I said then.
The story is that his father, Cecil, was shopping him around and turned down
several colleges because the money was not there. Illegal money, by all NCAA rules
before the farcical bullshit which basically handed the national title to Auburn
seven weeks before it was played!
But he was able to get an offer of $200,000 to get his son to sign to Auburn.
Consider the earlier post about the
Real Sports allegations by other Auburn
players.
$200,000 is far more than a "book bag full of money".
It has to make one believe that there was a lot more to getting Cam Newton into the
fold at Auburn (or at any other school willing to pay the price) than simply
signing him.
There is an old saying that Mr. Moldea put in his book
Interference which talks
about The Mob and how they tamper sporting events for gambling purposes:
"You don't put big money on a game you don't know the result of."So, consider this from three angles: The angle of Auburn University, the angle of
the Newtons, and the angle of the middlemen involved.
First, Auburn, which has been in the
middle of a pay-for-play scandal for some
time.
Presuming they would have no qualms paying Newton some form of money to get him
signed, why would they go many times over the standard rate (or what appears to be
it) for most players they've signed?
UNLESS...
Now, the Newtons: How do you feasibly command that kind of money to get $Cam to
sign, even if he is the #1 JUCO prospect?
UNLESS....
Now, the middlemen: How do you (like a prospective school) not laugh off the
demands of the Newtons and the like?
UNLESS.....
That kind of money would only be consider-able for a player who satisfies the
following conditions, as I've said before:
1) He's going to get the school where the school wants to go. And in the SEC,
that's not only an SEC Championship, but a B$C$ National Championship. So it
basically has to be in the cards that the school which signs $Cam is going to win
it's conference, get in the title game, and win it.
2) He's going to be the Heisman winner. Largely, in this day and age, that's a
direct corollary of the first point, especially as a quarterback. The Heisman
winner has not appeared in a B$C$ National Championship Game only three times! Ron
Dayne never appeared for the Badgers. Ricky Williams never appeared for Texas.
Carson Palmer never appeared for USC.
Chris Weinke of Florida State and Tim Tebow of Florida both appeared in the B$C$
title match the year after they won the Heisman.
Two of those three were the first two years of the B$C$.
So, especially in the position Newton is going to be in, the first point
effectively implies the second, as the last person to win the Heisman and not to
appear in the B$C$ title game won the Heisman eight years before!
3) He's going to be the #1 Draft Pick in the next NFL draft.
Why these? An economic concept called ROI. Return on Investment.
For the Newtons, they want maximum value.
For the school, they want to go where they feel they need to go. In the SEC,
that's a B$C$ title and nothing less.
For the middlemen, a cut of the cash -- either then, or later (say, an NFL
contract??)...
But then you ask: How is this possible? How can people make these kinds of
decisions involving this degree of illegal money...
UNLESS......
UNLESS THEY KNOW THE RESULTS BEFOREHAND!!!Let's put it this way: Let's say that you decide you want to try to do this, and
you have the raw physical tools and all of such.
So you begin to shop your services (illegally!) to the different schools.
You say your going rate is $200,000 to get a commitment.
How else do you not get laughed off than if the parties involved know they can get
a return on the investment, unless you get injured?
So what I am proposing is simple:
$Cam Newton, his father, and the middleman KNEW that $Cam, barring a catastrophic
injury, WAS going to be the quarterback of the National Champion (it'd only be a
question of who he signed with).
He WAS going to be the Heisman winner.
and he IS going to be the #1 Draft Pick (even though he couldn't sniff the #1 pick
with a police dog, even just after the title game).
Now you ask: How is THIS possible?
Well, I propose that we learned a few things from the Communist countries back in
the day, and we're perfecting them as we speak.
There's a Sports Machine in the United States.
And I've got an idea how it works...